Round 9 of the 2018 NRL season produced three 22-20 scorelines. One of which will possibly go down as the Moose of the Year when it’s all said and done. The Dragons shortened as favourites while the Dally M odds hold firm for another week.
Here’s how Round 9 looked for punters:
Moose of the Year
A bad beat – or a ‘Moose’ – is an action at the end of an event that results in the individual bettor going instantly from winning the bet to losing the bet.
For those on the Sharks -2.5 on Saturday night, they copped what might turn out to be the Moose of the Year.
Up 22-4 with six minutes to play, Cronulla backers were counting their winnings – it was in the bag. But Rugby League is a funny game. Give a team an inch, and they’ll run a mile. Or in this case, give a team six minutes, and they’ll score three tries.
— NRL (@NRL) May 5, 2018
Closing the gap to 22-20 just as the final siren sounded, the Eels covered the +2.5 in miraculous circumstances as Sharks punters tore up their tickets in disgust.
Premiership Favourites: Dragons
Following their thrashing of the 2017 defending premiers, the Dragons are clear-cut favourites to win the NRL Premiership.
Now at $4.20 – the shortest odds the market has seen all season – the Dragons are expected to go on with it in 2018. Their capitulation in 2017 has long since been forgotten.
Still only just behind them, the Storm are at $5.50. Then the numbers take a jump.
The Roosters have been disappointing to see their odds blow out to $7.50. The Cowboys have barely thrown a punch as preseason favourites to have shifted all the way out to $13. It’s the Warriors at $11 that continue to surprise and having already beaten the Dragons this year, might be worth a look if the wins keep coming.
PSA: Get on Ponga for Dally M
Diving into Kalyn Ponga’s Dally M chances last week, we noted the fact he will even pick up points in matches his team lose.
Arguably the Man of the Match in a losing effort on Friday night, Ponga will have no doubt added to his collection of Dally M points to remain at the top of the list. Still at $11 to have the medal put over his neck at the end of the season, it’s time to get on him.
— NRL (@NRL) May 4, 2018
He’s on fire, and only getting better.
Against the Spread Ladder
The Dragons continue to top not only the NRL Premiership Ladder but the ATS Ladder as well.
As a surprise to some, the Rabbitohs are tracking as a just as profitable team. With Sam Burgess back this week, they should continue to cover for another couple of weeks yet.
A log-jam of six teams occupy the worst cover rate in the NRL. Keep fading them until they give you a reason not to.
|1||St George Dragons||7||2|
|2||South Sydney Rabbitohs||7||2|
|3||New Zealand Warriors||7||2|
|10||Gold Coast Titans||4||5|
|11||Manly Sea Eagles||3||6|
|14||North QLD Cowboys||3||6|