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State of Origin: Game 1 Preview

The 2024 State of Origin series is here, with the bitter rivals opening the rubber in Sydney on Wednesday night. Queensland holds the shield after last year’s series, but New South Wales will be hoping to get off to a perfect start at Accor Stadium.

State of Origin Tips – New South Wales vs Queensland

20:05 (AEST), Wed 5th Jun @ Accor Stadium, Sydney

History: Played 129, Queensland 69, New South Wales 58, draws 2

Last Five Matches

Game 2, 2022 – NSW 44 def Queensland 12 at Optus Stadium, Perth

Game 3, 2022 – Queensland 22 def NSW 12 at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game 1, 2023 – Queensland 26 def NSW 18 at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Game 2, 2023 – Queensland 32 def NSW 6 at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane

Game 3, 2023 – NSW 24 def Queensland 10 at Accor Stadium, Sydney

Team News

New South Wales: 1. James Tedesco 2. Brian To’o 3. Stephen Crichton 4. Joseph Suaalii 5. Zac Lomax 6. Jarome Luai 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Jake Trbojevic (c) 9. Reece Robson 10. Payne Haas 11. Liam Martin 12. Angus Crichton 13. Cameron McInnes 14. Isaah Yeo 15. Haumole Olakau’atu 16. Spencer Leniu 17. Hudson Young

Queensland: 1. Reece Walsh 2. Xavier Coates 3. Valentine Holmes 4. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Tom Dearden 7. Daly Cherry-Evans (c) 8. Reuben Cotter 9. Ben Hunt 10. Lindsay Collins 11. Jaydn Su’A 12. Jeremiah Nanai 13. Patrick Carrigan 14. Harry Grant 15. Moeaki Fotuaika 16. J’maine Hopgood 17. Selwyn Cobbo

What we Like

First Tryscorer (James Tedesco @ $14.00)

Recalled back into the NSW Blues line-up after the late injury withdrawal by Dylan Edwards, James Tedesco has a point to prove not only to pundits but also to coach Michael Maguire, who dropped him after 22 consecutive Origin appearances. Still regarded as one of the best fullbacks in the NRL, Tedesco is a two-time premiership winner and never fails to shine in the State of Origin arena. Playing alongside several current and former club and representative teammates, he can be expected to shine in the match and always gets his hands on the ball near the try-line.

Tri Bet (Either Team by 6 or Less @ $2.50)

While Game One could technically go either way in favour of New South Wales or Queensland, State of Origin matches are renowned for being close due to the forwards’ high impact, the halves’ skill, and the outside backs’ incredible athleticism. With a plethora of superstars making their Origin debuts and looking to cement their spots in their respective state teams, the tri-bet market is a great shout, with either side winning by six points or less.

Total Score 36.5 (Under 36.5 @ $1.87)

Sticking with the above tri-bet market, the total score can be expected to fall under the total points line of 36.5 points during Game One. The two states have selected some of the best defensive players in the NRL, such as Patrick Carrigan, Reuben Cotter, Payne Haas and Liam Martin, which will make it a hard time for the outside backs to score down the edge of the field.

Final Thoughts

The NSW Blues ($2.00) head into the clash as underdogs due to losing last year’s series and losing multiple stars such as Cameron Murray, Nathan Cleary and Tom Trbojevic to injuries over the past few weeks. However, under a new coach in Michael Maguire, the Blues will be eager to get off to a perfect start in front of their home fans at Accor Stadium on Wednesday night. While the Blues may be able to pull off the upset against their bitter rivals, a close match is on the cards, and it is hard to see them winning the clash by more than 13 points.

Best Bet: Margin – New South Wales 1 to 12 @ $2.85

Related

Our top 5 Origin Games at the G

State of Origin: Game 2 Preview

State of Origin: Five Players to Watch in Game 1

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