The UFC rolls in to the gorgeous Russian city of Saint Petersburg late on Saturday night with UFC Heavyweight legend Alistair Overeem taking on the Russian Boa Constrictor, Aleksei Oleinik for Fight Night 149! Here are the Palmerbet Teams tips & preview.
- Overeem 44-17-0 (22 by KO/TKO & 17 by submission)
- Oleinik 57-11-1 (8 by KO/TKO & 45 by submission)
- Overeem def Pavlovich @ UFC Fight Night 141 – Rd 1 – TKO (Punches)
- Oleinik def Hunt @ UFC Fight Night 136 – Rd 1 – Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Analysis: The British beast, Overeem, currently ranked 7th in the Heavyweight division, is fighting for his UFC life. After two heavy defeats at UFC 218 and 225, including the mother of all beatings by Curtis Blaydes, an undercard win at Fight Night 141 has given him a pulse.
Overeats career is Hall of Fame material. With a list of victims including Lesnar, Miocic, Dos Santos, Mir to name a few, the only thing missing is a title. He’s at least three wins away and must move through past nemesis Stipe Miocic and Curtis Blaydes. An unlikely path.
Meanwhile Oleinik has been there and there about since bringing his submission game from the lower tier MMA circuit into the UFC in 2014. Unable to string more than two wins together, his is a story of dominating the immovable beasts with his chokes and cranks, then being beaten up by the more athletic big men. He has to win this one if he wants to stay relevant.
Overeem is a beast. His ability to finish a contest is amazing, with capable submission and power punching. He’s susceptible to a KO, with 13 of his 17 losses coming from being put to sleep but this one looks his. Oleinik is admittedly, one of the best big men on the carpet. His ability to manipulate his opponent into bad positions is outstanding. However if he keeps his feet, he might just go to sleep. Overeem will keep this on his feet throughout and take it by KO for us.
- Makhachev 16-1-0 (8 by KO/TKO & 2 by submission)
- Tsarukyan 13-1-0 (5 by KO/TKO & 5 by submission)
- Makhachev def Johnson – Rd 1 – Submission (Armbar)
- Tsarukyan def Hunt – Decision – Unanimous
Analysis: A Russian lightweight showdown is our next preview with two quality fighters looking to make a name for themselves in the UFC’s most stacked division. The Lightweight division is full of names like Khabib, McGregor, Dias, Poirier to name a few. If these boys want to make wind in the UFC, they need to come out and knock this one over in the first couple of minutes.
Makhachev has been in the UFC since 2015 and after a shaky start, has put together a very tidy run of four wins. Its the last two fight, both finished in the first round that has put the microscope on him as someone to watch. A beautifully executed armour at UFC on Fox 30 followed up a first minute KO and has him primed for a quality fight if he can make short work of Tsarukyan.
Fight Night 149 is a baptism of fire for Tsarukyan given its his first start in the big leagues. He’s certainly got the tank, with his last five fights all going to the last round, while his early career was full of lightning choke outs.
You get the feeling that the new boy is out of his depth and if it wasn’t for his country of origin, Tsarukyan wouldn’t be fighting so late in the card, so its Makhachev for the win.
- Pavlovich 12-1-0 (9 by KO/TKO & 0 by submission)
- Golm 6-2-0 (5 by KO/TKO & 1 by submission)
- Pavlovich lost to Overeem @ UFC Fight Night 141 – Rd 1 – TKO (Punches)
- Golm lost to Singh Bhullar – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
Analysis: The Russian theme continue’s with Pavlovich looking to avenge his loss to Overeem against a Brazilian beast with plenty of punching power. Golm is the perfect example of the step up in class needed when you join the UFC. Golm’s first six fights all ended in first round wins, including one of the greatest KO’s scene in MMA after just 18 seconds.
Golm’s in this one because he needs to deliver a massive KO. Easily beaten in his last two, he has developed a good tank. His advantage will be his ability to take it deep. Pavlovich will rely on his ability to take a punch, work his angles and look for a knock out. Serious doubts on if he can go the distance is the only reason he’s not at shorter odds.
The step up in class for Golm looks a bridge too far.
- Modafferi 22-15-0 (4 by KO/TKO & 5 by submission)
- Shevchenko 7-0-0 (2 by KO/TKO & 5 by submission)
- Modafferi lost to Eubanks – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
- Shevchenko def Kim – Rd 3 – Decision – Unanimous
Analysis: A pioneer of female MMA, Modafferi has probably taken more competitive punches than another other female MMA fighter. With 97 rounds, yes that’s 97 rounds of experience, the veteran fighter out of the US could see her final UFC fight at the age of 36. Technically competent, her lack of firepower has left her fate in the hands of the judges too many times to consider her career as remarkable.
Her opponent is undefeated Kyrgyzstan Muya Thai guru, Antonina Shevchenko. Shevchenko’s gift is technical striking. Her grappling is improving and her class looks to be at a higher level than her opponents but can she outlast her opponent who is renowned for eating punches for fun?
Modafferi is at great odds of over $3 for someone with a tank who can absorb so many punches, but without a weapon, we expect her to be a victim of the judges once again.