Palmerbet Sports Team’s EPL Preview breaks down each game from Week 5 of the 2018-19 season, with Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool kicking things off in a Wembley blockbuster.
History: Played 170: Liverpool 80 V Tottenham 48 (42 Draws)
Last meeting: February 4, 2018 (EPL): 2-2 draw at Anfield
Final Thoughts: Week 5 of the EPL gets underway with an absolute barnburner as Tottenham host ladder-leading Liverpool.
The Reds have won all four games, including a 2-1 away victory over Leicester City in Week 4 that saw them concede their first goal of the season. After winning their first three, Spurs are looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss at Watford.
Liverpool have lost only one of their last 11 against Tottenham, but it was stinging defeat – a 4-1 rout at Wembley last season, with Harry Kane scoring two goals. Kane and Mo Salah both scored late goals in a frantic finish to the return clash at Anfield, which finished in a 2-all draw.
With a new-found defensive resolve, Liverpool are well-placed to bag an away victory against a Tottenham side reluctantly playing out of Wembley.
History: Played 15: Leicester 6 V Bournemouth 4 (5 Draws)
Last meeting: March 3, 2018 (EPL): 1-1 draw at King Power Stadium
Final Thoughts: Unfancied AFC Bournemouth will be aiming to build on their overachieving start to the season when they welcome Leiciester City to town.
Bournemouth kicked off with wins over Cardiff and West Ham, and a draw against Everton, before suffering their first loss at the hands of Chelsea in Week 4. But Leicester have also been solid, with back-to-back wins over Wolves and Southampton sandwiched in between 2-1 losses to Man United and Liverpool.
Five of the teams’ last six have won in either a 1-1 or 0-0 draw, including the last three straight. None of the club’s last seven encounters have produced more than two goals.
That sort of history – as well as the teams’ similarly impressive form – makes the stalemate a particularly attractive play here.
Tip: Draw @ $3.40
History: Played 43: Chelsea 18 V Cardiff 15 (10 Draws)
Last meeting: May 11, 2014 (EPL): Chelsea 2 d Cardiff 1 at Cardiff City Stadium
Final Thoughts: Chelsea have made the perfect start under new manager Maurizio Sarri, winning all four games against Huddersfield, Arsenal, Newcastle and Bournemouth.
Cardiff City are still searching for their first post-promotion win in the EPL but have proven themselves to be a plucky opponent, holding Newcastle and Huddersfield to scoreless draws and pushing Arsenal in a 3-2 loss in Week 4 after scoring their first two goals of the season.
Cardiff are hunting their first win at Stamford Bridge since 1981 and it’s unlikely to come this weekend, with Chelsea in a ruthless mood so far this season and looking to consolidate their spot near the pointy end of the ladder.
History: Played 43: Crystal Palace 14 V Huddersfield 12 (17 Draws)
Last meeting: March 17, 2018 (EPL): Crystal Palace 2 d Huddersfield 0 at John Smith’s Stadium
Final Thoughts: This weekend represents a big opportunity for Huddersfield and Crystal Palace to claw their way out of the bottom reaches of the EPL table.
After conceding nine goals in losses to Chelsea and Man City, Huddersfield have righted their leaky ship somewhat with draws against Cardiff and Everton. Palace’s first-up win over Fulham has been followed by three straight defeats to Liverpool, Watford and Southampton.
Town shocked Palace 3-0 at Selhurst Park early last season, but Palace gained some retribution with a 1-0 League Cup win at home and a 2-0 away result in EPL action.
Huddersfield are tempting as home underdogs but this one shapes as a low-scoring draw with both sides desperate to avoid getting mired in the relegation zone this early in the season.
Tip: Draw @ $3.00
History: Played 63: Man City 30 V Fulham 17 (16 Draws)
Last meeting: March 22, 2014 (EPL): Man City 5 d Fulham 0 at Etihad Stadium
Final Thoughts: Besides a Week 3 draw at Wolverhampton it’s been more or less business as usual for defending champs Man City, comfortably accounting for Arsenal, Huddersfield and Newcastle despite Kevin de Bruyne’s injury absence.
Fulham are starting to warm to the task of being back in the Premier League, stunning Burnley 4-2 in Week 3 before grabbing a 2-all draw at Brighton after losing their first two games.
City are unbeaten in their last 11 against Fulham, winning the last five straight by a combined 16-3.
The Citizens have been a bit below last season’s meteoric best, and although they are unlikely to let any points slip there is decent value in rank outsiders Fulham with a big start.
