The Palmerbet Team’s EPL Preview looks at each game for Week 35 with tips and data analysis for each. With just a handful of games to go, teams are fighting for places in Europe and to avoid relegation, while the FA Cup semis add another layer of intrigue to this round!
History: Played 25: Tottenham 12 V Brighton 6 (7 Draws).
Last meeting: December 13, 2017 (EPL): Tottenham 2 d Brighton 0 at Wembley Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Fourth-placed Tottenham’s 14-game unbeaten streak came to an unceremonious end via a 3-1 loss to Man City at Wembley last weekend. They will be eager for a bounce-back result here but also have an FA Cup semi against Man United this weekend diverting their attention.
Brighton, currently sitting 13th, are out of relegation danger but are looking for a form reversal after mustering just a draw from their last four outings.
Brighton’s last win over Tottenham was in 1983, with Serge Aurier and Son Heung-Min scoring in Spurs’ 2-0 win at Wembley earlier this season.
The Seagulls have a decent record of six wins and six draws from 16 home games, but Spurs look the good here even if Pochettino rests a couple of stars.
History: Played 13: Man Unied 8 V Bournemouth 2 (3 Draws).
Last meeting: December 13, 2017 (EPL): Man United 1 d Bournemouth 0 at Old Trafford.
Final Thoughts: Manchester United are coming off a deflating 1-0 loss to lowly West Brom at Old Trafford that has left the door open for Liverpool to challenge for second spot. United also have an FA Cup semi against Tottenham on their plate this week.
Eleventh-placed Bournemouth have lost just twice in their past 14 games, but four of their last six have finished in stalemates.
A first-half goal from Romelu Lukaku handed United a 1-0 home win over Bournemouth in Week 17.
Bournemouth have been scoring plenty of goals lately but a leaky defence (ranked 18th for goals conceded) is likely to bring them undone against a chastened Man U side.
History: Played 95: Burnley 38 V Chelsea 34 (23 Draws)
Last meeting: August 12, 2017 (EPL): Burnley 3 d Chelsea 2 at Stamford Bridge.
Final Thoughts: Fifth-placed Chelsea outlasted Southampton 3-2 away last weekend – just their third win from their last nine games – but it was a far from convincing display from the out-of-sorts heavyweights. Chelsea have an FA Cup semi to gear for just three days after this road trip.
Burnley are seventh and coming home with a wet sail, winning their last five games with Kiwi striker Chris Wood scoring five goals. Last week an early surge put them on course for a 2-1 home win over Leicester.
Burnley ended a nine-year winless streak against Chelsea with a 3-2 away upset in the first week of the EPL season, with Sam Vokes’ brace setting up a 3-0 halftime lead.
The Clarets are great value as $4.33 home underdogs, producing the sort of miserly defence that made them the surprise packets of the first half of the season and coupling that with newfound attacking potency.
History: Played 85: Southampton 32 V Leicester 26 (27 Draws).
Last meeting: December 13, 2017 (EPL): Leicester 4 d Southampton 1 at St Mary’s Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Mired in the relegation fight in 18th place – five points adrift of the field – Southampton desperately need a win after going winless in their past seven games. The Saints have managed just one win from their last 20 games and have conceded 12 goals in losing their last four straight.
An FA Cup semi against Chelsea three days after this make-or-break road trip is not ideal timing.
Leicester are eighth with several teams on their tail and are aiming to arrest a slide that has seen them suffer back-to-back 2-1 losses to Newcastle and Leicester.
Leicester have won five and drawn two of their last nine against Southampton and are unbeaten in the last four clashes between the clubs at King Power Stadium. Shinji Okazaki scored two goals in the Foxes’ 4-1 rout of the Saints in Week 17.
Their FA Cup run notwithstanding, Southampton can’t be trusted – particularly away from home – and Leicester shape as top value here.
History: Played 150: Liverpool 68 V West Brom 39 (43 Draws).
Last meeting: January 27, 2018 (FA Cup): West Brom 3 d Liverpool 2 at Anfield.
Final Thoughts: West Brom are four points behind the field in last place and destined for the drop, but they will be buoyant after pulling off a stunning 1-0 upset of United at Old Trafford last weekend to end a 10-game winless run.
West Brom’s heroics allowed Liverpool to move to within one point of United on the table, after they trounced Bournemouth 3-0. Liverpool have lost just two of their last 25 games
West Brom have performed favourably against Liverpool this season, holding the Reds to a scoreless draw in Week 17 and knocking them out of the FA Cup 3-2 – both clashes at Anfield. But Liverpool are unbeaten in their last nine EPL games against the Baggies.
