UFC Fight Night 145 rolls into the City of a Thousand Spires, Prague in the Czech Republic and the Palmerbet Sports team breaks down the 6 biggest fights with their UFC tips & analysis for Sunday morning’s event!
- Blachowicz 22-7-0 (5 by KO/TKO & 9 by submission. 5 Losses by Decision)
- Santos 19-6-0 (14 by KO/TKO & 1 by submission. 3 losses by KO/TKO)
- Blachowicz def Krylov – Rd 2 – Submission – Triangle Choke
- Santos def Manuwa – Rd 2 – TKO – Punches
Analysis: The #4 ranked Light Heavyweight, Blachowicz, brings his submission game to take on the heavy hands of #6 ranked Thiago Santos. Blachowicz is on a 4 bout win streak and is likely to take on title holder, Jon Jones if he gets the win here. Blachowicz stands 6’2″ and 205 pounds but its his long limbs and superb takedown game that have taken him to within striking distance of a title shot.
Santos is a striking machine. His 68% KO rate is one of the best in the division and his heavy hands are a real danger for the Polish #4. He’ll look to defend the takedowns and counter when his opponent comes inside, as he’s conceding a reach advantage. His three win streak has to be respected and his ability to end fights quickly sees him enter as favourite despite the lower ranking.
Blachowicz hasn’t been stopped since 2011 and the longer the fight goes, the more his submission game comes into play.
- Carmouche 11-6-0 (4 by KO/TKO & 2 by submission)
- Pudilova 8-2-0 (2 by KO/TKO & 2 by submission)
- Carmouchie def Maia – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
- Pudilova def Aldana – Rd 2 – TKO – Punches
Analysis: The #6 ranked “Girlrilla” Liz Carmouche, takes on home town fighter, the 14th ranked Lucie Pudilova.
Carmouche is a beast, pure and simple. Cut like a diamond and a beast when it comes to over powering her opponents. Her accuracy and efficiency is likely to be telling against the relatively inexperience Czech fighter. A dodgy split decision loss two fights ago is the difference in what would have been a 4 win streak and a spot amongst the title contenders. In each of her last 4 fights, she has averaged almost 80% control. Absolute dominance.
Pudilova is a decent fighter. She’s got fast hands and strong conditioning but is yet to dominate. She’ll be able to last deep into the bout, but doubts remain on if she can defend the power the Carmouche has. Punch frequency is strong, but accuracy is poor at this level.
- Dodson 21-10-0 (10 by KO/TKO & 2 by submission)
- Yan 10-1-0 (4 by KO/TKO & 1 by submission)
- Dodson lost to Rivera – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
- Yan def de Andrade – Rd 2 – TKO – Punches
Analysis: The Magician, John Dodson takes on Bantamweight upstart, Petr Yan and this looks like a name maker for Yan who makes his fourth appearance in the UFC.
Dodson’s run in the UFC of late has been checkered. Since losing his shot at the Flyweight title at UFC 191 in 2015, he’s failed to materialise back into a credible threat. 3 wins from his last 6, his inability to stop a fight early has left too many even bouts in the hands of the judges. His stamina is proven, but one false move against Yan could spell trouble
Yan is coming into the UFC on a hot streak. Five from his last five, with three in the UFC, Yan owns one of the most dominant Bantamweight bouts in recent memory in his last fight. With three first round finishes, Yan’s fists fly at an alarming rate for his opponents. His #14 ranking is merely a number and he rightly enters as favourite.
Tip: Yan to WIN @ $1.32
- Macedo 5-2-1 (1 by KO/TKO & 1 by submission)
- Robertson 5-3-0 (0 by KO/TKO & 4 by submission)
- Macedo lost to Lee – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
- Robertson lost to Bueno Silva – Rd 1 – Submission
Analysis: The Venezuelan, Veronica Macedo is desperately trying to revive her UFC career, after two losses in her first three bouts has dampened excitement on the Taekwondo superstar. In her first two fights, she’s been out classed, out muscled and basically been a punching bag. Out struck 47 strikes to 129 in her first two, she will have to get active against an opponent with significant submission ability in Robertson.
Robertson’s fights certainly aren’t long ones! In her three UFC bouts, only one has gone past the first. Robertson’s Jiu Jitsu is some of the best in the womens division, but her lack of punching ability does lead to a one sided strategy. Stunned in her last fight by an armour submission, Robertson looks to be a class above Macedo.
- Pedersoli 11-1-0 (3 by KO/TKO & 4 by submission)
- Grant 7-1-0 (5 by KO/TKO & 0 by submission)
- Pedersoli lost to Oliveira – Rd 1 – KO
- Grant lost to Ottow – Rd 3 – Split decision
Analysis: Dwight Grant is extremely good at hitting people! His five run win streak was interrupted last bout with a somewhat poor split decision against and he’ll learn from that. He’ll learn that he has to use those heavy hands to end bouts before putting it before the judges. Expect him to take it right up to Pedersoli in this one. He’s the outsider, but we’ve seen enough in those knuckles to worry for Pedersoli.
We do have some concerns about Pedersoli. He kicked into a KO in his last outing and was pounded into next week in under 40 seconds. It reeked of not having a super weapon which is so important if you want to be something big in the UFC. He’s had great success in lesser comps, with wins by KO and Submission but the UFC is the big dogs. Big dogs need to be taught lessens and be challenged. Pedersoli doesn’t look up to it.
Tip: Grant to WIN @ $2.27
- Teymur 6-2-0 (3 by KO/TKO & 3 by submission)
- Fishgold 17-2-1 (2 by KO/TKO & 11 by submission)
- Teymur lost to Arce – Rd 3 – Submission
- Fishgold lost to Kattar – Rd 1 – TKO
Analysis: 145 pound nugget, Daniel Teymur has hit the UFC and is now in a fight for his career. 2 UFC bouts, 2 losses. Submitted in his last, he was simply outclassed. If it wasn’t for an impressive rear naked choke from Julio Arce in Round 3, he would have lost another by unanimous decision. His one chance is a strong submission game. Three of his last four fights before joining the UFC were won by submission. He needs to take Fishgold to the ground and work him over.
Meanwhile Brit, Chris Fishgold looks to have the tools to take this one the distance. A significant height and reach advantage allows him to keep his opponents at distance, before setting up clever takedowns and onto submissions. An out and out star in the UK’s Cage Fighter competition, his first foray into the UFC saw him cop a nasty KO, but his submission game is significantly superior. Experience and conditioning are also his strength and we expect to see this one spend most of the time on the mat.