History: Played 180: Arsenal 75 V Newcastle 67 (38 Draws)
Last meeting: April 15, 2018: Newcastle 2 d Arsenal 1 at St James’ Park
Final Thoughts: Newcastle have been dealt a horrendous draw to start the season, playing four of the ‘Big Six’ in the opening five weeks. Consequently, their only points so far have come a scoreless draw at Cardiff – but they were far from disgraced in 2-1 losses to Spurs, Chelsea and Man U.
The jury is out on Arsenal in the post-Wenger era, with Unai Emery steering the Gunners to losses against Man City and Chelsea in the opening fortnight. They put away West Ham 3-1 at home in Week 3 but needed an 81st-minute goal from Alexandre Lacazette to put away Cardiff 3-2 in their most recent outing.
Newcastle ended a 10-match losing streak against Arsenal with a 2-1 upset at home late last season, coming from a goal down to win. It was also the first time in nine matches the Magpies had scored more than one goal against the Gunners.
If the hosts can maintain their defensive steel and take their chances in front of goal, there’s an upset in the offing against erratic Arsenal.
History: Played 30: Man United 20 V Watford 5 (5 Draws)
Last meeting: May 13, 2018: Man United 1 d Watford 0 at Old Trafford
Final Thoughts: Watford’s spectacular start to the season receives a stern test this weekend from a Man United side that needs to find some momentum.
Against the odds, the Hornets are one of only three clubs to have won all four games so far – culminating in a 2-1 upset of Tottenham a fortnight ago. United emerged from stinging back-to-back losses to Brighton (3-2) and Spurs (3-0) with a 2-0 win over Burnley in Week 4, courtesy of Romelu Lukaku’s first-half brace.
United have won 14 of their last 15 against Watford, including a 4-2 victory at Vicarage Road last season spearheaded by a first-half brace to Ashley Young.
There’s always a sense that United could blow Watford away if their blue-chip talent clicks, but based on what we’ve seen to date the hosts represent far better value as significant underdogs.
History: Played 128: Wolverhampton 65 V Burnley 37 (26 Draws)
Last meeting: March 19, 2016 (Championship): 1-1 draw at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: How Burnley’s stocks have plummeted this season. Last year’s seventh-placed surprise-packet have just one point to show for the opening month of this campaign, losing three straight to Watford, Fulham and Man United.
The Clarets’ success in 2017-18 was built on miserly defence but that has fallen by the wayside, leaking nine goals in their last three game – almost a quarter of their entire tally last season.
Wolverhampton’s promotion season is tracking nicely, holding Everton and Man City to draws at home and chalking up their first win at West Ham in Week 4.
Wolves are winless in their last four games against Burnley but they are perfectly placed to end that streak at home this weekend.
EPL History: Played 138: Everton 69 V West Ham 39
Last meeting: May 13, 2018 (EPL): West Ham 3 d Everton 1 at London Stadium
Final Thoughts: Everton are one of just five undefeated sides remaining in the EPL, but they will be eager to end their run of draws with a victory when they host bottom-placed West Ham.
Following their sole win over Southampton in Week 2, Everton have drawn at Bournemouth and at home against Huddersfield. West Ham are the only team to have lost all four games so far, crashing to Liverpool, Bournemouth, Arsenal and Wolves.
Everton crushed West Ham 4-1 Goodison Park during the first round last season, but Hammers returned the favour 3-0 at London Stadium during the latter rounds. However, West Ham have won only one of their last 12 on the road against the Toffees.
The home side are solid value head-to-head, but with West Ham struggling so badly backing Everton to chalk up a big win is worth the risk.
History: Played 69: Southampton 33 V Brighton 20 (16 Draws)
Last meeting: August 28, 2018 (League Cup): Southampton 1 d Brighton 0 at AMEX Stadium
Final Thoughts: Southampton arrested a two-game slide – losing back-to-back games 2-1 to Everton and Leicester – by defeating Crystal Palace 2-0 on the road in Week 4.
Brighton followed up their shock defeat of Man United in Week 2 with a 1-0 loss at Liverpool and a 2-2 home draw against Fulham.
The teams met recently in the EFL Cup, with Southampton bagging a 1-0 away win via a late Charlie Austin goal. Brighton have won only two of their last 16 against the Saints, though both Premier League clashes last season finished in 1-1 draws.
Both sides have shown promising signs this season and we can’t split them.