A repeat boilover is probably a bit too much to expect from West Brom this week.
History: Played 116: Crystal Palace 49 V Watford 41 (26 Draws).
Last meeting: December 12, 2017 (EPL): Crystal Palace 2 d Watford 1 at Selhurst Park.
Final Thoughts: Watford are all but safe in 12th place on 37 points, while 16th-placed Palace are three points further back (and six points above the bottom-three) and would love a win here to seal their place in next year’s EPL.
But Watford are battling, going winless in their last five games, while Palace have won two and drawn one of their last four games – including a vital 3-2 victory over Brighton in Week 34.
Palace have lost just one of their last eight against Watford and chalked up a 2-1 home win earlier this season.
Watford’s form stinks but Crystal Palace have struggled on the road this season – the stalemate option is screaming out in this one.
Tip: Draw @ $3.25
History: Played 137: Arsenal 64 V West Ham 34 (39 Draws).
Last meeting: December 19, 2017 (EFL Cup): Arsenal 1 d West Ham 0 at Emirates Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Sixth-placed Arsenal are striving to end a bitterly disappointing campaign on a positive note, but their recent three-game surge was halted last week by a 2-1 loss to Newcastle.
West Ham, sitting 14th, are just about out of relegation danger and have enjoyed a strong few weeks with a 3-0 win over Southampton and 1-1 draws against Chelsea and Stoke.
West Ham held Arsenal to a scoreless draw at home in Week 17 but went down 1-0 in a League Cup tie at Emirates Stadium six days later. Hammers have managed just one win and four draws in their last 21 games against the Gunners.
Arsenal will need to work hard to get the three points here and we like the idea of the double chance with West Ham a good bet to nab a draw.
History: Played 109: Stoke 46 V Burnley 39 (24 Draws).
Last meeting: December 12, 2017 (EPL): Burnley 1 d Stoke 0 at Turf Moor.
Final Thoughts: Stoke City are in 19th place and six points away from climbing out of the relegation zone – their situation is dire. A 10-match winless run has put them in this position, though they grabbed a 1-1 draw at West Ham last week.
Burnley have a home assignment against Chelsea just three days before this road trip. They are seventh and coming home with a wet sail, however, winning their last five games with Kiwi striker Chris Wood scoring five goals. Last week an early surge put them on course for a 2-1 home win over Leicester.
A late Ashley Barnes goal snatched a 1-0 home win for Burnley in Week 17. Stoke have won only one of their last six against the Clarets.
A hectic schedule could mean Burnley arrive slightly off the pace, but their form and a handy head-to-head price is difficult to ignore against battling Stoke.
Tip: Burnley Win @ $3.20
EPL History: Played 34: Man City 23 V Swansea 7 (4 Draws).
Last meeting: December 13, 2017 (EPL): Man City 4 d Swansea 0 at Liberty Stadium.
Final Thoughts: Manchester City bounced back from their 3-2 loss to United with a 3-1 victory over Tottenham at Wembley, while United’s loss last week confirmed City’s title win with five games to play.
Swansea have done a tremendous job to climb out of the bottom-three, but they are not out of danger just yet in 17th, five points clear. They have recorded draws against Huddersfield and West Brom either side of a 2-0 loss to United during three straight away games, winning just twice on the road this season.
Two draws is all Swansea have managed from their last 12 encounters with Man City, who romped to a 4-0 away victory in Week 17.
It’s hard to find value in this one with Man City $1.12 favourites, but the plucky Swans could be worth a punt with a three-goal start.
EPL History: Played 171: Everton 72 V Newcastle 65 (34 Draws).
Last meeting: December 13, 2017 (EPL): Everton 1 d Newcastle 0 at St James’ Park.
Final Thoughts: Ninth spot on the ladder (and potentially eighth if Leicester lose) goes on the line here with Everton and Newcastle separated by just one point.
Everton are coming off back-to-back draws against Liverpool and Swansea City, while Newcastle are on the march thanks to four straight wins over Southampton, Huddersfield, Leicester and Arsenal.
Everton are on a four-match winning streak against Newcastle and have won just one of the last 10 encounters between the clubs. Wayne Rooney’s first-half goal was the difference in a 1-0 away win to the Toffees earlier this season.
Though their recent form has been uninspiring, Everton are a tough beat at home – winning nine and drawing three of 17 at Goodison Park – and in-form Newcastle will do well to grab a share of the spoils.