The Palmerbet Team’s EPL Preview looks at each game for Week 38 with tips and data analysis for each. The final round centres around Liverpool and Chelsea grappling for a top-four finish and Manchester City aiming to break the 100-point barrier!
History: Played 27: Burnley 11 V Bournemouth 5 (11 Draws).
Last meeting: November 29, 2017 (EPL): Burnley 2 d Bournemouth 1 at Vitality Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Burnley will finish seventh regardless of the result here, but after going winless in their last four they’ll be eager to finish their best-ever EPL campaign with a strong performance. That is especially true after getting trounced 5-0 at Arsenal last weekend.
Part of a four-team logjam tied on 41 points, a top-10 finish is up for grabs for Bournemouth, who broke a three-game losing run with a 1-0 defeat of Swansea in Week 37.
Bournemouth have won only one of their last nine against Burnley, who prevailed 2-1 away earlier this season. Meanwhile, Bournemouth have never won in 14 visits to Burnley dating back to 1961.
It’s a tough game to find a good angle on, but this one screams low-scoring draw with Burnley struggling for form.
Tip: Draw @ $3.40
History: Played 57: West Brom 24 V Crystal Palace 18 (15 Draws).
Last meeting: December 2, 2017 (EPL): 0-0 draw at The Hawthorns.
Final Thoughts: West Brom’s Premier League tenure is officially over, despite an incredible recent resurgence that has seen them chalk up wins over Man United, Newcastle and Tottenham in a five-match unbeaten streak.
Crystal Palace can finish 10th with a win here and they boast an identical three-win, two-draw record in their last five outings. Palace backed up a 5-0 rout of Leicester with a 2-1 victory at Stoke in the past fortnight.
The teams produced a scoreless draw at West Brom earlier this season, while only one of their previous seven clashes has seen both teams score a goal.
Palace are warm favourites at home but we like the Baggies’ chances of finishing with a bittersweet flourish.
History: Played 75: Arsenal 34 V Huddersfield 16 (25 Draws).
Last meeting: November 29, 2017 (EPL): Arsenal 5 d Huddersfield 0 at Emirates Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Huddersfield have survived their first season in the Premier League, picking up unlikely points with draws against Man City and Chelsea to sit four points ahead of danger.
It’s been a bludger of a campaign for sixth-placed Arsenal – resulting in long-serving manager Arsene Wenger’s exit – and a 3-1 loss to out-of-form Leicester midweek really sums it all up.
Huddersfield got a harsh lesson about the sort of football Arsenal can produce when they’re on song, copping a 5-0 thrashing on the road in Week 14. Four of the Gunners’ goals came in the last 25 minutes as they extended Town’s winless run in the rivalry to 46 years.
Back Arsenal to end the Wenger era in style.
History: Played 26: Liverpool 14 V Brighton 4 (8 Draws).
Last meeting: December 2, 2017 (EPL): Liverpool 5 d Brighton 1 at AMEX Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Fourth-placed Liverpool are under pressure with Chelsea looming only two points behind. Klopp’s men have limped towards the finish line, winning only one of their last five and going down to Chelsea 1-0 in a high-stakes clash last weekend.
Brighton, in 14th on 40 points, could finish as high as 10th if other results fall their way. The euphoria of their 1-0 win over Man United subsided somewhat with a 3-1 loss to Man City midweek.
A Roberto Firmino brace spearheaded Liverpool’s 5-1 rout of Brighton in Week 14. Brighton’s last win against the Reds came in the 1984 FA Cup.
After big games against the EPL’s two best teams in the past week, Brighton could be forgiven for being weary coming into this road trip, and Liverpool should be able to get the job done comfortably to seal their passage to next year’s Champions League.
History: Played 29: Man United 19 V Watford 5 (5 Draws).
Last meeting: November 28, 2017 (EPL): Man United 4 d Watford 2 at Vicarage Road.
Final Thoughts: It’s been a lengthy period in limbo for second-placed United – too far behind City to challenge for the title but too far ahead of the pack to worry about slipping out of the top four. But after a loss to Brighton and a scoreless draw against West Ham in the past week, they’ll be eager to regain some momentum heading into the FA Cup final.
Watford ending a woeful seven-game winless run with a 2-1 victory over Newcastle last weekend and will be looking to ease the disappointment of their late-season fade-out by finishing in the top half with a boilover win.
Ashley Young scored twice in the opening 25 minutes as United swept to a 4-2 away win earlier this season. Watford are on a seven-match losing streak at Old Trafford and have lost 13 of the last 14 between the clubs at all venues.
