Kevin Walters is convinced Queensland will win Game I and so too are most punters. The Maroons are being backed to take the chocolates and a 1-0 lead.

Head-to-head & Handicap

Punters are either big believers in Kevin Walters’ strange Origin buildup or trust the Suncorp Stadium home ground advantage. The Maroons have been bet down from $2.10 into $2 with 63% of the money on the home side to win the series opener.

One punter has stormed into Queensland with a bet of $15,000 on Queensland at $2.

As you’d expect given the movement in the markets, Queensland’s +2.5 line saw plenty of attention earlier in the week. One big bet of $5,000 at +2.5 came in before the line dropped to +1.5. Since then, the money has been fairly evenly split.

Points Total

State of Origin has a reputation for producing low-scoring arm-wrestles and this one is set to fit the bill.

The Total has been set at a measly 33.5 points. However, despite the fixture’s reputation, 61% of bets placed on the Total have been on the Over.

Punters are going against the recent trend given 13 of the last 16 games excluding dead rubbers have finished Under.

Origin Try Scorers

When points are eventually scored, Latrell Mitchell is the best packed to produce them. He’s taken 16% of the first tryscorer money at $13. If he doesn’t score the first meat pie of the series, Mitchell is at $2.40 to find one at some stage during the match.

As is so often the case, Corey Oates commands a lot of attention at $9 and $2. Meanwhile, Josh Addo-Carr rounds out the top three in the first tryscorer market at $10 with $2 also available anytime.