Gr 1 – The Everest Preview

Here it is the big one of the day the $20 million The Everest now at Gr 1 level. Ric Chapman unpacks the chances of all runners.

1. I Wish I Win (9)

Best Bet
J: L Nolen T: P Moody & K Coleman

Superstar who looks back to his best and his best is good enough to win this. Sits back in about 6th until they swing, will get pulled wide and just unleash late. Is 3rd up, was placed in this race last year, and looks the testing material again this time around. Did win 3rd up last prep.

PB Rating 9.3
Last 5 21x53
Win $6.50 Place $2.30
  • Ready to Fire

2. Giga Kick (3)

J: M Zahra T: C Douglas

Jay Mac sacked him to ride Joliestar but should he have? This bloke’s 2 runs this time up have been very sound and better than perhaps people think. He’s a winner of this race and has run 1200m faster than nearly all of these in the past. Is 3rd up into this and if the track is damp he is a major threat. Have in your numbers.

PB Rating 8.5
Last 5 x3x54
Win $14.00 Place $4.00
  • Good on Soft

3. Private Eye (10)

J: J Ford T: J Pride

Star on his day and has placed in this race. Two starts this time up have been handy but on both occasions he got too far back and never really looked like running down the leaders. Is a big race performer but the fear is he may just have lost a length in finishing speed. Place show.

PB Rating 7.5
Last 5 34x46
Win $26.00 Place $6.50
  • Ready to Fire

4. Bella Nipotina (12)

J: C Williams T: C Maher

Outstanding multiple Gr 1 winning mare who was a certainty beaten last start when 3rd to Airman and Mazu in a slightly easier race. Has the ability to run astonishing times on her day from 1100m up to 1400m. That kind of versatility makes her a massive threat as she can sit back which she looks like doing here after a bad draw. She is 3rd up and ready to win. Plus, she loves it wet.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 22123
Win $9.50 Place $3.00
  • Ready to Fire

5. I Am Me (1)

J: N Rawiller T: C Maher

Is the star of the moment having won both her races this time up and in doing so lowered the colours of most of these. Continues to draw amazing gates (not been further out than 2 in past 6 races) and she just keeps getting perfect runs behind the speed as result. Is very fit and must be strongly fancied.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 44x11
Win $15.00 Place $4.40
  • Proven Winner

6. Stefi Magnetica (6)

J: Z Lloyd T: B Baker

Such an amazing animal. She has won 3 races – two in the bush and the Gr 1 Stradbroke which she ran in super fast time. Speaking of time, after that Gr 1 win she was spelled and resumed with a 2nd in the Gr 2 Shorts over 1100m behind I Am Me beaten a nose. She came home her last 600m in under 33sec which most of these can’t do. Sure to be flashing home.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 531x2
Win $13.00 Place $3.90

7. Sunshine In Paris (8)

J: T Berry T: A Neasham & R Archibald

Lumped 58kg around when resuming and ran really fast time for 1200m in winning the Gr 2 Sheraco. This is harder but she can rattle home. A slight worry is that she’s had 2 attempts at 2nd up racing and is yet to win. Could sneak a place if she is on.

PB Rating 8.1
Last 5 254x1
Win $10.00 Place $3.10
  • In Form

8. Joliestar (4)

J: J Mcdonald T: C Waller

Yet to miss a place in 8 starts and is a Gr 1 winner already. But, saying that and while still acknowledging her talent, she has never faced a field this hot. Beaten comfortably at level weights by Sunshine In Paris last start when 2nd up. May find this too rich.

PB Rating 6
Last 5 x1x13
Win $6.00 Place $2.25
  • Likes Dry Track

9. Growing Empire (7)

J: K McEvoy T: C Maher

Looks the real deal although is still lightly raced having stepped out just 6 times. Has won 4 of them and nearly won last start when beaten a nostril in the Gr 1 Manikato over 1200m at The Valley. Hit the front close to home and just lost concentration last few bounds. I Wish I Win was just behind him that day but he meets that old stager a kilo worse here. Is so talented he looks a major threat.

PB Rating 9
Last 5 1x112
Win $8.00 Place $2.60
  • Proven Winner

10. Traffic Warden (2)

J: J Kah T: J Cummings

Classy and talented and looms very large. Can run time and is powerful late. Beaten a lip last start when nabbed on the wire by boom colt Broadsiding in the Gr 1 Golden Rose over 1400m. Perfectly suited at the weights and drawn to get a cheap run behind the speed. Big threat.

PB Rating 9.1
Last 5 42x12
Win $7.50 Place $2.50
  • Ready to Fire

11. Storm Boy (5)

Best Value
J: B Avdulla T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Is the dark horse. If he jumps he no doubt drives up to the lead and as the only speed in the race he could lead these comfortably. This is his home track and he can run time. With this light weight he looks primed. Led and caught in last few bounds over 1400m by Broadsiding and Traffic Warden last start. Better suited this trip and must be in your numbers.

PB Rating 9.3
Last 5 4x134
Win $13.00 Place $3.70
  • Ready to Fire

12. Lady Of Camelot (11)

J: R King T: G Waterhouse & A Bott

Top filly. Is the defending Gr 1 Golden Slipper winner and if she can get in with cover just off the pace she has finishing power. The draw doesn’t suit her but she’s 3rd up and fit enough to be a player.

PB Rating 8
Last 5 12x37
Win $51.00 Place $11.00
  • Likes Dry Track

13. Overpass (13)

J: Not Notified T: B Baker

Speed horse. The race changes complexion if he gains a start because he will lead and stretch them out. Goes well fresh and resumes here. Would take catching if he ran.

PB Rating 8
Last 5 01x1x
Win $61.00 Place $14.00
  • Likes Dry Track

14. Think About It (14)

J: Not Notified T: J Pride

Won this race last year in phenomenal time but not looked likely to win a race in 6 starts since. It does look like he ran his heart out last year to win. Probably wont get a run and that’s ok because he didn’t run a place when resuming last start.

PB Rating 7
Last 5 505x6
Win $71.00 Place $16.00
  • Likes Dry Track

15. Southport Tycoon (15)

J: Not Notified T: C Maher

Could disrupt these if he was to gain a start. Rattled home from a mile off the pace to win Gr 1 Manikato last start beating Growing Empire. Is very strong late and should have been placed straight into the field.

PB Rating 8.8
Last 5 19x51
Win $51.00 Place $12.00
  • Ready to Fire

16. Mazu (16)

J: Not Notified T: J Pride

PB Rating
Last 5 72x32
Win $71.00 Place $16.00

First 4

1. I Wish I Win, 2. Bella Nipotina, 3. Storm Boy, 4. Traffic Warden

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* PB rating based on form analysts’ opinion.