We’re through the second split round of the NRL season, so things are starting to get serious. The Storm are up there, as always. Meanwhile, the Sharks are struggling to stay close.

Surging Storm

The Storm are always there or thereabouts when it comes to the top tier of the NRL ladder at this time of the season. This year, they’re six points in front and morals for another minor premiership. Despite the Roosters coming into the season as heavy favourites to go back-to-back, the Storm are closing in on them in the premiership market.

The Chooks are still the team to beat at $3.40. However, the Storm sit just behind them on the second line of betting at $3.75.

It’s not difficult to see why the Storm have pegged themselves to the Roosters as favourites. Their attack (25 points per game) and defence (12 points conceded per game) are both the best in the NRL.

Cameron’s Chasing Mitchell

Cameron Smith is the only one to have played on the weekend so he closed the gap on Cameron Munster and Mitchell Pearce in the Dally M Medal market.

Smith becomes the first player in NRL history to play 400 games this weekend. Should the Storm win and Smith play remotely well, his $7 to win the Dally M is sure to come in. That would get him even closer to Munster at $6 and Pearce at $5.

With the form the Storm is in, it’s worth considering Smith this far out. They’re at the top of the ladder and have a relatively comfortable draw across the final nine games.

Maumalo Robbed Of Try Scorer Lead

After floating the idea of getting behind Ken Maumalolo in the top try scorer market two weeks ago, he now sits at the top of the ladder with 12 for the season. However, he should have one more. With the Bunker seeing something nobody else did as he completed the acrobatic finish in the corner, he’s been robbed of top try scorer honours heading into Round 17.

Instead, he’s equal at the top of the list with Maika Sivo.

Maumalolo’s $11 is still the value play here, though.

Favourites Cash In

It was a great round for the favourites going 3-1 against the spread.

The biggest of the lot didn’t come through, though.

With the Storm, Roosters and Warriors all covering the spread in the buildup to Sharks v Broncos on Sunday afternoon, the sweep relied on Cronulla’s -10.5 line. They didn’t get close in the 24-22 defeat.

Getting all the way down to $1.26 favourites in the head-to-head market, the Sharks not only failed to cover, but went down in one of the biggest upsets of the 2019 NRL season. The Broncos sent out 11 players with fewer than 25 games worth of first-grade experience and out-hustled the Sharks. Their youthful exuberance went the full 80 minutes to catch the Sharks off-guard and hand them a third consecutive defeat.

Highlight Play of the Round

In that massive upset, Tevita Pangai Jr threw a beautiful offload for Jake Turpin to score the match-winner.

 

NRL Against The Spread Ladder

Round 16 might have been the best round of the NRL season for Titans fans, but their side still sits at the bottom of the ATS ladder.

TOP 8 ATSRecordBOTTOM 8 ATSRecord
Sea Eagles10-5Cowboys7-8
Raiders9-1-5Panthers6-2-7
Roosters9-6Broncos6-1-8
Tigers9-6Rabbitohs6-1-8
Warriors8-7Sharks6-1-8
Knights8-7Bulldogs6-9
Storm8-7Dragons6-9
Eels8-7Titans5-10

 

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