The Palmerbet Team’s EPL Preview looks at each game for Week 37 with tips and data analysis for each. With only a couple of rounds left, the heavyweights are jostling for top-four positions and the stragglers and trying to avoid relegation!
History: Played 18: Man United 12 V Brighton 1 (5 Draws).
Last meeting: March 17, 2018 (FA Cup) Man United 2 d Brighton 0.
Final Thoughts: Five points ahead of the bottom three, Brighton are all but safe with draws against top-half teams Tottenham and Burnley in the past fortnight giving them breathing space.
Man United have won seven of their last eight – including a 2-1 victory over Arsenal last week – and can wrap up second place with a result here.
After not playing each other for 24 years, United have chalked up two wins over Brighton – 1-0 in the EPL, 2-0 in the FA Cup – in the past six months.
Brighton have a strong record of six wins and eight draws from 18 home games, but scoring goals is their issue. Lean towards a low-scoring win for a United side that will have to work for it.
History: Played 59: Crystal Palace 27 V Stoke 19 (13 Draws).
Last meeting: November 25, 2017 (EPL): Crystal Palace 2 d Stoke City 1 at Selhurst Park.
Final Thoughts: Stoke City’s relegation goose is cooked if they can’t get a win here. They are 19th and have played an extra game than the teams above them, but three straight draws against West Ham, Burnley and Liverpool have kept them in with a mathematical hope.
Palace have sealed their survival with two wins and two draws in their last four games, climbing to 11th. They crushed Leicester 5-0 at home last weekend and are unbeaten in their last three on the road.
Stoke have won just one of their last nine against Palace, but that win came in the last clash at bet365 Stadium – a 1-0 result last season. Palace prevailed 2-1 at home earlier this season.
Follow recent form here and back Palace as narrow underdogs.
History: Played 58: Bournemouth 23 V Swansea 23 (12 Draws).
Last meeting: November 25, 2017 (EPL): 0-0 draw at Liberty Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Bournemouth are safe in 12th but Swansea are very much in the relegation picture, sitting 17th – one point ahead of Southampton, who they play midway through next week.
The Swans are on a six-match winless streak, going goal-less in consecutive losses to Man United and Chelsea in their last two. Bournemouth are on a five-game winless run and went down to Southampton last week to pile the pressure on Swansea.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last six against Swansea, winning four. The teams played out a scoreless draw in Swansea earlier this season.
Swansea are nothing if not spirited and the desperation of their situation should at least propel to a draw against their out-of-form hosts.
Tip: Handicap +1 @ $1.73
History: Played 129: West Ham 51 V Leicester City 47 (31 Draws).
Last meeting: November 24, 2017 (EPL): 1-1 draw at London Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Ninth-placed Leicester are smarting from a month without a win and a 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Crystal Palace last week. They’ve been outscored 9-2 in their last four games but will take heart from a 6W-6D-5L home record.
West Ham have copped 4-1 beatings from Arsenal and Manchester City in their last two games and could get dragged back into the relegation picture if they lose here and other results conspire against them.
Leicester are unbeaten in their last seven against West Ham, winning five. The teams played out a 1-1 draw in London in Week 13.
Both teams have been terrible lately – particularly defensively – but it would be prudent to hedge your bets towards the Foxes at home.
History: Played 41: Newcastle 15 V Watford 13 (13 Draws).
Last meeting: November 25, 2017 (EPL): Watford 3 d Newcastle 0 at St James’ Park.
Final Thoughts: A bit of a dead-rubber here, though a top-half finish could be on the line with Newcastle in 10th and Watford three points adrift in 13th.
Watford are struggling on a seven-game winless run in which they’ve been outscored 15-3. Newcastle were riding high on a four-match winning streak but have lost their last two to Everton and lowly West Brom 1-0.
Watford are on a four-match winning streak against Newcastle, culminating in a 3-0 pasting at St James’ Park earlier this season.
It’s hard to find a good angle on this one, but we like the chances of Newcastle finishing with a clean sheet.
History: Played 144: Tottenham 56 V West Brom 52 (36 Draws).
