The Palmerbet Sports Team analyse both matches from Week 1 of the A-League finals, with Melbourne City hosting Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory at home to Adelaide United.
History: Played 24: Brisbane 10 V Melbourne City 9 (5 Draws).
Last meeting: February 4, 2018: Melbourne City 2 d Brisbane 1 at Suncorp Stadium.
Final Thoughts: After scraping into the A-League finals on the last day of the regular season, the Brisbane Roar are hoping to spark a fairytale run through the finals. The Roar won four (including a clutch 3-2 away win over Perth last weekend) and drew one of their last six to snare sixth spot.
Standing in their way away Melbourne City, who finished third despite their three-match winning streak coming to an end via an away loss to the lowly Phoenix in the last round.
Melbourne City won two of the teams’ three clashes in the regular season – 2-0 at home in Round 1 and 2-1 in Brisbane in Round 19 – while the Roar romped to a 3-1 home win in Round 7.
Brisbane have an unflattering record of just one win, three draws and seven losses as the away team in this rivalry, with their sole victory coming against the Melbourne Heart way back in 2011.
But if the Roar can shut down City striker Bruno Fornaroli, they’re a big chance of at least forcing this sudden-death showdown into extra-time.
History: Played 43: Melbourne Victory 24 V Adelaide 9 (10 Draws).
Last meeting: February 24, 2018: Melbourne Victory 3 d Adelaide 0 at AAMI Park.
Final Thoughts: A 1-0 loss to Sydney FC last week cost Melbourne Victory a third-place finish, but they still have home advantage for this elimination final against Adelaide.
The Victory chalked up five wins from their last seven games and conceded more than one goal just once during that stretch, while scoring 15 themselves. They also finished an otherwise disappointing AFC Champions League campaign with a 2-1 win over group-leading Shanghai SIPG midweek.
Adelaide landed fifth with 11 wins and six draws from their 27 games, ruining Wanderers’ finals hopes with a 3-2 win in Sydney last weekend – their third victory in the final four rounds.
Honours have been shared between the clubs in three clashes this season: a 2-2 draw in Adelaide was followed by a win apiece in Melbourne. But the Victory’s four-match winning streak at AAMI Park and solid form overall provides the necessary momentum to take out this match and nab a semi-final spot.
The away team has a handy recent record in this rivalry, winning four and drawing one of the last seven. Adelaide have won two of their last four against the Victory in Melbourne.