The Melbourne Cup Barrier Draw is a cause of much joy and angst for connections of those horses lucky enough to make the final field for the great race. This years draw is no exception with some favoured runners drawing off the track, while others are drawn to get nice economical runs for their jockeys, which can make all the difference in the run home.

 

The History

Since the introduction of barrier gates in 1924, the only gate without a win in the Melbourne Cup is gate 18. Who Shot Thebarman ($41) has drawn 18 this year and is unlikely to break that hoodoo. Barrier 5 has enjoyed eight Melbourne Cup victories, followed by gate 10 with seven wins with gates 11, 14 and 17 next best with six successes each. In recent times horses drawn barriers 14, 10, 13 and 22 have headed to the winners enclosure the most frequently.

With the gruelling 3200 metres ahead of them, jockeys look to get their mounts into a nice position to conserve energy for the run home. Drawing a wide gate can lead to horses drifting well back in the run to get a nice spot close to the rail, or risk being caught wide and covering too much ground, leaving them with no finishing burst. Leading trainers and jockeys in recent years have expressed a liking for gates 5-12.

 

The Winners

Best Solution – The Caulfield Cup winner has drawn perfectly in gate 6. Trainer Saeed Bin Suroor has been runner up three times in the Melbourne Cup and this looks his best chance yet to lift the trophy.

The Cliffsofmoher – Has drawn beautifully in gate 9 for star UK rider Ryan Moore. He enjoyed a similar preparation for the Melbourne Cup as stable mate Johannes Vermeer who narrowly missed out last year.  

Avilius – Another who has drawn well in barrier 11. His natural pattern is to get back in races and jockey Glyn Schofield will be able to slot in for an economical run. This is how he raced in the Group 3 Bart Cummings to secure his spot in the Melbourne Cup.

Marmelo – Last year’s favourite has flown in under the radar this year and is drawn to get a gun run from gate 10. Jockey of the moment Hugh Bowman rides and he will run well.

 

The Losers

Yucatan – Nick Williams (below) struggled to hide his disappointment when drawing barrier 23 for the Melbourne Cup favourite. The betting markets reacted with the Aidan O’Brien trained stayer drifting from $4.50 to $5.50 after the draw.

Cross Counter – The lightly raced UK based Godolphin horse has drawn poorly in gate 19. Has done a lot of his racing in small fields and the wide gate and big field will make it difficult for him.

Rostropovich – Irish jockey Wayne Lordan is going to have his work cut out for him from Gate 21. Is likely to go forward early and will need to find some cover to feature in the finish.

 

The Betting Moves

🔥 Best Solution (6) $15  ➡️ $13

🔥 Avilius (11) $15 ➡️ $12

🔥 The Cliffsofmoher (9) $18 ➡️ $16

🔥 Marmelo (10) $21 ➡️ $17

💨 Yucatan (23) $4.50 ➡️ $5.50

💨 Rostropovich (21) $21 ➡️ $26

💨 Cross Counter (19) $10 ➡️ $11

 

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