The Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for each match from Week 5 of the 2019-20 season, kicking off with a showdown between Liverpool and Newcastle.
History: Played 177: Liverpool 85 V Newcastle 50 (42 Draws)
Last meeting: May 4, 2019 (EPL): Liverpool 3 d Newcastle 2 at St James’ Park
Final Thoughts: Liverpool have made a blistering four-win start to their EPL campaign, scoring 12 goals and conceding only three. The Reds put away Burnley 3-0 in Week 4 and are looking to extend their league winning streak at Anfield to 10 matches.
After losing their first two matches, Newcastle are slowly turning things around under Steve Bruce. The Magpies stunned Tottenham 1-0 away in Week 3 before playing out a 1-1 home draw against Watford.
Liverpool have won their last three straight against Newcastle, with Mo Salah scoring in all three. The Reds powered to a 4-0 rout at Anfield last season.
A similar result beckons here, with Newcastle still woefully short on scoring strikepower.
History: Played 33: Burnley 11 V Brighton 10 (12 Draws)
Last meeting: February 9, 2019 (EPL): Burnley 3 d Brighton 1 at Amex Stadium
Final Thoughts: Brighton’s surprise start to the 2019-20 season – a 3-0 win at Watford and a 1-1 draw at home to West Ham – has given way to more anticipated results. The Seagulls crashed 2-0 at home to Southampton before copping a predictable 4-0 thumping from Man City.
Burnley are equally desperate to get back in the winner’s circle. Since thrashing Southampton in Week 1, they have bookended a draw at Wolverhampton with losses to heavyweights Arsenal (2-1) and Liverpool (3-0).
After a run of five consecutive draws between the sides, Burnley won both encounters last year – 1-0 at home and 3-1 at Brighton.
Burnley are an enticing underdog option here, while ex-Brighton striker Ashley Barnes – who has scored four of the Clarets’ five goals so far – provides good value in the goalscorer markets.
History: Played 128: Man United 66 V Leicester 33 (29 Draws)
Last meeting: February 3, 2019: Man United 1 d Leicester 0 at King Power Stadium
Final Thoughts: Man United are off to another clunky start to their Premier League campaign, which belies their 4-0 Week 1 rout of Chelsea. Since then, the eighth-placed Dirty Reds have drawn away to Wolves and Southampton either side of a shock 2-1 home loss to Palace.
Leicester, meanwhile, are one of just three unbeaten teams after four rounds. They have followed up early draws with Wolves and Chelsea by beating Sheffield (2-1) and Bournemouth (3-1). Jamie Vardy bagged three goals in those victories.
Leicester have won just one of their last 22 against United and have picked up only a solitary draw from the teams’ last seven encounters. United won 2-1 at home and 1-0 away against the Foxes last season. Leicester’s last win at Old Trafford was in 1998.
The Old Trafford factor may come into play, but on recent form it’s hard to resist the value in $4.50 outsiders Leicester walking away from this road trip with at least a competition point.
History: Played 54: Sheffield 25 V Southampton 16 (13 Draws)
Last meeting: December 16, 2014 (EFL Cup): Sheffield 1 d Southampton 0 at Bramall Lane
Final Thoughts: Sheffield have made a handy start to their Premier League elevation, securing away draws against Bournemouth and Chelsea, and a home win over Palace. Their only defeat was to Leicester in Week 3 a week later, but coming from two goals down to steal a point at Stamford Bridge was a massive result for the Blades.
Highly-touted relegation contenders Southampton have turned things around since their heavy Week 1 loss to Burnley. After an honourable loss to Liverpool, the Saints upset Brighton 2-0 and held Man United to a 1-1 draw.
Southampton have managed just one win from their last six visits to Bramall Lane.
The absence of David McGoldrick and Callum Robinson, who were injured on international duty, is an untimely blow for Sheffield. That negates their home-ground advantage somewhat and a draw could be the best option here.
History: Played 55: Tottenham 30 V Crystal Palace 12 (13 Draws)
Last meeting: April 3, 2019 (EPL): Tottenham 2 d Crystal Palace 0 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Final Thoughts: After a strong start, Tottenham have enduring a couple of frustrating outings. They went down 1-0 to Newcastle at home in Week 3, before bottling a two-goal lead to draw 2-2 with Arsenal. Defender Kyle Walker-Peters is slated to return in a boost for Spurs.
The signs were worrying early for Crystal Palace after a scoreless home draw against Everton and a 1-0 loss away to Sheffield. But they have snared an unlikely top-four spot on the strength of back-to-back wins over Man United (2-1) and Aston Villa (1-0). Jordan Ayew scored in both victories.
Tottenham have won their last eight EPL games against Palace, including the last six to nil. But Palace managed a 2-0 FA Cup upset at home last season.
