Approaching the two-thirds mark of the 2019 NRL season, the top tryscorer market is heating up. History says Maika Sivo will take some catching from here.

Heading into Round 16 of the season, there is some clarity in who the genuine contenders are for the race to be the NRL’s top try scorer, and who may have overachieved to start the season.

Maika Sivo is the current leader with 12 and a significant favourite at $5. Despite being only one try behind, Cody Walker is way out at $24.

Josh Addo-Carr ($5.20), Latrell Mitchell and Corey Oates ($6) are all in the mix with 10 tries. Forgotten across the ditch, Ken Maumalo is also on ten tries – already double his 2018 tally – and an appealing $11.

That $11 for Maumalo and $5 for Sivo only becomes more appealing when you consider the impact State of Origin has had on the top try scorers over the years.

There have only been four players in 21 years that have played all three Origin matches in the season they finished as the NRL’s leading try scorer.

Year1998200520082013
PlayerDarren SmithMatt BowenBrett StewartMichael Jennings
Try Total23202220

 

Darren Smith accomplished the feat in the inaugural NRL season and Brett Stewart managed the same a decade later. The other two occasions rank as the lowest total for top try scorers in the NRL era. Matt Bowen and Michael Jennings shared their wins with three others in 2005 and 2013 too.

As we’ve seen with Walker’s fall in the standings, scoring consistently is the key to finishing at the top. His four tries against the Warriors in Round 5 blew his total out to six tries in five games, but he’s not been able to keep the pace.

Meanwhile, Sivo has scored in each of his last seven games and Maumalo six tries in his last eight games.

So, with Oates and Addo-Carr likely to both play in all three Origin games this year, they’ll be doing it tough to top the list. Given Mitchell plays in a position that doesn’t traditionally lead the tryscorer tally, he will struggle too.

Sivo and Maumalo make for a good combination of a moral and roughie.

NRL Top Try Scorer Market Snapshot

PlayerTries ScoredPrice
Maika Sivo12$5
Josh Addo-Carr10$5.20
Latrell Mitchell10$6
Corey Oates10$6
Ken Maumalo10$11
James Tedesco8$16
Cody Walker11$24
Campbell Graham6$26
Kalyn Ponga7$26
Bronson Xerri7$26

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