Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s Sunshine Coast meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Rail Position: True entire circuit
I COULD DO BETTER relished the heavy ground when finishing too well from the back at Gold Coast last start. Likely to get similar conditions and looks nice each way odds.
WARP SPEED did some early work to go forward last start at Doomben but still proved touch too smart. Third-up from spell and he will not mind if the rain stays.
PROSPECTUS is another last start winner. Drove home to finish too well at Ipswich and if he gets similar run will be a factor again.
INDISPENSABLE looks close to win. Had no luck when always wide at Ipswich last start but still got within a length of Prospectus. Must include despite another wide draw.
Tip: I COULD DO BETTER
Was on EAST ASIA last start and she did not let me down with good strong win at Doomben. She only needs to hold that form to get away with this.
SHIJIN was only run down late by East Asia last outing. She may have to do some work from her wide gate but if she can find soft lead will take catching again.
LOVE EXPRESS was luckless when always wide here first-up and was entitled to tire late. Drawn perfectly and will get much better run.
KALI was competitive for a long way at Doomben first-up before tiring. Has won a trial this track since and would not leave out of multiples at big odds.
Tip: EAST ASIA
SEQUESAY looks a smart filly. She was untouched winning at Toowoomba first-up and that looked a nice hit out for this. Barrier is a major concern but she still goes on top for me.
SACCA was a class above field here first-up from spell. He takes on a tougher affair but with natural improvement believe he can measure up to these.
CARRIBEAN KING did not have much luck when bumped and got too far off them in Listed company at Eagle Farm. Back in right race and third-up from spell will be an improver.
BERDINI’S GIRL looked a chance on the corner in Listed company at Eagle Farm but just peaked on run late. Has horror barrier but form good enough.
Tip: SEQUESAY
Sunshine Coast R4 – Open Handicap 1000m
I’VE GOTTA NEL comes into this ready third-up from spell. Only run down final stages at Doomben last start and from ideal barrier here she should get her chance to win.
JARDIN ROUGE just peaked on her run last 200m first-up at Doomben. Sure to be better from that outing and she can feature in this.
JUST ORM was not beaten all that far in the Chief de Beers last start. Third-up from spell and he will not mind wet ground. A must for first four players.
Tip: GEE TEE TEE
Going to have something each way on ALEYSA’S DREAM as she comes to town. Just missed this track two starts back then odds on at Rockhampton last start and was too strong. Barrier her concern.
Liked the way SUPERARE finished off to get up and win here last start. He loves it wet and would be watching for him to be powering over them final stages.
DUSTY TYCOON resumes from spell. She has won fresh and from nice draw would not leave her out of multiples first-up.
GOLDSBOROUGH is racing in super form this time in having won two of his three starts this time in and both on this track. Loves his home track and this a winnable race.
Tip: ALEYSA’S DREAM
TAMILAIDE looks a smart gelding. Relished the heavy to win at Gold Coast first-up then been good when placed in two Doomben runs since. Awkward barrier but should get each way odds.
DZSENIFER looked touch unlucky not to have won at Ipswich first-up when held-up late at Ipswich. Strips fitter and she is unbeaten in two second-up runs. Must include.
PALAISIPAN has plenty of speed and she makes her own luck going forward. Unbeaten in all four starts and although this her toughest test she can measure up from ideal barrier.
MAGIC CONQUEROR just could not measure up in Group 3 Gunsynd last start. Not beaten all that far at Eagle Farm two start back and he may sneak into top four at monster odds.
Tip: TAMILAIDE
STOCKMAN relished the heavy ground to win in Listed company at Rosehill last start. Likely to get similar conditions and he may just be bit too good for these.
WU GOK just battled final stages behind Stockman at Rosehill last start. Hard to see him turning the tables on the favourite but he can run into a placing.
FLASH AAH finished the race off solidly when placed in the Ipswich Cup last start. Should get nice run in behind the speed and he will be a factor late.
HAPPY GO PLUCKY sat up on the speed and was too strong winning the Ipswich Cup last start. Looks for Steph Thornton to roll forward on him again and he may try and steal this from the corner.
Tip: STOCKMAN
COVENTINA BAY is a talented Kiwi mare who is yet to find best in her two runs in Australia but not been far away. Drawn wide but no doubting her talent and going to have something on her each way.
CHARLEISE finished too well to win the Listed Spear Chief at Eagle Farm last start. That made it three wins from last four starts and cannot leave her out again.
NICCANOVA won the Group 2 Victory Stakes first-up then been close in two Group 1 runs since. Back in right race and she will be steaming home last 200m.
SNITCH comes off a last start Eye Liner win at Ipswich last start. Should get the perfect run in behind the speed and will have last crack at these.
Tip: COVENTINA BAY
DERULO sat just off the speed before finishing too well when favourite at Gold Coast last start. Will not mind a wet track and he goes on top to finish the program.
JETSKI is threatening to win in this class. Placed at Doomben first-up then backed that up with a minor spot here last start. Third-up and he gets his chance.
RENOUF won three straight then was beaten less than 2 lengths here last start. May need touch of luck from barrier but she is a must for multiples.
REBEL ROCK was solid enough when placed at Gold Coast first-up and he will be much better from the outing. Place claims.
Tip: DERULO