Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, looks at every runner in Saturday’s Group 1  Flemington Turnbull Stakes with horse racing tips for the first four. Read on to see how he maps – he has included the potential fora damp track in his thoughts. Good luck!

1. KNIGHTS ORDER (14) 70x3521x13

T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott /J: Jordan Childs (57.5kg)

The way this race will be run should suit him a great deal. He can charge across from this wide gate and find the fence in front. Probably then steadies the speed and he is so tough late. Looks extremely hard to run down.

2. DUAIS (5) 0x96117x06

T: Ed Cummings /  J: Josh Parr (57kg)

Is the star of this field and is ready to show up. Loves this track and is 3rd up into this after a couple of solid but relatively uninspiring runs to get her fit. This is a totally different ball game and expect her to be on song and finishing like a train. Mid-race speed will help her.

3. Numerian (12) 125×11 Scratched

4. PROFONDO (7) 121x04x347

T: Richard Litt / J: Craig Williams (56.5kg)

Is ready to show up. Has been plagued by short trips and heavy tracks in Sydney. Loves this journey, is 4th up and will be right in the fray. Is a Gr 1 winner this trip. Watch betting.

5. GREAT HOUSE (15) 0x438240x3

T: Chris Waller/ J: Brett Prebble (56kg)

Such a good, honest and strong stayer. His first up run when 3rd in a 1700m handicap was a great trial for this. Goes well while fresh and trip looks made to order. Should be competitive. Rates highly.

6. SMOKIN’ ROMANS (6) 112219×921

T: Ciaran Maher & David Eustace / J: Ethan Brown (55.5kg)

Interesting galloper. Runs this trip out very well and loves the mud. Will be on speed probably on the outside of Knights Order and can really stay tough down the running. Did it that way to score Gr 3 win this trip last start.

7. MILFORD (16) 078x5311x9

T: Michael Moroney /J: Pat Moloney (55.5kg)

Another with credentials although he is up in class here. Did win two on the bounce last campaign in open grade and is at his best when up on the speed all the way. There will be a lot of pace in this, however.

8. INSPIRATIONAL GIRL (13) 2x5x6160x2

T: Danny O’Brien /  J: Jye McNeil (54.5kg)

Very good mare but query on the trip. Has never won past 1600m. Saying that, her run first up when 2nd to Mr Brightside at Gr 2 level over a mile was eye-catching. Does boast a win over Zaaki at 1600m and does run on.

9. CHAPADA (9) 90x0036x84

T: Michael Moroney/ J: Dan Stackhouse (54.5kg)

Gr 1 placed this trip here in the past and not too far away last start behind Smokin’ Romans over 2000m. Fitter now and meets him 3kg better.

10. ALEGRON (2) 2x80314x71

T: James Cummings / J: Damien Oliver (54.5kg)

This is a good, tough stayer and he is in this up to his eyeballs. Is Gr 1 placed and last start in Sydney when 2nd up, he was extremely strong and impressive winning open grade. Super fit now, light weight on his back and looms very large. Easily beat Knights Order last start.

11. YOUNG WERTHER (1) 5232x528x4

T: Danny O’Brien /J: Damian Lane (54.5kg)

Fascinating horse. Has raced 12 times, been Gr 1 placed on multiple occasions but has only ever won a Geelong maiden. Saying that, he is soo0 strong at this level and his 4th when resuming was a top effort. Will make his presence felt late here.

12. GOLD TRIP (10) 34x52x3x33

T: Ciaran Maher & David Eustace /  J: Jamie Kah (54.5kg)

You could literally cut and paste the comment for Young Werther for this bloke. He’s raced just 12 times, one win and multiple Gr 1 placed. He is 3rd up here though and looks a weighted special. Is getting better every run in Australia and will be in the finish so have in your numbers.

13. CRYSTAL PEGASUS (8) x211119x90

T: Chris Waller / J: Michael Dee (54.5kg)

Probably sits back near the rear and likely to stay there. Hasn’t shown any worthwhile form in 3 runs since March.

14. LUNCIES (3) 2x529302x2

T: Kris Lees / J: Harry Coffee (54.5kg)

Smart racehorse and is 2nd up here after a slashing effort in the Gr 3 Cameron over 1500m when storming home for 2nd. Is versatile as he can sprint and stay. Great characterises for this race.

15. MAXIMAL (4)x6x00x25x8

T: John O’Shea / J: Ben Melham (54.5kg)

At his best he is a real player. But is 2nd up here and has never won 2nd up. Was responsible for some great winter runs, placing at Gr 1 level in the Doomben Cup beating Zaaki home. Watch the market.

16. SUREFIRE  (11) 11x120x155

T: Chris Waller / J: Blake Shinn (54.5kg)

Interesting galloper. Generally runs honestly and well enough. Last start was heavily backed but beaten 2 lengths by Alegron in Sydney at level weights this trip. That makes him much fitter this time around  can sneak a place.

17. HEZASHOCKA (17) x796x13212

T: Mick Price & Michael Kent /J: Dan Moor (54.5kg)

Up in grade here but gee his form is consistent and seems to love this trip. Narrowly beaten here last start in Open 1700m handicap but did beat Great House home that day. Place.