At 38-13, the Milwaukee Bucks currently enjoy the best record in the NBA. The Palmerbet Sports team analyses why they’re great value to win both the Eastern Conference and the NBA Title.
Giannis the Great
Whilst this Bucks team has a ton of solid depth, they wouldn’t have the NBA’s best record without Giannis. The ‘Greek Freak’ has been phenomenal this season, putting up outstanding averages of 26.6 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 5.8 assists.
His elite athleticism allows him to get to the rim with ease, currently shooting 63% on 2-pointers this season. He can more than carry his own on defence, locking down the best opposing wing threat and averaging a combined 3 steals and blocks.
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) February 3, 2019
Currently finding himself in 2nd place for the MVP at $4.80, only an insane campaign from James Harden stands in his way. That said, if the Bucks manage to finish atop the East and Houston slightly regress, he is strong value at the current price.
Capable Supporting Cast
When you take a look at Milwaukee’s starting lineup, there isn’t any glaring weakness. Khris Middleton has been a very capable sidekick, averaging 17.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.2 assists to earn an All-Star reserve appearance.
Eric Bledsoe and Malcolm Brogdon are excellent two-way guards that have had success against both Kyrie and Kyle Lowry. In Brook Lopez, Milwaukee also has an elite stretch 5 that can really open things up for Giannis.
A solid bench featuring veterans like George Hill, Tony Snell, and Ersan Ilyasova is also more than capable of getting after it in the playoffs. Combine this with the coaching upgrade of Mike Budenholzer and the Bucks have all the makings of a team that can make a deep run.
Congrats to Khris Middleton for being recognized as a 2019 NBA All-Star💫
Money Middleton has flown under the radar for years and is now receiving the recognition he deserves. As a former 2nd round pick, Khris has defied all odds
17.3 PPG / 5.7 RPG / 4.2 APG pic.twitter.com/m2zuYHkPjs
— IKE Bucks (@IKE_Bucks) February 1, 2019
Whilst having the best record in the NBA is very impressive, the Bucks plus-minus of + 9.8 shows just how dominant they’ve been this season. This means they outscore opponents by an average of 9.8 points per game, comfortably the best in the association.
As a reference point, the only other team over +7 is the surging Golden State Warriors at +7.1. This suggests that Milwaukee is far from a paper tiger and are a force to be reckoned with come May and June.
Their record at home has also been incredibly impressive, tying with Denver for the fewest home losses at 22-4. This is especially huge if they can maintain the best record in the league, giving them home court in each series.
The best record in the NBA is one thing, but punters are rightfully more concerned about their record against the spread. Milwaukee have also been excellent in this regard, going 29-19-3 against the number so far.
This is currently the second best in the association and miles ahead of other elite teams like the Warriors, Raptors, and Celtics. They’ve been consistent both home and away this season, enjoying a profitable ATS record in both.
Updated ATS standings – NBA:
1. Mavericks 29-19-1
2. Spurs 31-21
3. Bucks 27-19-3
4. Kings 28-21-1
5. Thunder 28-22
6. Nuggets 27-22
7. Nets 29-23
T8. Trail Blazers 28-23
T8. Clippers 28-23
10. Heat 26-22 pic.twitter.com/TkkkOPHIMn
— OddsShark (@OddsShark) January 30, 2019
This shows they’re being consistently undervalued in the market and could continue to be a good bet going forward. Against a Nets side that has lost 3 of their last 4 games tomorrow, Milwaukee are solid value laying only 7 points.
Despite a phenomenal campaign so far, the Bucks currently find themselves $4.40 to win the East and $14 to win the title. This is in large part due to the stiff competition they’ll face come playoff time.
Each of Toronto, Boston, and Philadelphia will pose a sizeable threat out East. These teams all have more veteran experience and have made deeper playoff runs than the Bucks.
As always, the threat of Golden State looms large out West. The Warriors have won 12 of their last 13 games and look close to unstoppable right now, especially with the emergence of Boogie Cousins.
DeMarcus Cousins just put Kuz on a poster pic.twitter.com/0GowHF3JVZ
— Logan Murdock (@loganmmurdock) February 3, 2019
That said, Milwaukee has enjoyed at least one victory against each of these four teams so far this season. They find themselves 3-1 against Toronto and 1-0 against Philadelphia, having tied 1-1 with both Golden State and Boston.
This shows that Milwaukee is more than capable of competing against the big boys in the NBA. They have one of the Conference’s best players in Giannis to go along with a deep and versatile roster on both ends.
Having had one of the best seasons in franchise history so far, I think things are just getting started in Milwaukee. They look poised to go on and finish with the best record in the conference. Given their incredible home form, I think they have every shot at maintaining the #1 seed out East.
With 6 consecutive very winnable fixtures coming up, I expect Milwaukee’s odds to shorten to win both the Conference and the Title. If you like the Bucks, I’d definitely recommend acting now.