Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Royal Randwick meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True entire circuit
It will be interesting to see how the last start winner JAY JAY D’AR backs up in this tougher race. She sat back and just went bang last start at good odds getting onto a Good track for the first time in ages. Gets that surface again here and is very fit.
PRIME CANDIDATE faces a tough ask with this weight in a strong Bm race but he is so fast, so honest, so consistent and his last start win was outstanding. Drawn perfectly too.
ZAKAT zoomed home to just fail this grade last start and from this draw will go back, find cover and presumably, because he is super fit, charge late again. Can really accelerate. PRIME STAR is 3rd up and won brilliantly last start and with no weight rates highly also. Is super fit now.
Tip: PRIME STAR
I love Highways. TORO TORO was a looming star last campaign winning multiple races including when 2nd up. Is 2nd up here after5 a neat 6th this grade when resuming. Big show. Will finish hard here.
CLEARLY REGAL was luckless when resuming last start in a Highway and failing by a nose. Did come home hard. Fitter now. Perfectly drawn here too.
PACE STICK is the one they will come for as he is very fast and hoping to make it in the Kosciusko and did win in the bush handsomely last start. But does have a query about getting this trip. Probably leads for a good while though.
IT’S ME won a Highway last start looking like a stakes grade horse. Should do that again.
Tip: IT’S ME
FUN FACT led and fought on like a caged lion in a tougher, shorter race last start. Has the big weight here and there are a few who like to go hard early, but is 3rd up and can prove hard to run down.
THINK IT OVER is one those horses you should always have in your numbers. Is just so honest at this level. Also is a dual acceptor. Fitter for recent runs and has claims.
MAID OF ORE is all class when on song and is 2nd up here. She will benefit from the 3kg weight allowance and a good draw. Can place.
Tip: THINK IT OVER
Interesting race. DAME GISELLE is quickly stamping herself among the very best of the elite 3YO fillies winning her past two starts in this grade. She has always been a complete professional and has drawn the perfect gate here too. Big chance for a trio of wins.
HUNGRY HEART will test her, however. She was well back when resuming last start over 1200m and came with a rush to just fail nailing Dame Giselle. The extra 200m is in her favour and they ran very fast time that day. Look to quinella the race again. Watch betting.
Racing away from the top grade, MONTEFILIA won an easier race looking every bit as good as some of these and is now 3rd up. Must be considered in your numbers.
Tip: HUNGRY HEART
Good race. Old LE ROMAIN might just run a big race here. He was ok when resuming in a similar race and 7th and he has been working well at home. Former multiple Gr 1 winner and a lover of this journey. He could surprise at decent odds.
PROBABEEL looks beautifully placed in this. She has tremendous finishing power and her honesty is unquestioned. She was a terrific 2nd when resuming and this trip looks ideal. Bound to be in the money.
ROHERYN is flying at present and looks headed to Gr 1 glory. Winner last start in easier race but doing it brilliantly. Dual acceptor for this weekend, scratched from a Gr 1 race for this. Looks ideally poised.
Oh, what a tough race. And what a good race. AVILIUS is the winner of this race last year and a superstar at this distance. He was responsible for an enormous run when resuming last start and 4th this grade. Will sit back and hopefully, being a small field, will not be too far off them. Can power home.
VERRY ELLEEGANT is a multiple Gr 1 winner and sat three-wide when resuming last start, at Gr 1 level, yet still won. Is just so honest and talented and looks to win again. Big watch on her.
DREAMFORCE is the pace in the race and when left alone he is near impossible to run down. Won last start and goes even better this trip.
Is the BIVOUAC who brilliantly and audaciously won the Gr 1 Newmarket Hcp earlier this year going to turn up? There does seem to be two of them. He doesn’t have a fantastic first-up record but his two trials this time up have been awesome.
CLASSIQUE LEGEND will settle off them as there will be a massive amount of speed early. He is on target for a bold showing in The Everest and if so he should make these know he’s in the race over the final 100m. Big watch on him.
DIRTY WORK is classy and getting better with each and every race. Made up tremendous ground last start when resuming and 3rd behind Gytrash. Weighted well enough here. Great race.
Tip: CLASSIQUE LEGEND
This is a really difficult race to unpack. ANGEL OF TRUTH is a very smart horse this trip when right. In younger days when he won at Gr 1 level, he was a front-runner. Nowadays with a new trainer, he’s being taught to settle. If he can here and gets cover, he’s a player. Big show.
WU GOK will have no option but to run hard from gate rise. And being 2nd up, he will lead these and will get most of them off the bit by the turn. If fit enough he can hang tough. So he looms large here.
CARIF is going to take holding out here. He is 3rd up, down in the weights and at a trip that suits. Will be flashing home. Watch betting moves.
THE FIRE TRAP will run a blinder here now that he’s had three runs. Drawn perfectly and should be close now that the track is dry too. Big show.
CRIADERAS is unbeaten in three starts. Drops out and rushes home. He is considered by many a potential Group horse. Is very honest and runs home hard.
PETRONIUS did enough when resuming last start to suggest he’s back better than ever. Ran 3rd and looks even fitter for this assignment.