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Week 4 In Review – Ravens Divison To Lose And Purdy Keeps Producing

It was more of the same for the Bengals and Ravens in Week 4 of the NFL season while Brock Purdy continued to produce the goods for the 49ers.

Burrow & the Bengals

Joe Burrow passing touchdowns in Week 4 – 0.

Derrick Henry passing touchdowns in Week 4 – 1.

You know things are going bad for the Cincinnati Bengals when Derrick Henry throws more touchdown passes in a game than Joe Burrow…

We’ve tried to dismiss their struggles to start the NFL season; Burrow missed the majority of the preseason, and is still nursing an injury that impacts his mobility, and they were always going to be slow to start. It’s getting a little more difficult to talk around this 1-3 start, though.

There are still plenty that believe…

However, there isn’t a lot to like about what we’re seeing from this group right now. Burrow’s injury aside, there isn’t anything encouraging. Nothing that makes you really think “when Burrow is good, the Bengals will quickly bounce back.”

They’ve scored three touchdowns all season, the fewest by any team in four games since Daniel Jones’ New York Giants did it in 2020. Their 0.95 points per drive is also the lowest in the league. Burrow’s injury can only account for so much.

It’s difficult not to start reaching out for the panic button in Cincy. They need a lot more than a productive week on the physio table to get this season back on track. Still, the closeness of the division gives them hope as teams, hopefully, the Bengals themselves later in the season, take wins off each other.

The Bengals are now out to $7 to win the AFC North.

The Ravens, On The Other Hand…

It’s the Baltimore Ravens division to lose now.

We heard about their new-look offence before the NFL season kicked off and it seems like we’re starting to see it consistently in action now.

Sure, their latest 28-3 win over the Cleveland Browns came against a decimated defence. The Ravens still did what they needed to do, and looked good doing it. Lamar Jackson, in particular.

He threw for two touchdowns and rushed for two more for the first time in his NFL career. Jackson finished with a 142.5 passer rating as the Ravens offence put the Browns to the sword which included two encouraging long touchdown drives in the second quarter. Most impressive for Jackson is he did it all without two of his top wide receivers and his All-Pro left tackle. He finished 15-19 for 187 yards and found another 27 yards from nine carries on the ground.

Now 3-1 and with the Bengals capitulating, the Ravens are heavy favourites to win the AFC North at $1.62.

Purdy Keeps Producing

The San Francisco 49ers moved to 4-0 behind four Christian McCaffery touchdowns and made it 14 consecutive regular season wins on the bounce. But so much of the conversation still revolves around lazy Brock Purdy takes.

The fact is he is doing everything he needs to do in the situation before him.

Purdy connected on 20 of his 21 passes as the 49ers beat the Arizona Cardinals 35-16 in Week 4. His +28% completion percentage over expected is the highest mark by a quarterback with at least 20 pass attempts in a game over the last seven seasons.

It’s easy to say he has a fantastic supporting cast around him to diminish anything he does well. It’s true, he hasn’t had to play outside of the system all that often in his nine games as a starter – all wins, mind you. But it’s his efficiency, and the efficiency of the team in general, that is most impressive and perhaps the most reliable sign that when there is a game on the line, Purdy will give it a decent shake.

The doubts around Purdy seem to be adding some value to the 49ers’ Super Bowl LVIII odds, though. They’ve not looked like losing and dominated on both sides of the ball. Still, they’re alongside the Chiefs on the second line of betting at $6.50.

Superb Stroud

C.J. Stroud has announced himself to the NFL early.

The Houston Texans are 2-2 for the first time since 2019 and Stroud is well and truly part of the Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation.

He’s thrown for 1,212 yards across his first four games. Only Cam Newton threw for more back in 2011.

He’s just the sixth player in NFL history to average 300 passing yards without an interception in his first four games. Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers are the others.

He’s the first rookie since the 1970 merger with 250 passing yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions in three straight games.

Right now, he’s on pace to break Andrew Luck’s rookie record for passing yards in a season (4,374).

Stroud is destined for greatness and the Texans are all of a sudden in the hunt for the AFC South at $5.

Bills Do It With Defence

As we expected given the overreaction to the Miami Dolphins’ massive win in Week 3, the Buffalo Bills provided value as -2.5 favourites to win 48-20 at home. The high points total is good, obviously. Buffalo did it with their defence, though.

They finished up with four sacks, nine quarterback hits and two turnovers in the most impressive game of their NFL season.

Buffalo are a difficult team to trust. We’ve seen them go through promising patches before ultimately disappointing before. But they’re making improvements in the right areas and are worth exploring in the Super Bowl LVIII market at $7.50.

Other NFL Notes From Week 4

Mac Jones is now 0-12 against the spread in his last 12 games as an underdog.
– The Bears’ losing streak now stands at 14, dating back to last season. It’s the longest in the team’s history, which began in 1920. The good news: They’re picking 1st and 2nd in the NFL Draft right now thanks to the also-winless Carolina Panthers.
– Remember the name: Devon Witherspoon.
– The Cowboys handed Bill Belichick the worst loss of his NFL coaching career (38-3).
– After the Bills sacked Sam Howell nine times in Week 3, the Seahawks defence caught Daniel Jones 10 times during Monday Night Football
– The Giants might need to rethink the Daniel Jones thing.

TOP 6 SUPER BOWL LVIII ODDS

TEAMCURRENT PRICELAST WEEK’S PRICE
Philadelphia Eagles$6$6.50
Kansas City Chiefs$6.50$7
San Francisco 49ers$6.50$7
Buffalo Bills$7.50$10
Dallas Cowboys$9.50$10
Baltimore Ravens$13
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