Palmerbet Sports Team’s Premier League Preview has EPL Tips for every game from Week 12 of the 2018-19 season, headlined by the Manchester derby.
History: Played 67: Brighton 23 V Cardiff 22 (22 Draws)
Last meeting: January 24, 2017 (Championship): Brighton 1 d Cardiff 0 at Amex Stadium
Final Thoughts: Cardiff City slipped to second-last via their 1-0 home loss to an emotion-charged Leicester City. They have one win and two draws to their name so far, but they have been far more formidable in Cardiff.
Brighton lifted themselves well clear of danger with a trio of 1-0 wins over West Ham, Newcastle and Wolves. Their run ended with a disappointing 3-1 result at Everton but there’s no question the Seagulls have exceeded expectations to date.
Cardiff City are unbeaten in their last three at home against Brighton, but the visitors present too much value to pass up as underdogs here.
Tip: Brighton Win @ $3.00
History: Played 41: Huddersfield 22 V West Ham 12 (7 Draws)
Last meeting: January 13, 2018 (EPL): West Ham 4 d Huddersfield 1 at John Smith’s Stadium
Final Thoughts: Huddersfield remain in the bottom three but they will be buoyed by their first win of the season, a 1-0 home victory over fellow stragglers Fulham. Somewhat fittingly for the league’s least potent offence (five goals in 11 games), it was an own-goal that secured the win for Town.
West Ham have climbed off the canvas of their 0-4 start to the season. They have moved to 13th with three wins and two draws from their last seven, including a 4-2 belting of Burnley last weekend.
In the clubs’ first clashes in 20 years, West Ham thumped promoted Huddersfield 2-0 at home and 4-1 away last season.
Hammers showed what they can do on attack last week and should have too much firepower for a Huddersfield side that is yet to score twice in a game this season.
History: Played 110: Burnley 45 V Leicester 35 (30 Draws)
Last meeting: April 14, 2018 (EPL): Burnley 2 d Leicester 1 at Turf Moor
Final Thoughts: Leicester City lifted in the midst of the tragic death of their owner to beat Cardiff City 1-0 away last week. This game promises to be even more poignant for the 10th-placed Foxes as they return to King Power Stadium.
Burnley’s bitterly disappointing campaign continued with their third straight loss, a 4-2 thrashing at West Ham. Last year’s defensive misers have conceded 13 goals in their last three outings and have leaked the second-most (25) across the season to sit 15th.
Leicester have won eight and drawn three of their last 13 against Burnley. But over the past two seasons their league encounters were split two apiece, with the home side winning on each occasions.
Burnley are bit-part players in a huge occasion for the Leicester City club and the result should reflect that.
History: Played 10: Bournemouth 5 V Newcastle 3 (2 Draws)
Last meeting: February 24, 2018 (EPL): 2-2 draw at Vitality Stadium
Final Thoughts: Newcastle jumped from last to 17th with a 1-0 win over Watford in Week 11 – their first of the season. Their attack remains second-rate but the Magpies have rediscovered their defensive steel, conceding just one goal in their last three games.
AFC Bournemouth heartbreakingly missed a big opportunity last week in a 2-1 loss to Man United, conceding a stoppage-time goal to allow the Red Devils to join them in a tie for sixth. But it nevertheless confirmed the Cherries’ status as the season’s biggest improvers, having won six of their first 10 games and going unbeaten in their previous four.
Bournemouth have won their last two at St James’ Park. The clubs’ clash at Vitality Stadium last season finished 2-2.
While Bournemouth have been miles better this season, gritty Newcastle will be buoyed by last week’s breakthrough and we like the draw here.
Tip: Draw @ $3.25
History: Played 81: Southampton 35 V Watford 26 (20 Draws)
Last meeting: January 27, 2018 (FA Cup): Southampton 1 d Watford 0 at St Mary’s Stadium
Final Thoughts: Southampton have only one win and four draws to their credit to keep their nose in front of the bottom three. After a pair of scoreless draws against Bournemouth and Newcastle, they were pummelled 6-1 by Man City. On the plus side, they scored a goal for the first time in six games.
Eighth-placed Watford’s two-game charge ended with a 1-0 loss at previously winless Newcastle. The Hornets have now lost four of their last seven and will be desperate for a victory to keep pace with the front-runners.
Watford have won just one of their last 10 against Southampton, but that sole victory was a 2-0 result at St Mary’s Stadium last season. The other league encounter was drawn 2-2, while Saints prevailed 1-0 in an FA Cup tie.
Despite some questionable showings recently, Watford are irresistible value as outsiders against the struggling Saints.
