Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN previews Saturday’s Randwick , with horse racing tips and analysis for all 10 races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: Out 6m 900m to w/p, then 4m remainder
COMMAND APPROVED has raced twice and shown speed and fight on both occasions winning on debut and a close-up 4th in a tough race last start. Super fit, is on home track and should lead these for a long way.
HARD TO SAY is smart and his 2nd at stakes level in Qld last start says he is ready to run a blinder here too. Only a maiden but that probably changes today.
RUSSIAN CONQUEST looked professional with the way he knuckled down to his task to win on debut. Does rise in class a bit here but is at home and that experience will do him the world of good.
Tip: HARD TO SAY
Being 3rd up gives CASINO LORD a great shot, but so does the fact his run last start this company when 3rd was a cracker. Hughie rides and looks well placed here. Respect.
TAGS is resuming but he is normally a dab hand first-up. Watch market as he is in this with a big show.
IMPORTANT PRODUCT gains a start and looks nicely placed because he carries no weight following the claim. Recent form is strong too in slightly weaker races.
Tip: CASINO LORD
CRIMINAL CODE I think may well run a very strong race here at odds first up. He is a good galloper while fresh, gets a welcome 3kg claim here and this is actually his pet journey. have in your numbers.
KIRWAN’S LANE appears ready now. He is third up today, will like this small field and he can run home hard when ready. Big show. Deserves to go close.
SOLAR APEX is smart and rising through the trades. Was very strong last start in slightly easier grade but deserves a go at this level and is well up to it.Should settle back and has wheels late.
Tip: KIRWAN’S LANE
If the win by PECUNIARY INTEREST last start is what he can do now and he can repeat it, he looks perfectly suited to this. Was just a stunning effort. Gives the impression this will suit.
REBEL RAMA is very honest and is well suited to this grade. Super fit now. Must be in your numbers.
AVION FURY is a bit up and down. When he fires up he can win this. Is 4th up now and is down a little in class so no excuses this time. Looms very large.
Tip: PECUNIARY INTEREST
You’ve got to like the chances of the toppie here ZEGALO. He just looks nicely placed and is 3rd up following a really good 2nd in this grade last start. The 3kg claim is helpful too. Looks to run into this race late and does boast better form then these in the past.
His stablemate NIFFLER is unbeaten in 3 starts to date and looks extremely progressive. This is harder than all Strats to date but has finishing power and will charge late. Much fitter now. Big show.
DHAKURI won an easier race last start but showed guts late. Must be included. Is very fit.
Tip: 1. ZEGALO
CENTIMENTAL is a good mare at this level and will run well even though she is first-up. Should drive forward and be in the top four all the way. Is such an honest mare.
MISS BALTIMORE is stepping up in class but looks up to it. Had brilliantly won last campaign 3 of past 4 starts. Has to be in your numbers.
HASTY DUCHESS is just a winner. Sure is graded below most of these and her wins have been in easier races but she knows how to find the line. Lightweight chance.
Tip: 1. CENTMENTAL
CRIADERAS doesn’t win often but is very reliable at this level and today is 4th up which is perfect. Has an astonishing finish on his day. First time at this trip but he runs like it will suit him. Will be in the finish.
POLLY GREY has a big weight but she won last start in this grade, is very tough and is even fitter now. Just a class act who must be in your numbers.
STOCKMAN is attracting the attention of some very good judges and being 4th up today he does look nicely placed. Did win two in row this level last campaign. Watch market.
Tip: 1. CRIADERAS
Big weight for popular runner SHADOW CRUSH has been offset a tad by Tom Sherry taking 1.5kg off. And that may make the difference. He is 3rd up into this, very fit, suited by trip and grade and drawn well enough. Must be included.
RANGES looked great winning a similar race first-up but then 2nd up syndrome kicked in and he was average when 6th last start. On home track here so can improve. Big danger.
TAMERLANE just doesn’t know how to run a bad race. Gets back but can unleash and is super fit now 2nd up. Run last start when flashing home for 2nd had red light on it. Has to be included.
Tip: 1. TAMERLANE
I think you just have to assume HOLYFIELD is a good horse at this level and have in your numbers. Was on pace and a very strong late when 2nd up last start and placed this grade. Must be fitter now.
SNIPPY FOX is racing lights out. Up in class here a bit but deserves to be with a pair of gutsy wins since resuming. Sure to run well again. Big chance in this.
BLESK is very fit and races well when allowed to settle and get a clear run in the straight. Will get that opportunity here. Expect a brilliant finishing burst.
Tip: 1. HOLYFIELD
WAIHAHA FALLS is a more than handy type at this level. Always runs honestly. Ran home like a star last start to win a similar race. Weight catching up with him but he is strong and reliable.
CASINO KID settles way back and tends to find trouble in the straight. If he tops the rise with clear air he can fly late.
EL PARMY deserves a shot at this level because he’s won his past two. Has pace and strength and is in here with a light weight. Keep safe.