Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Sandown meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 10 races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
Track Condition: Good 4
Fascinating race as these 2YO stakes races often are. It is effectively a maiden. TAGALOA hit the line impressively enough on debut to grab 3rd to recommend he’s a player here. Should strip fitter. RIVER NIGHT looks to be a talented one based on works to date. GEIST seems to have pace too although both are unraced.
SOUND has horrible form on paper in much better races but this race is soooo weak he should win it easily. HAKY on his European form he has a great chance but on his Aussie form, he is a place shot only. AZURO is consistent at least and his 3rd at Flemington last start over 2500m in a Gr 3 was a good run.
Exciting, progressive filly XILONG looks nicely placed here. Won easier race well then came home gamely for 3rd this level last start. DONE BY ME has been a bit in and out this time up but draws well in a race she should run boldly in. PALURIEN gets home hard and gets the rails draw meaning she receives a perfect run preserving energy all the way.
WIDGEE TURF is by far the best-performed horse in this race. But I’m a little worried by the fact he’s been scratched a few times of late. Watch market. GOLD FIELDS is smart and was on pace all the way last start to win the Sale Cup from subsequent winner Mandela Effect. Big show. MUSIC BAY is an honest, talented mare who deserves a win in a race like this. Will be handy all the way.
Tip: WIDGEE TURF
Pretty even bunch. FAATINAH is the best-performed racehorse and is racing well enough but has a big weight. THERMAL CURRENT was a good thing beaten last start in a similar class of race when 4th. Missed kick and rattled home. Is fitter now. VIRIDINE has been very disappointing but on his day could win this. Take on trust.
Tip: THERMAL CURRENT
Interesting. Former Gr 1 winner HEY DOC is thrown in on his best form. But he’s been away from racing for over a year and is coming back from injury. Did trial well recently though. This looks like a great race for HOME OF THE BRAVE. He should find the lead easily and just settle into a tempo that preserves energy. And he can kick. Big show. RINGERDINGDING is now with his 4th trainer. Should run on well.
Tip: HOME OF THE BRAVE
BANQUO for MelbourneCup-winning trainer Danny O’Brien has the bad draw but probably slots in behind the pace anyway. And what an improvement curve he has been on culminating with a dashing last start stakes win in a similar race. Big show. CONQUEROR, on the other hand, has been at this level for a while and racing well. Has the great gate here too. How good is HEART OF PUISSANCE? We will find out here. He is unbeaten at 2 runs to date and has an explosive finish but this is his first look at Black Type company. Good race.
Tip: HEART OF PUISSANCE
I’ve given HUMIDOR soooo many chances this time up and he’s failed. He clearly isn’t the top Gr 1 horse he used to be but this isn’t overly strong so can’t drop off him completely. VENTURA STORM, likewise, is racing below his absolute best but he made ground in a fast and strong Gr2 race last start this trip. He ran 4th and has claims. You just have to think after getting beaten only 6 lengths in a Melbourne Cup that SOUTHERN FRANCE is fit enough. looks the class of the race.
Tip: SOUTHERN FRANCE
SWEET SCANDAL is in terrific form. She has the perfect draw here. She will get onto the fence just behind the pace. Yet to win this trip so will need to save ground but is very fit. FIDELIA was plain last start but previous form was right up to the mark for this. Awkward draw though. VANUATU has come back to racing in fine fettle. Both her starts this time in have been very pleasing at this level. Big show also.
Tip: SWEET SCANDAL
The topweight, PACODALI, is ready to show up. Is having 4th start here and past 3 runs have been excellent lead-ups to this. SETTING SAIL is an emerging staying talent from England in the care of Charlie Appleby. Resumes here and has terrific first up stats. Saying that the pace here will be hard from the get-go. Might just be a cut above them, however. SAVAHEAT is rising in grade yet again but can finish off and has won his past two starts, latest this trip at Flemington last week.