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Finals Week 1 Preview

Overview

Week 1 of the AFL finals will include four must-see matches as each team looks to get one step closer to the Grand Final. The finals will begin with the Magpies taking on the Demons at the MCG, followed by a do-or-die clash between Carlton and Sydney. This weekend will also include a match to further the rivalry of the Power and Lions, as well as the GWS Giants hoping to continue their fairy-tale against the Saints.

September 7, 2023 7:20 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Collingwood colors
Collingwood$1.80
H2H
Melbourne$2.00
-1.5$1.90
Line
1.5$1.90
Under 155.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 155.5$1.88
Melbourne colors

Recent Form

31-101 VS BOMBERS
W
100-124 VS LIONS
L
109-101 VS CATS
W
56-77 VS SWANS
W
87-60 VS HAWKS
W
60-56 VS BLUES
L

Team News

Magpies (In: Beau McCreery, Darcy Moore, Nathan Murphy Out: Billy Frampton, Jack Ginnivan, John Noble)

Demons (In: Michael Hibberd, Tom McDonald Out: Daniel Turner, Jake Melksham)

What We Like

Magpies veteran midfielder Scott Pendlebury has kicked at least a single goal in each of Collingwood’s last four matches. Expect him to do the same with all of his finals experience and the absence of Brownlow-favourite Nick Daicos.

Any Time Goal Scorer Scott Pendlebury $3.60

Final Thought

Collingwood has won 16 of its last 18 home matches and will be looking to continue their amazing season with a win that will see them enter the preliminary final and have a week off. This game will be a blockbuster must-watch match.

Match Result Collingwood $1.80

September 8, 2023 7:50 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

Carlton colors
Carlton$1.50
H2H
Sydney$2.60
-12.5$1.90
Line
12.5$1.90
Under 158.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 158.5$1.88
Sydney colors

Recent Form

73-105 VS GIANTS
L
87-91 VS SUNS
W
60-56 VS DEMONS
W
56-77 VS DEMONS
L
73-74 VS CROWS
W
114-90 VS SUNS
W

Team News

Blues (Likely Ins: Patrick Cripps, Sam Docherty, Jesse Motlop Out: Jack Silvagni)

Swans (Likely Ins: Justin McInerney, Tom Papley)

What We Like

Despite finishing the home and away season with a loss to the Giants, the Carlton Blues are the most in-form team in the competition and are complimented by the likes of Patrick Cripps, Charlie Curnow and Harry McKay. Considering the game will be played at the ‘G’, it’s hard to see the Swans winning but expect it to be close.

Margin Carlton 1-39 $2.15

Final Thought

After earning his maiden All-Australian selection it’s hard to see Errol Gulden not having a good game on Friday night. The Swan has recorded 30+ disposals in four of Sydney’s last five matches and will take on his former childhood team- Carlton Blues.

To Get 30 or More Disposals Errol Gulden $2.25

September 9, 2023 3:20 pm @ Melbourne Cricket Ground

St Kilda colors
St Kilda$2.13
H2H
GWS$1.72
4.5$1.90
Line
-4.5$1.90
Under 155.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 155.5$1.88
GWS colors

Recent Form

72-60 VS LIONS
L
88-55 VS CATS
W
93-57 VS TIGERS
W
73-105 VS BLUES
W
162-36 VS BOMBERS
W
136-85 VS POWER
L

Team News

Saints (Likely Ins: Max King, Dougal Howard, Josh Battle, Seb Ross)

Giants (Likely Ins: Finn Callaghan, Sam Taylor Out: Toby Bedford)

What We Like

It is surprising that the Saints are considered outsiders when they take on the Giants. While the Sydney team may come into the clash with the better form, the Saints will be playing at home and are expected to have the backing of the rowdy Victorian crowd.

Match Result St Kilda $2.13

Final Thought

If the Giants have any chance of winning, Toby Greene will need to lead them to victory. Coming off being awarded the honour of becoming the All-Australian Captain, the villain-turned-hero has kicked 4+ goals in each of GWS’s last three matches in Victoria.

To Score 4 or More Goals Toby Greene $3.90

September 10, 2023 7:25 pm @ The Gabba

Brisbane colors
Brisbane$1.47
H2H
Port Adelaide$2.67
-14.5$1.90
Line
14.5$1.90
Under 172.5$1.88
Total Score
Over 172.5$1.88
Port Adelaide colors

Recent Form

72-60 VS SAINTS
W
100-124 VS MAGPIES
W
99-93 VS CROWS
W
94-63 VS TIGERS
W
58-74 VS DOCKERS
W
136085 VS GIANTS
W

Team News

Lions (Likely Ins: Lincoln McCarthy)

Power (Likely Ins: Todd Marshall, Trent McKenzie)

What We Like

Zak Butters has been one of the Power’s most consistent performers this season and has kicked at least one goal in each of Port Adelaide’s last six matches away from Adelaide.

Any Time Goal Scorer Zak Butters $1.96

Final Thought

Lincoln McCarthy will return from injury this week for the Lions and an immediate impact from him can be expected. The forward has kicked 2+ goals in each of his last three home appearances.

To Score 2 or More Goals Lincoln McCarthy $2.35
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