With just two months of the Premier League season remaining, get your EPL tips for every match of Week 30 – including a crucial blockbuster between Arsenal and Manchester United.
History: Played 100: Brighton 39 V Crystal Palace 36 (25 Draws)
Last meeting: December 4, 2018 (EPL): Brighton 3 d Crystal Palace 1 at Amex Stadium
Final Thoughts: Crystal Palace and Brighton kick off Week 30 in a key clash in the race to steer clear of the relegation scramble. Palace sit 13th on 33 points, eight ahead of the bottom-three. Brighton are three points back in 15th.
Palace have run into some decent form, with their only defeat in the past six rounds to Man United in Week 27. They trounced Leicester 4-1 and Burnley 3-1 – both on the road – either side of the United loss. After a seven-game winless streak, Brighton scored a pressure-relieving 1-0 win over last-placed Huddersfield in Week 29.
Crystal Palace are unbeaten in their last four at home against Brighton, including a 3-2 victory last season. But Brighton carved out an impressive 3-1 home win in Week 15 with three first-half goals.
Palace have only won three of 14 home games, but Brighton have accrued just one point from their last six on the road. The hosts are the smart option here.
History: Played 59: West Ham 32 V Cardiff 11 (16 Draws)
Last meeting: December 4, 2018 (EPL): West Ham 3 d Cardiff 1 at London Stadium
Final Thoughts: Cardiff City’s hopes of staying in the top tier have taken a hit with three straight convincing losses to Watford (5-1), Everton (3-0) and Wolverhampton (2-0). They sit 18th, though only two points behind Southampton.
West Ham, meanwhile, have their sight set on a finish in the top half after chalking up two wins and two draws from their last five games. Their only loss during that period was a 1-0 defeat to Man City, accounting for Fulham and Newcastle by two-goal margins either side.
West Ham are on a seven-match winning streak against Cardiff, who have only scored three goals during that losing run. Hammers prevailed 3-1 at home earlier this season.
West Ham only have one point from their last five away games, however, and it may be worth hedging in this one.
History: Played 52: Huddersfield 19 V Bournemouth 15 (18 Draws)
Last meeting: December 4, 2018 (EPL): Bournemouth 2 d Huddersfield 1 at Vitality Stadium
Final Thoughts: Last-placed Huddersfield need at least 14 points – which would mean doubling their current total – from their last nine rounds to even have a mathematical chance of avoiding the drop. In short, Town are playing in the Championship next season. A 1-0 upset of Wolves in Week 28 ended a 14-game winless run but they went down 1-0 to Brighton last week.
Bournemouth, relatively safe in 12th, are in a form funk as well. A draw with Wolves and four losses is the sum of their past five outings, outscored 12-2 in the process. But they showed some heart in a 1-0 loss to Man City last weekend.
Bournemouth boast six wins and a draw from their last nine against Huddersfield, including a 2-1 home victory in Week 15. But they were humbled 4-1 by Town at John Smith’s Stadium last season. Only one of their last seven clashes has produced less than three goals.
Huddersfield have scored just twice in their last eight games, while Bournemouth have scored just twice in their last five – playing the under may be the best-value option here.
History: Played 83: Fulham 39 V Leicester 27 (17 Draws)
Last meeting: December 5, 2018 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Craven Cottage
Final Thoughts: Leicester City fans haven’t had much to cheer about lately, winning just one of their last eight games to compound a season overshadowed by tragedy. They went down 2-1 at Watford last weekend but still sit 11th.
Second-last Fulham are destined for relegation, losing eight of their last nine and sitting 10 points adrift of 17th win nine rounds to play. They have generally held their own during their recent run of outs – as evidenced by 2-1 losses to Tottenham and last week against Chelsea – but they lack the class to ice games.
Fulham have lost just once in nine games against Leicester since 2001, winning four of the last seven. The teams drew 1-1 in London earlier this season.
A tough one to get a definitive read on but Leicester will be eyeing this off as a chance to grab a morale-boosting win.
History: Played 173: Everton 73 V Newcastle 65 (35 Draws)
Last meeting: December 5, 2018 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Newcastle’s recent purple patch – winning four and drawing one in a six-game stretch, outscoring their opposition 10-3 – petered out with a 2-0 loss at West Ham last weekend.
Patchy at best since the start of December, 10th-placed Everton are pointing in the right direction after a 3-0 win at Cardiff and a scoreless draw to stymie Liverpool at home.
Newcastle have earned just one win in their last 12 encounters with Everton, who won five straight against the Magpies before a 1-1 draw at home in Week 15. Four of the teams’ last five encounters produced two goals or less.
The Toffees’ dominance of this rivalry and recent form upswing is enough to negate the Magpies’ home-ground advantage and suggest they will leave Newcastle with a share of the spoils.
History: Played 192: Tottenham 81 V Southampton 62 (49 Draws)
Last meeting: December 5, 2018 (EPL): Tottenham 3 d Southampton 1 at Wembley Stadium
Final Thoughts: A match with a huge bearing on the relegation and top-four pictures. Southampton are 17th, just two points in front of Cardiff. Tottenham are third, virtually out of the title race but with Man United, Arsenal and Chelsea lurking nearby.
