Form analyst, SCOTT MCDONELL, previews Saturday’s meetings, with horse racing tips and analysis for the five best bets of the weekend. Good luck, punters!

 

Ascot Race 8 – Northerly Stakes (Group 1) 1800m

16:45 (local time)
Appears to be a two horse race here with Casadian coming over from the east and the local star 3YO filly In Amelias Jewel. I’m sticking with AMELIA’S JEWEL who is taking on open class for the first time but we all know how smart she is and looks ready to take the next step.
She is drawn perfectly on the rail and Carberry will give her every chance to run the 1800m trip from in behind what appears a race with some speed.
I can see her coming off their heels on straightening for home and putting a gap on the opposition up the straight. With only 50kgs, will Cascadian be able to give her 9kgs and come from behind her? I’m tipping not!

Tip: AMELIA’S JEWEL

Ascot Race 6 – Jungle Dawn Classic 1400m

16:05 (local time)

SENTIMENTAL QUEEN looks to be well suited in this very open affair. This 6YO mare should get a nice trail in behind the speed and will be finishing off well at the business end.

Her first up from a spell form is first rate with 2 wins and 2 placings from those 5 efforts and is coming off 2 recent trials at Lark Hill. Appears nice each way value.

Tip: SENTIMENTAL QUEEN

Pakenham Race 7 – Pakenham Cup (Listed) 2500m

16:20 (local time)
MILFORD has been racing solidly this time in, winning the G3 Eclipse last week at Caulfield nicely. Seems to be dropping slightly in grade coming back to the country cup scene off a Group win and with the in form Blake Shinn onboard.
I’m very happy to be looking for him to put two wins together and add the Pakenham Cup to this lightly raced 5yo geldings resume.

Tip: MILFORD

Rosehill Race 9 – Kia Ora Prague Handicap 1100m

17:20 (local time)

I AM ME looks the best of the day here at Rosehill in this benchmark 88 event. She had the perfect run in behind the speed last time out and proved far too strong for them at the line, winning with plenty in hand.

Won a recent trial to keep her ticking over and although wont get the cold sit like last start, if Tommy Berry can find a position in the run, look for her to be simply too classy for het opponents here.

Tip: I AM ME

Doomben Race 8 – George Moore Stakes 1200m

16:28 (local time)

On a heavy track today at Doomben I’m looking down in the weights and have come up with SAMOOT in this nice listed affair. This 5yo mare from the Kris Lees stable is coming up from NSW and has been racing quite consistently, coming off a 6th in the Group 2 Hot Danish at Rosehill last time out.

She has the form on heavy in the past winnimg twice and Jim Byrne jumps on today. WIth the lightweight and the track conditions, look for her to be running all over them at the line.

Tip: SAMOOT