Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s Cranbourne meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races on the Cranbourne course. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 6
Rail Position: True 1600m-1000m, Out 3m remainder
YOU ESS ESS ARE is bred to have plenty of speed and she certainly showed that winning a jumpout with ease. Perfectly drawn and happy to have something on her on debut.
GREYT MUMMA is another that showed natural pace to lead a Mornington jumpout and win. Expect she will be sitting in first couple and if any stable support must respect.
TAUT YOU COULD is a brother to the smart O’Tauto. Given a very easy time in his jumpout and looked to have plenty more in the tank. Drawn to get perfect run and should have last crack at these.
EL PADRINO placed in his Caulfield jumpout. Would have had him a little higher in the tips if he had drawn a little better but a must for all exotics.
Tip: YOU ESS ESS ARE
STATION ONE was well supported on debut and got the job done then just bit plain at Flemington after going bit too hard. Looking for him to settle a bit better and he takes catching.
BLUSHING TYCOON loomed to win at Flemington last start but just found a smart one a touch better on the line. Only needs to hold that form to get away with this.
THE AMAZONIAN won well when the blinkers went on at Echuca then forget Valley run when outclassed. She gets back in right race.
TOROPEAK is still eligible for maiden company but she has been consistent and from perfect barrier should get her chance.
Tip: STATION ONE
Like JIGSAW on his home track. Not beaten all that far at Flemington two back then just got too far off them at Caulfield last start in hot race. Back in right company.
XTRA GEAR won her maiden three starts back then has taken on Group races at next couple and not been disgraced. This an easier assignment and she will go close.
SCISSOR STEP chased home strongly when placed in Group 3 company last start. Drawn to get the perfect run in transit and he will get his chance from the corner.
RIDUNA should have finished closer at Flemington last start when had to steady final stages and lost momentum. Had been racing well enough in Sydney previously and must include.
Tip: JIGSAW
OUR LONE STAR chased home steadily first-up at Bendigo and looked like he would benefit from the outing. Improved quickly last time in work and happy to have something each way.
OCEANS OF STANIMA is the big query crossing the Tasman for the first time. Won two straight in New Zealand before hitting line soundly last start. He is up to this.
REAL SENSATION was placed fresh then not disgraced at Flemington last start. Drawn to get the perfect run in transit and third-up looks ready to win.
MISTER ME fought the race out strongly after racing on the speed at Pakenham last start. Drawn perfectly and he will make his own luck going forward.
Tip: OUR LONE STAR
If ever there is a mare that deserves a change of luck it is APRIL RAIN. Should have won first-up at Rosehill then forget she started at Flemington last outing. Drawn ideally and she can win.
STANDOFF was making good late ground when placed at Flemington last start. Another who will be primed to find best third-up and would not be surprised to see her win this.
If PAUL’S REGRET found her best form she would give this a real shake and must include here from perfect barrier draw.
MAYBE THE BEST won with something in hand at Bendigo last start after a couple of consistent placings. Perfect barrier and she must be included in chances.
Tip: APRIL RAIN
DEXELATION has a sharp turn-of-hoof and it has been on display at his last couple of starts winning both impressively. Will give them a start on the corner but watch for him late.
BLESS HER looks close to a win. Beaten less than a length in Listed company two starts back then forget Flemington run. Drawn ideally and this nice race for her.
HUFFINGTON has not been beaten all that far in last couple in Adelaide. Stable bring her across the border for what looks a winnable race.
BLAZEJOWSKI resumes from spell. Placed at Caulfield when fresh last time in work and his first-up record (6:3-0-1) demands he be included in chances.
Tip: DEXELATION
Going to have something each way on ARAMAYO. Placed in G1 Epsom two starts back then was making good late ground in the G1 Cantala. This a winnable race.
AGE OF CHIVALRY was so brave winning the G3 Chatham at Flemington last start. Drawn to drive through and control this race from on the speed and he is the one to catch.
JUSTACANTA drove through to win the G2 Linlithgow two starts back then just missed last start. Will sit off them but if leaders begin to tire he will be powering home late.
DON’T DOUBT DORY showed sharp sprint to get the job done at Mornington last start. Will get perfect sit in behind the speed and if gap opened he will take holding out.
Tip: ARAMAYO
MANKAYAN is screaming out for a win. String of placings leading into this and his last run in the Hotham was brave. Makes own luck up front and he gets his chance for a big race win.
ACCOUNTABILITY has been little one paced in both runs in Victoria but he does keep coming and looks a true stayer. Racing well and he will be right in the mix again.
STARCASTER won the Benalla Cup two starts back then he just found the Moonee Valley Cup a little too hot last start. Drawn ideally and a must for exotics.
TRUE MARVEL won a couple straight then went to Sydney and never got into the race when always out the back. Smart and he can bounce back in this.
Tip: MANKAYAN
IMPERIAL HILTON resumes from spell. He is unbeaten from two first-up tries most recent winning at Hillside fresh. Drawn touch awkwardly but cannot leave him out.
THE GENERAL won on the heavy at Moe two starts back then placed at Kyneton last start again on wet track. Likely to get similar conditions and this nice race for him.
SWEET SIXTEEN was making steady ground final stages at Sale first-up. Nice barrier and would not leave out of chances.
NAVAL ENVOY has been racing in consistent form and comes off last start Flemington placing. Inside barrier a bonus and cannot leave out of multiples.
Tip: IMPERIAL HILTON