After the wild scenes of McGregor/Khabib, the Octagon moves to Madison Square Gardens where the most clinical fighter in all of the UFC – Daniel Cormier takes on the hottest heavyweight property in the Derrick Lewis. The Palmerbet Sports Team give their UFC 230 tips & analysis for the top main card fights!

The Main Event

UFC 230 Tips – Daniel Cormier V Derrick Lewis

13:00 (AEDT), Sun 4th Nov @ Madison Square Gardens, New York

Career records: 

  • Cormier – 21-1-0 (10 by KO/TKO & 4 by submission)
  • Lewis – 21-5-0 (18 by KO/TKO & 1 by submission)

Last bout: 

  • Cormier def Miocic – Rd 1 KO
  • Lewis def Alvarez – Rd 3 TKO

Final Thoughts: Efficiency versus Brutality. The Best versus The Beast.

Daniel Cormier is the real deal. The Heavyweight AND current Light Heavyweight title holder made light work of one of the divisions best in Stipe Miocic at UFC 226. His efficiency is his weapon in a division where his slight stature consistently sees him with reach, height and weight disadvantages. Make no mistake, Cormier is already in the conversation for one of the greatest UFC fighters of all time. Understandably he’s at short odds for the win.

Derrick Lewis is on a 3 win streak and his hands are some of the heaviest in the business. A knockout specialist, he’ll need to get the job done quickly if he is to win this one. He’s never fought in a 5 rounder in the UFC and there are serious questions about his stamina. He must keep the fight on his feet at all costs.

Cormier wont have to cut weight from his dad bod as hard in this bout and that means his power remains. We think he’ll use his ground game to take away Lewis’ knockout weapon and take the win over a gassed out Lewis. Then Brock Lesnar awaits?

Tip:  Method of Victory – Cormier by Submission @ $2.70

Main Card

UFC 230 Tips – Chris Weidman V Ronaldo Souza

13:00 (AEDT), Sun 4th Nov @ Madison Square Gardens, New York

Career records: 

  • Weidman – 14-3-0 (6 by KO/TKO & 4 by submission)
  • Souza – 25-6-0 (7 by KO/TKO & 14 by submission)

Last bout: 

  • Weidman def Gastelum – Submission – Rd 3
  • Souza def by Gastelum – Split Decision

Final Thoughts: Two quality Middleweight fighters looking to step into championship contention, with the All American Chris Weidman bringing one of the best takedown games in the UFC to New York. Weidman made his name knocking out Anderson Silva so there is plenty of options in his arsenal.

Ronaldo Souza is a veteran of the UFC and possesses a brutal ground game.  A kit bag full or arm bars, triangles & kimuras. If Souza manages to get Weidman off his feet, his immense Jiu Jitsu will take care of the rest.

Weidman is ranked #3 in the division but his form has been patchy since losing his title to Luke Rockhold in 2015. Souza’s form is equally inconsistent being without two wins in a row since Feb 2017. We’re not sure that Weidman has the takedown defence and like Souza for the submission.

Tip:  Method of Victory – Souza by Submission @ $5.00

UFC 230 Tips – David Branch V Jared Cannonier

13:00 (AEDT), Sun 4th Nov @ Madison Square Gardens, New York

Career records: 

  • Branch – 21-4-0 (5 by KO/TKO & 7 by submission)
  • Cannonier – 10-4-0 (6 by KO/TKO & 2 by submission)

Last bout: 

  • Branch def Santos – Rd 1 KO
  • Cannonier def by Reyes – Rd 1 KO

Final Thoughts: Branch has been on the edge of contending in the Middleweight division and you feel like this is his last shot to get into title contention. A Performance of the Night KO in his last bout was needed after being dismantled by Luke Rockhold previously. He’s got a full quiver of skills from knock out power, takedown ability and particularly his submission game.

Cannonier is in great shape for this fight and will be looking to his hands to get the job done here. He lands almost 4 significant strikes a minute and has a 60% TKO rate in his wins. He also eats a huge amount of heavy punches and has next to no takedown game.

We expect Branch to take this one to the mat, bringing Cannonier in close to take away the chance of a KO, and look to ground and pound his way to victory.

Tip:  Method of Victory – Branch by KO/TKO @ $4.50