Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Rosehill meeting, which will be run, because of COVID, at the Kembla racecourse, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 10 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 7
Rail Position: +5m from the 1100m to the w/p, 2m remainder
BROTHER BASSY, on his best form, would win this. But he is 2nd up here and hasn’t won 2nd up in the past and he’s never won at this trip. But at a mile… he’s a mile better than these. Hughie rides also.
He never seems to win but he does bob up at big prices regularly and on this track LORD DESANIMAUX should be flashing home late into a hole again. Big show. Big show.
PRINCESS DE ROCA is on the rise having won her past two in weaker grade but by running home hard. Has claims.
Tip: BROTHER BASSY
Lots to like about MANKAYAN’s hopes here. He is 3rd up, has already shown he is a stayer of considerable talent and he should destroy these.
OFF SHAW is so fast, so fit and so honest. Will lead and will be incredibly hard to run down. Watch the market.
MASTER SHUHOOD doesn’t win out of turn but is good for a good run. Is very fit. Gets back and runs on. weighted to hog close. Big show.
Hugh Bowman takes the mount on this import for Team Hawkes called PESTO. And that booking, along with his first-up top 5th in this grade makes him a major player in this.
CRYSTAL PEGASUS is just an honest, classy at this level, campaigner and last start’s gutsy win in this grade just underlines that. Surely runs boldly yet again.
YIYI is a stablemate of crystal Pegasus and is also very honest. They’ve draw next to one another so probably goes forward and is super fit. Unlucky when 2nd two runs back and game when 2nd last start. Respect all that. Chance, though.
This toppie OXFORD TYCOON has an awkward draw but probably drives forward and should get across and in. Is third up into this and has the best racing record so he can dominate this. Big weight here but also has 2kg weight allowance and appeals a lot.
COBIA is lightly raced but is showing requisite talent and did win nicely two starts back. This is tougher but is on the improve and drawn perfectly.
LISDOONVARNA hasn’t on for a long time and hasn’t shown a great deal of form of late but this will suit her. Should get back and if the track allows back-markers a fair play, she can dash late in this grade.
Tip: OXFORD TYCOON
SUBTERRANEAN is the class here and has a good enough gate to warrant respect. Did make impressive ground out wide late to grab 4th when resuming in a better race, and looked even better when 3rd this company last start. Was a star last prep and super fit now. Has claims.
TIGER OF MALAY stormed to victory when resuming last start showing a great deal of courage. Looks well placed and did beat the Gr 1 winner Converge last prep. Big show.
ROYALZEL might be a budding superstar. We will know a lot more after this but he has won his past three runs and has a powerful finishing burst. Will make a race of this.
Tip: 1. SUBTERRANEAN
FORBIDDEN LOVE hasn’t been served well at the gates but terrific first-up run. Is capable when mind on job and should sprint quickly when into the clear.
ENTRIVIERE is a star from New Zealand. She is resuming here but can win this comfortably if she is on song.
FITUESE will probably fly out of the gates trying to cross and find the fence. If she achieves that without using to much gas, she will take catching. Has a devastating turn of foot late in the race.
Tip: 1. ENTREVIERE
PRIVATE EYE is a top racehorse. He just puts in every start. Won first-up even though he didn’t look comfortable. Terrific racing attitude and strips fitter this time. He looms large.
BIG PARADE is a gun speedster. He won under a big weight when resuming and has gone to this stakes grade level. Wont know himself with this lightweight today. Is ready. Watch the betting.
EMRACER is strong and fit and his close 2nd behind Private Eye when resuming last start was a cracker of a run. Is getting better with racing and will love having a fly weight on his back today.
Tip: 1. BIG PARADE
What a supercharged field. Can STAY INSIDE bounce back? Looked to be suffering from the Golden Slipper curse when he got back and just didn’t run on when resuming last start behind In The Congo. Surely he can improve here and probably sits a lot closer also. Respect.
Everyone is tipping he will be the dominant 3YO this season. Opens his campaign here and there has been money for him. Already a Gr 1 winner and is expected to be in this finish.
CONVERGE has to be respected. Resumes from a spell here but his last start was one of the best Gr 1 wins of the year. Has enormous talent.
Tip: 1. STAY INSIDE
If the track is favouring all comers then EMANATE looms here. Probably goes back from gate rise to find a spot but has finishing power and is 2nd up here. Big show.
So too stablemate ZAKAT. He is very honest and always looms to win but hasn’t won at his past 8 runs in this grade. Has placed a lot though, and is 3rd up here off a nice draw.
MAZU is also 3rd up and looks ready to run. cheeky race. Both starts this time in have been handy just behind the placegetters and weights to win. Respect.
Such a strong race.
The old saying is that Godolphin always win the last race. Their horse has been scratched so Chris Waller’s pair of LOVEPLANET and BROOKSPIRE looked to quinella the race. Both are fit and very good late. Watch betting moves. But do quinella them up.
KINGSHEIR has that x-factor about him too. Is expected to run up to his first-up stunning win in a similar race when resuming. Big, big danger as his 3rd last start was strong too.