This is a tricky assignment for Spurs, but they have won seven and drawn two of their last 11 EPL games at home and should get the job done.
History: Played 107: Chelsea 41 V Wolverhampton 39 (27 Draws)
Last meeting: March 10, 2019 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge
Final Thoughts: Last year’s undisputed overachievers, Wolverhampton find themselves as one of only two clubs without a win after four matches. Wolves, languishing in 17th, drew their first three matches, before going down 3-2 at Everton in Week 4.
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last three since taking a 4-0 pounding from Man United, but they are still struggling to build any tangible momentum. The Blues have recorded home draws against Leicester and Sheffield either side of an away win over Norwich City. They led Sheffield 2-0 at halftime before unravelling.
After winning just one of the previous 10 matches between the clubs, Wolves had the wood on Chelsea last season. They beat the heavyweights 2-1 at Molineux Stadium and secured a 1-all draw at Stamford Bridge.
It’s difficult to get a genuine gauge on either side’s form just yet and the over appeals more in this one.
History: Played 68: Man City 36 V Norwich 9 (23 Draws)
Last meeting: March 12, 2016: 0-0 draw at Carrow Road
Final Thoughts: Norwich City are sitting on one win and three losses after their first month back in the EPL. They overwhelmed Newcastle 3-1 in Week 2, but went down to Chelsea (3-2) and West Ham (2-0) in their two subsequent matches. Teemu Pukki, who has found the back of the net five times already this season, was held goal-less for the first time against West Ham.
Manchester City are in second spot and unbeaten, racking up three comprehensive wins and a Week 2 draw against Spurs. They whipped Brighton 4-0 in Week 4 with Sergio Aguero notching two goals, taking his season tally to six. Raheem Sterling has five goals to date.
Norwich have won only one of their last 13 clashes with Man City, but they managed a scoreless draw at home against the heavyweights in each of their last two EPL seasons.
With Norwich already conceding 10 goals in four games, expect Man City to rack up a score on the road.
History: Played 12: Everton 8 V Bournemouth 2 (2 Draws)
Last meeting: January 13, 2019 (EPL): Everton 2 d Bournemouth 0 at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Bournemouth need some traction after suffering back-to-back 3-1 losses to Man City and Leicester, negating their draw with Sheffield and win over Villa in the opening fortnight.
It’s been an up and down opening month for Everton, starting with a scoreless draw at Crystal Palace, lifting slightly with a 1-0 home win over Watford, bottoming out with a 2-0 loss at Aston Villa, and rising again with a 3-2 victory against Wolverhampton. Richarlison was the two-goal hero against Wolves, bagging the 80th-minute winner.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last three against Everton at home, chalking up wins in 2016 and ’17, and coming from two goals down to secure a 2-all draw last season.
While Everton’s form has been hard to trust, they broke the attacking shackles in their last outing and they should have the firepower to get over an out-of-sorts Bournemouth.
EPL History: Played 30: Arsenal 17 V Watford 12 (1 Draw)
Last meeting: April 15, 2019 (EPL): Arsenal 1 d Watford 0 at Vicarage Road
Final Thoughts: Watford are anchored to the bottom of the table as one of only two teams without a win. They went down to Brighton (3-0), Everton (1-0) and West Ham (3-1) before nabbing a 1-1 draw at Newcastle in Week 4. The club sacked manager Javi Garcia last weekend, which doesn’t bode well for the beleaguered Hornets’ hopes of an impending revival.
Arsenal started the season with scrappy wins over Newcastle and Burnley, before going down 3-1 at Liverpool and drawing 2-2 at home to Tottenham. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in three of the Gunners’ four games.
Arsenal have won 11 of their last 14 against Watford, including the last three straight to nil. None of the clubs’ last 21 encounters has produced a draw.
Arsenal have hardly set the world on fire, but they are impossible to resist as a generously-priced favourite against the league’s current stragglers.
EPL History: Played 110: West Ham 40 V Aston Villa 38 (32 Draws)
Last meeting: February 2, 2016 (EPL): West Ham 2 d Aston Villa 1 at Villa Stadium
Final Thoughts: Aston Villa’s return to the Premier League has garnered one win – a stirring 2-0 result over Everton in Week 3 – and three losses to Spurs (3-1), Bournemouth (2-1) and Palace (1-0).
West Ham are keeping pace with the EPL front-runners, bouncing back impressively since their season-opening 5-0 loss to Man City. They drew 1-1 at Brighton, then carved out wins over Watford and Norwich by two-goal margins. Sebastien Haller has scored three goals in his past two outings,
The clubs’ last six encounters – which include three draws – all produced totals of two goals or less. West Ham have only managed one win from their last nine visits to Villa Park.
These sides are even money in the head-to-head stakes, but home-ground advantage won’t be enough for Villa this time around with West Ham bringing in form that can’t be ignored.