Overwhelmed by choice ahead of Sunday’s NRL Grand Final clash between Penrith Panthers and Melbourne Storm? Here’s what you need to know about the exotic markets.
The welter of Tryscorer betting options available for the Panthers-Storm decider corresponds with the amount of attacking firepower on show. The markets include First Tryscorer, Last Tryscorer, Anytime Tryscorer, Jersey Number of First Tryscorer (groups) and To Score 2, 3 or More Tries.
Melbourne flyer Josh Addo-Carr is the hot $8.50 favourite to bag the first try – as he did in spectacular fashion in the club’s 2017 Grand Final triumph. The Storm’s other winger, Suliasi Vunivalu, is next at $10, with Panthers flankmen Brian To’o ($11) and Josh Mansour ($12) not far behind.
— NRL (@NRL) September 29, 2018
Addo-Carr also scored the last try in the Storm’s 2018 Grand Final loss. He is also the only player in the past nine seasons to score an NRL Grand Final double – achieving the feat in 2017 – and is a juicy $5.50 to do it again on Sunday. With 16 tries in 21 games this year, Panthers centre Stephen Crichton looms as a tempting option to net two or more ‘meat pies’ at $11. Only two hat-tricks have been scored in the past 59 Grand Finals: Brisbane’s Steve Renouf (1997 Super League) and Manly’s Michael Robertson (2008).
The Total Try Markets provide plenty of intrigue. There’s $2.39 on offer for Over 6.5 tries in the Grand Final – but bear in mind none of last 12 deciders have produced more than seven tries, while three of the last four witnessed four or less. It’s worth remembering the firepower-laden Panthers and Storm are also the NRL’s two best defensive outfits.
1st and 2nd Half Markets
Points Totals, Try Totals and Alternative Handicaps are among the 1st and 2nd Half markets available for the NRL Grand Final.
The First Half Points line is set at 16.5, while the Second Half Points line is set at 17.5. In the past 10 NRL Grand Finals the average first half points total in 14.6, while the second half average is 16.9 (despite four of the last eight deciders producing nine points or less after the break).
— NRL (@NRL) October 22, 2020
For punters eyeing off the Half-time/Full-time options: 13 of last 15 teams leading the Grand Final at the break has gone on to win. St George Illawarra (2010) are the only team during that time to overturn a halftime deficit and win in regulation time.
The scores have not been level at halftime in a Grand Final since 1976. Only four deciders in premiership history have finished deadlocked at the 80-minute mark.
For the clockwatching punters, there’s markets for Time of First (overall and for each team) and Last Try, and Team Leading after 10 mins, 20 mins, 30 mins and so on.
The price for the first try being scored 7.59 Minutes or Earlier – which has happened five times in the past 10 Grand Finals – is $2.35. Only twice has a try been scored after the 75 Minutes mark in the past decade of deciders, but it’s paying $2.30 this Sunday.
There’s little separating Penrith and Melbourne ahead of Sunday’s mouth-watering match-up. Yet there’s a whopping $15 on offer for this to become just the second Grand Final in the past 30 years to require extra-time.
*Odds correct at 4pm Friday October 23