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Week 6 In Review – Pacers Piling Up Points & Worrying About The Warriors

The Indiana Pacers are proving to be one of the most entertaining teams in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors, however, are a concern as their aging core struggles through the early months of the season.

Pacers Piling Up Points

Points scored in their last six games: 157, 131, 136, 110, 132, 144.

The Indiana Pacers are playing at an NBA-high 104.2 pace and turning it into 123.6 points per 100 possessions – the best mark in the league.

Tyrese Haliburton has been outstanding for his 27 points, 11.8 assists, 1.1 steals and 63% effective field goal percentage. He’s a bonafide All-Star and the best player on this team. However, the Pacers offence still managed to score 144 points without him.

Indy shot 65.9% from the field and 50% from three in the win. They shot 77% as a team after the first quarter but it was the bench entering the history books with an incredible 79% shooting night – the second-best mark in NBA history with 30+ attempts.

However, the dominance with the ball isn’t translating defensively. While the Pacers have scored the most points in the paint per 100 possessions, they’ve also allowed the most.

Indiana’s 120.9 defensive rating ranks 29th in the league for a middling +2.7 net rating. As a result, they’re 10-8 for 6th in the Eastern Conference and at $1.69 to make the playoffs.

The Pacers will be one of the most entertaining teams in the league all season but aren’t a championship consideration with their current defence. They have potential. TJ McConnell can make an impact off the bench and Obi Toppin, while inconsistent, has shown glimpses. They don’t need to find an elite defensive presence. Middling around 15th in the league from here will shorten their $151 in the championship winner market and $56 to get out of the East.

Worrying About The Warriors

We’ve seen the Golden State Warriors start an NBA season slowly before it all clicks ahead of a deep playoff run. They’ve earned a certain level of trust that come March and April, Steve Kerr will again have them among the championship contenders.

However, the Warriors have never been this old. They’ve never looked this out of sync as they look to juggle a rotation of aging stars and young players still learning their craft.

Klay Thompson is desperately playing with his next contract in mind, and it isn’t going well. He’s shooting a career-low 36.1% from beyond the arc but still hoising 7.7 attempts per game. Draymond Green’s reputation is finally catching up with him as officials start to shorten his NBA-longest lesh to have two ejections and a suspension to his name already this season. Chris Paul’s age has been catching up with him for a couple of years already and it’s showing on the court.

Paul George laid it out another issue: “They don’t have a rim protector.”

If not for Steph Curry’s 29.1 points, 4.7 assists and 43.1% shooting from three-point land, the Warriors would struggle to be part of the playoff conversation right now ($1.30).

Green missed the chance for the Warriors to secure a win over the LA Clippers in their last game. Once up by 22 points, the Warriors couldn’t get the job done to end up losing for the ninth time in 12 games.

At $16 to win the NBA championship only a fortnight ago, the Warriors are on the 7th line of betting at $20.

Clippers Clicking?

The comedy of the LA Clippers following their trade for James Harden is starting to get serious. Disastrous early on, Harden, Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and, to a lesser extent, Russell Westbrook, are figuring things out.

A congested schedule over the last week has seen the Clippers play five games which seems to have helped in their quest to build cohesion and continuity. The lack of it has been an issue for the Clippers in recent years. They’ve assumed it would all be fine in the playoffs and rested stars that didn’t need it throughout the regular season. Now, Clippers decision-makers seem to have identified the value in putting the team out on the floor whenever possible.

Leonard, George and Westbrook have played in all 18 games this season. Leonard and George had never played more than 13 consecutive games together before the current streak.

The early losing streak and awful loss to the Denver Nuggets might still be in the minds of punters. The dodgy defence is something that can’t be ignored either. Still, the Clippers are putting wins on the board and their $2.20 to finish with 45+ appeals. Should they remain healthy and develop further defensively their $19 to win the championship will come in, too.

No Change For Pistons & Grizzlies

A 133-107 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers made it 15 defeats on the bounce for the Detroit Pistons.

Two more made it 17 in a row and the 2023-24 NBA season is all but over. They’re going nowhere this season. While the Pistons are young and were always using this season as one of development, it’s difficult to do when losing so often.

Now at $2 to win 20+ games, the Pistons will be desperate to end the losing streak when taking on the hapless Memphis Grizzlies next up.

The selfish nature of Ja Morant’s indiscretions has punished the squad, and they’ve not performed well enough to remain relevant in his absence. Marcus Smart couldn’t contain his frustration during a timeout during the week. Spraying his team’s “embarrassing” performance, he went as far as to mention the fans in the crowd paying to watch them not even try.

Morant can only do so much when he does get back.

Expected to be among the contenders towards the end of the NBA season, the 5-14 Grizzlies are unlikely to even make the playoffs at $6.

NBA Trends & Odds

Nothing is splitting home and away teams overall in the NBA against the spread with both at a 143-143-5 record.

Home underdogs, however, have proven fruitful to cover at 53.4%. The Minnesota Timberwolves and Indiana Pacers are 2-0 as home dogs but of the regular underdogs, the Houston Rockets and New Orleans Pelicans are both 5-1 at home.

While the Atlanta Hawks are roughly where you’d expect to be 9-10 straight up for 10th in the East, they’re one to avoid against the spread for an NBA-worst 5-14 record.


Boston Celtics$4.50$4.50
Milwaukee Bucks$5$5
Denver Nuggets$5$5
Phoenix Suns$7.50$7.50
Philadelphia 76ers$15$15
LA Clippers$19$-
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