Tip: Watford Win @ $3.00
History: Played 52: Tottenham 28 d Crystal Palace 11 (13 Draws)
Last meeting: February 25, 2018 (EPL): Tottenham 1 d Crystal Palace 0 at Selhurst Park
Final Thoughts: The pressure is turning up on Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson on the back of a six-game winless run. They held Arsenal to a 2-2 draw in Week 10 but went down 3-1 to Chelsea last week and sit 14th with just two wins and two draws to their credit.
Palace’s tough draw continues when they host Tottenham. Fourth-placed Spurs bounced back from a 1-0 loss to Man City by outlasting Wolverhampton 3-2. They led 3-0 after an hour before conceding two late penalties.
Tottenham have won their last four against Palace – all by 1-0 scorelines. Remarkably, eight of their last 16 encounters featured a 1-0 score.
Spurs had a Champions League assignment midweek – beating PSV Eindhoven 2-1 at home – but they should have enough gas in the tank to account for a Palace side that boasts a meagre two draws from their five games at Selhurst Park this season.
History: Played 67: Liverpool 39 V Fulham 12 (16 Draws)
Last meeting: February 12, 2014 (EPL): Liverpool 3 d Fulham 2 at Craven Cottage
Final Thoughts: Liverpool maintained their undefeated Premier League record with a 1-1 draw at Arsenal in Week 11, though they will be disappointed after opening the scoring through James Milner in the 61st minute. The Reds are also bristling from a 2-0 UCL loss at Red Star Belgrade midweek.
A couple of breakthrough wins by battling clubs in Week 11 have handed last spot to Fulham, whose 1-0 loss at Huddersfield was their fifth in succession. They have won just one game in their promotion season – back in Week 2 against Fulham.
Liverpool have won their last four against Fulham, with each encounter featuring at least four goals.
Liverpool are prohibitively short, so the best option may be backing them to hold Fulham scoreless – the Londoners have failed to score four times in their last seven games while the Reds boast six clean sheets.
History: Played 179: Chelsea 72 V Everton 54 (53 Draws)
Last meeting: December 23, 2017 (EPL): 0-0 draw at Goodison Park
Final Thoughts: Undefeated Chelsea have put Burnley (4-0) and Crystal Palace (3-1) to the sword in the past fortnight, with Alvaro Morata finding the back of the net three times.
Everton are ninth with a 5-3-3 record, bouncing back from their 2-1 loss at Old Trafford with a solid 3-1 defeat of Brighton at home.
Chelsea are unbeaten in their last five against Everton, winning four. Last season at Stamford Bridge they won 2-0 in league action and 2-1 in an EFL Cup clash.
Everton are 1-2-2 on the road this season, so it’s tough seeing them toppling hosts Chelsea, who have taken the maximum three points in all but two of their six home games – draws against Liverpool and United the only exceptions.
History: Played 112: Arsenal 57 V Wolverhampton 29 (26 Draws)
Last meeting: April 11, 2012 (EPL): Arsenal 3 d Wolverhampton 0 at Molineux Stadium
Final Thoughts: Arsenal kept pace with the top four courtesy of a 1-1 draw with Liverpool last week – their ninth game in a row without defeat. Alexandre Lacazette scored an 82nd-minute equaliser to secure the point.
Eleventh-placed Wolverhampton are desperately looking to stop the rot after losing three straight to Watford, Brighton and Tottenham. Two late penalties flattered the Wolves in the 3-2 home loss to Spurs.
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 19 clashes with Wolverhampton, winning 16. Wolves’ last win over the Gunners was in 1979.
Arsenal will get the win, but expect Wolves to at least get on the scoreboard.
EPL History: Played 176: Man United 73 V Man City 51 (52 Draws)
Last meeting: April 7, 2018 (EPL): Man United 3 d Man City 2 at Etihad Stadium
Final Thoughts: There may be six spots separating them on the ladder, but the Manchester derby always generates excitement.
Unbeaten City are two points clear of the field with nine wins and two draws from 11 games. The defending champs have been beating up on the weaker teams and wearing down would-be contenders, whipping Burnley (5-0) and Southampton (6-1) either side of a 1-0 away win over Spurs in their past three.
United are slowly making their way back into top-four contention, winning three games and drawing with in-form Chelsea in their past four. But they were lucky to get the three points at Bournemouth last week, with Marcus Rashford slamming home the winner in the 92nd minute.
Both sides had Champions League assignments midweek: City savaged Shakhtar Donetsk at home 6-0, while United staged a remarkable late comeback in a 2-1 win at Juventus.
United have won four and drawn two of the last eight Manchester derbies. Last season City prevailed 2-1 at Old Trafford, before United inflicted one of just two losses the Citizens’ suffered with a 3-2 result at Etihad Stadium.
City’s ruthless consistency and United’s lack of it point to a win for the blue side of town, but with the Citizens so short Mourinho’s men shape as a decent option with a head-start.