Last meeting: November 25, 2017 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Wembley Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Tottenham have effectively sealed a top-four finish but after several flat finishes in recent years they’ll be eager to come home with a wet sail.
Speaking of, last-placed West Brom have won two and drawn two of their last four, stunning Man United with 1-0 away wins.
Three of the teams’ last four encounters (and five of the last 11) have finished in a 1-1 draw, including their Week 13 clash at Wembley that required a 74th minute goal from Harry Kane to securing a point for Spurs.
While another boilover may be beyond them, we like the value in the in-form Baggies at home.
History: Played 97: Everton 47 V Southampton 29 (21 Draws).
Last meeting: November 26, 2017 (EPL): Southampton 4 d Everton 1 at St Mary’s Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Everton are doing their best to build up some goodwill with a dissatisfied fanbase, winning four and losing just one of their last seven. The Toffees have won their last two against Newcastle and Huddersfield, but a desperate Southampton present a different type of challenge.
Southampton are 18th and striving for EPL survival, taking a big step towards that last week by ending an eight-game winless run with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth.
Everton will be eager for some retribution after getting pumped 4-1 by Southampton in Week 13, which saw the Saints score three second-half goals after the scores were tied 1-1.
But Everton are unbeaten in their last 12 against Southampton at Goodison Park in a rivalry that has witnessed an away winner just once in their last 17 meetings.
Look for Southampton to muddy the relegation waters further by nabbing a point.
Tip: Draw @ $3.20
History: Played 77: Man City 26 V Huddersfield 22 (29 Draws).
Last meeting: November 26, 2017 (EPL): Man City 2 d Huddersfield 1 at John Smith’s Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Manchester City could be excused for slackening off with the title signed, sealed and delivered, but they have some motivation to perform left with the 100-point mark in their sights if they win each of their remaining games.
Huddersfield have a different type of motivation, sitting 16th and just three points above the bottom three. They went down to Everton 2-0 last week.
Man City thrashed Huddersfield 5-1 in FA Cup action last year in the clubs’ last meeting at Etihad, but they were made to work a lot harder on the road in Week 13. Raheem Sterling’s 84th-minute goal secured a 2-1 win for the heavyweights.
Value is hard to come by with City as $1.08 favourites, but we don’t mind the idea of Huddersfield showing a bit of fight again with a three-goal start.
EPL History: Played 104: Arsenal 50 V Burnley 33 (21 Draws).
Last meeting: November 26, 2017 (EPL): Arsenal 1 d Burnley 0 at Turf Moor.
Final Thoughts: Burnley have designs on a sixth-place finish, but Arsenal – who are currently three points ahead in sixth – will be hell-bent on extinguishing that bid and putting a dismal season behind them by maintaining the natural top-six order.
Overachieving Burnley have missed a couple of tricks with back-to-back draws against Stoke and Brighton in their last two, while Arsenal lost to Newcastle and Man United either side of a 4-1 thrashing of West Ham in their last three.
Arsenal edged Burnley 1-0 in Week 13 thanks to a 90th minute penalty from Alexis Sanchez – the Gunners’ seventh straight win over the Clarets.
That run should continue with a one-goal win to Arsenal.
EPL History: Played 178: Liverpool 77 V Chelsea 61 (40 Draws).
Last meeting: November 25, 2017 (EPL): 1-1 draw at Anfield.
Final Thoughts: Chelsea have a couple of hoodoos to overcome when they host Liverpool to close out the round.
Five of the teams’ last eight encounters have finished in 1-1 draws – including this season’s meeting at Anfield – while Chelsea are out to break a six-game winless streak against Liverpool. Remarkably, Chelsea’s last EPL win at home against the Reds was back in 2013.
Fifth-placed Chelsea have belatedly regained some form with three straight wins, though they haven’t beaten a fellow top-six team in six months. Liverpool have drawn three of their last four league games and will no doubt be weary from their UCL tie with Roma.
There’s no obvious winner here, so have a piece of Mo Salah’s unbelievable goal-scoring form for Liverpool to continue.