Last week aside, Watford have been atrocious and United should be fired up to thrill their home fans in the last game of the season at Old Trafford.
History: Played 162: Chelsea 71 V Newcastle 52 (39 Draws).
Last meeting: January 28, 2018 (FA Cup): Chelsea 3 d Newcastle 0 at Stamford Bridge.
Final Thoughts: They’re also relying on Liverpool losing to Brighton, but Chelsea have a chance of finishing a disappointing title defence by snaring a fourth-place finish with a win here. They missed a trick with a 1-1 draw at home to Huddersfield midweek, but their 1-0 upset of Liverpool three days earlier put them in this position.
Clinging to 10th on goal difference, Newcastle have lost four straight games – after winning their previous four. After defeats to lowly West Brom and struggling Watford, a 1-0 away loss to Spurs midweek was at least an improvement.
The home side is undefeated in the last 10 matches of this rivalry, with Newcastle notching three wins and a draw in their last four at St James’ Park hosting Chelsea. But the Blues won 3-1 at home in Week 14 and doubled up at Stamford Bridge with a 3-0 FA Cup shutout less than two months later.
Count on Chelsea making sure the top-four race goes down to the wire.
History: Played 87: Southampton 31 V Man City 31 (25 Draws).
Last meeting: November 29, 2017 (EPL): Man City 2 d Southampton 1 at Etihad Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Southampton walked the relegation tightrope but have come up with some clutch results in recent weeks to seal their safety. A four-match unbeaten streak – culminating in a decisive away win over Swansea midweek – put Southampton three points clear with an insurmountable goal difference.
Man City, meanwhile, are aiming to become the first club in EPL history to break the 100-point barrier. The responded to a scoreless draw against Huddersfield with a 3-1 defeat of Brighton midweek.
City needed a 90th-minute winner from Raheem Sterling to edge Southampton 2-1 in Week 14 and keep their winning streak alive. But the Saints have managed two wins and a draw in their last five at home against the Citizens.
There’s not a huge amount of value in backing City, so consider the overs in this one.
History: Played 69: Stoke City 26 V Swansea 22 (21 Draws).
Last meeting: December 2, 2017 (EPL): Stoke City 2 d Swansea 1 at bet365 Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Both of these clubs are heading for the Championship next season, so which one will have the character to end their EPL stint on a positive note?
Swansea’s fate was sealed with a 1-0 loss to fellow relegation contenders Southampton midweek, their fourth straight loss. Stoke are last are on a 13-game winless streak, including a 2-1 loss to Palace in their last outing.
Stoke won 2-1 at home earlier this season, but neither side has managed two wins over the other in the same season since they were both in League Division 2 back in 2000/01. Swansea have a 6-1-1 home record in the rivalry since 1998.
Swansea are big favourites but a draw would be a fitting end for both clubs.
Tip: Draw @ $3.75
EPL History: Played 109: Tottenham 53 V Leicester 35 (21 Draws).
Last meeting: November 28, 2017 (EPL): Leicester 2 d Tottenham 1 at King Power Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Despite some familiar late-season stumbling – including a loss to relegation-bound West Brom a week ago – Tottenham sealed a top-four finish with a 1-0 defeat of Newcastle midweek, sealed by Harry Kane’s 50th-minute strike.
Ninth-placed Leicester had been in appalling form, losing to Palace and West Ham by a combined 7-0, before stunning Arsenal 3-1 midweek.
The teams’ last seven encounters have been split two wins apiece, with three games drawn. Leicester sprung a 2-1 upset at home in Week 14.
We don’t mind the Foxes with a couple of goals’ head-start here with Spurs unconvincing for some time now.
EPL History: Played 137: Everton 69 V West Ham 38 (30 Draws).
Last meeting: November 29, 2017 (EPL): Everton 4 d West Ham 0 at Goodison Park .
Final Thoughts: Ch
Not long out of relegation danger, West Ham could incredibly finish in the top half – if a string of results fall their way. Currently they’re 15th on 39 points after a win over Leicester and a scoreless draw against Man United in the past week.
Eighth-placed Everton are unbeaten in their last five games, following up wins over Newcastle and Huddersfield with a draw against Southampton. They’ll be keen to finish on a strong note with just their fourth away win of the season.
Wayne Rooney bagged a hat-trick in Everton’s 4-0 romp at Goodison Park earlier this season, while West Ham have won just one of their last 19 EPL games against the Toffees.
The value lies with Everton as underdogs after conceding just two goals in the past five games.