The Saints grabbed a vital 2-0 win over strugglers Fulham in Week 28 before an agonising 3-2 loss to United at Old Trafford, conceding in the 88th minute. Spurs followed up back-to-back away defeats to Burnley and Chelsea with a 1-1 draw at home to Arsenal. Harry Kane scored both of Tottenham’s goals in their current winless run but has not goaled in a winning effort since New Year’s Day.
Spurs boosted their spirits with a 1-0 away win over Dortmund earlier this week, however, going through to Champions League quarter-finals.
Southampton have won just one of their last 13 against Spurs, who racked up a 3-1 home win in Week 15. Eight of the last 11 encounters produced three goals or more – including six games with four-plus.
The Saints have only been held scoreless twice in their past 13 games and it’s worth having something on them at home against rusty Spurs.
History: Played 27: Man City 16 V Watford 6 (5 Draws)
Last meeting: December 4, 2018 (EPL): Man City 2 d Watford 1 at Vicarage Road
Final Thoughts: After wobbling their way through December and January, Man City now look on course to secure back-to-back titles, heading Liverpool by a point at the top of the table. They have won five straight and keep four consecutive clean sheets – though 1-0 results against West Ham and Bournemouth in the past fortnight weren’t super-convincing.
But eighth-placed Watford are no easybeats, chalking up six wins and five draws from their last 14 games – including a 2-1 defeat of Leicester last weekend. Less encouragingly, they have lost seven straight against ‘Big Six’ teams.
Watford’s last win over Manchester City was in 1989. The Citizens have won the last nine straight by a combined 29-5. The Hornets held their own in a 2-1 home loss in Week 15, but have lost by at least two goals in each of their last five visits to Etihad Stadium.
Man City may have one eye on their UCL clash with Schalke two days later and value is hard to come by in this one with the hosts $1.14 favourites. But backing them to grab a fifth straight win to nil looks a decent option.
History: Played 119: Liverpool 54 V Burnley 37 (28 Draws)
Last meeting: December 5, 2018 (EPL): Liverpool 3 d Burnley 1 at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: Liverpool surrendered the Premier League lead via a scoreless draw at Everton last weekend. They have not conceded a goal in four games and are winless in their last eight, but four of those were draws.
Burnley’s outstanding eight-game unbeaten run has given way to disappointing losses by two-goal margins to Newcastle and Palace in the past fortnight. They remain five points above the bottom three in 16th, but they are by no means safe.
Liverpool boast seven wins and a draw from their last nine encounters with Burnley. The Reds ran away with it 3-1 at Burnley in Week 15, though the Clarets can take some comfort from the 1-1 draw they achieved at Anfield last season.
Liverpool have a vital Champions League at Bayern Munich a couple of days after this clash, and Burnley – who go in as $17 underdogs – could sneak under their guard here.
History: Played 106: Chelsea 41 V Wolverhampton 39 (26 Draws)
Last meeting: December 5, 2018 (EPL): Wolverhampton 2 d Chelsea 1 at Molineux Stadium
Final Thoughts: It’s been a forgettable couple of months for sixth-placed Chelsea, but they have won their last two EPL games against Spurs (2-0) and Fulham (2-1) to keep their bid for a top-four finish afloat.
Wolverhampton are clinging to seventh after losing just one of their last seven. They bounced back from a dismal 1-0 loss at Huddersfield by blanking Cardiff City 2-0. While they have the equal-least goals of any team in the top half, Wolves conceded just four in their last six games.
Chelsea have won 10 of the last 12 between the teams, but Wolverhampton pulled off a 2-1 upset at home in Week 15. Wolves have lost their last six at Stamford Bridge by a combined 21-2, however.
The Blues will be on a short turnaround from their Europa League clash at home to Dynamo Kiev, but they have only lost once at home this season and should account for Wolves.
EPL History: Played 229: Man United 99 V Arsenal 82 (48 Draws)
Last meeting: January 25, 2019 (FA Cup): Man United 3 d Arsenal 1 at Emirates Stadium
Final Thoughts: Fourth spot goes on the line as Manchester United travel to take on Arsenal, with just one point separating the big guns.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last four, winning three straight – including a 5-1 demolition of Bournemouth – before drawing 1-1 with Tottenham at Wembley. United extended their unbeaten EPL run to 12 games (including 10 wins) thanks to a nerve-wracking 3-2 win over Southampton last weekend. Romelu Lukaku struck in the 88th minute to snatch the victory and complete his second straight brace.
United are unbeaten in their last four against Arsenal, winning three. The teams drew 2-2 at Old Trafford in Week 15, before the Red Devils bounced the Gunners out of the FA Cup 3-1 at Emirates Stadium six weeks ago. Eight of the teams’ last 11 showdowns produced three goals or more.
Arsenal have been beaten just once and held to a draw twice in 14 home games. But both sides are coming off midweek Champions/Europa League assignments and a draw is standing out as the most likely result here.