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EPL – Matchweek 28 in Review

Matchweek 28 of the 2022-23 EPL season saw Spurs blow up on and off the pitch, while Leeds put some room on the relegation pack.

Here’s how it looked for punters: 

Conte good as gone after Spurs’ shambles

Blowing a comfortable lead, calling players ‘selfish’, then ripping into the club’s culture — just another day at the office for Antonio Conte. Unfortunately for him though (or fortunately, he may well view it), it’s likely to be the last thing of note he does as Tottenham manager.

Leading 3-1 after 75 minutes against the EPL’s bottom-placed club, three points should have been safe and sound for Spurs on Saturday. Starting $1.85 favourites against Southampton ($4.51), the North London club buckled under pressure at St Mary’s, with James Ward-Prowse delivering from the spot in extra-time to snatch a 3-3 draw. For a club that has done much to shed the previously common jibes of ‘Spursing’ (i.e. bottling) games in recent years, opposition fans had far too easy a reason to rehash old material.

Conte unleashed on his players post-game, and his tenure is as good as done. He will likely leave the club in a position where EPL Top 4 is looking shakier by the week. Spurs are now $3.30 with Palmerbet to finish inside the Champions League spots.

Leeds put gap on relegation rivals

Such is the incredibly tight nature of the EPL table’s bottom half, the league’s bottom NINE clubs are now separated by just FOUR points. It’s so tight that one victory can catapult a club up several spots. This was the case with Leeds United over the weekend; their 4-2 win over Wolves (as $3.27 outsiders away from home) moving the Yorkshire club from 18th to 14th. In fact, Leeds were the only club of the bottom nine to walk away with three points.

Four points in their last two games has seen Leeds lengthen from $2.60 relegation chances now out to $4.33 with Palmerbet. One EPL team that’s gone the other way is Nottingham Forest. And their plight underlines how a poor spell, even for a few weeks, can put clubs straight in the mire. A month ago Forest were $3.75 relegation chances, and considered good hopes of staying up. However one point in four games has seen them just two points off the bottom three. They are now $2.00 to return to the Championship.

Arsenal chip away on two fronts

Without an EPL fixture for league rivals Manchester City on the weekend (the Sky Blues hammered Burnley 6-0 in the FA Cup), and starting $1.27 favourites against Crystal Palace, it was never going to be a weekend where leaders Arsenal could achieve an awful lot. But an emphatic 4-1 win — which included a brace to Bukayo Saka — was important for two reasons. First, the Gunners again chipped away at their title price; now into $1.55 with Palmerbet. But notably, the three-goal deficit (Arsenal were $3.10 pre-match at -2.0) takes Mikel Arteta’s side to within just two goals of City’s league-leading goal difference of +42. Arsenal’s current form suggests they may well win the league without a goal difference tie-breaker. However if they slip late in the campaign, it may just prove pivotal.

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