Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Royal Randwick meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Rail Position: out 11m from 1600m to w/p. Out 8m rest of the circuit
It will be interesting to see how the toppie DANCING GIDGET bounces back. Was supported and failed in the mud under 60kg last week beaten over 7 lengths. But it may have been a pretty strong race. Gets chance to atone here.
FREEHEARTED won at this very level last start with 1.5kg less on a heavy track. That reads really well for this. Was big odds but is very honest and now back in winning form she rates highly.
Similarly, boom mare ALL SAINT’S EVE. She resumes here but when last in work placed at stakes level and is still quite lightly raced. Has had a pair of trials to get her right for this. Jay Mac has taken the ride and expect her to run a blinder.
Tip: ALL SAINTS EVE
I love Highways. NICCIROSE looked awesome this grade and race when charging home late to win. Is very fit. Goes up 1.5kg for that win but because it was also in the mud you’d have to think a repeat is on the cards.
GIRLS IN CHARGE is smart but a little in and out. Sat back and ran home enormous last start when 3rd in a BM 72 when resuming. That may suggest she is back better than ever this time. Have in your numbers.
LIBERTY HEAD does look beautifully placed. Was a mile back in this exact race, and on the fence which was the slowest part of the track, yet made ground steadily and impressively to grab 2nd behind Niccirose at this level. Meets that horse 1.5kg better so looms as the one to beat. Is very honest.
Tip: LIBERTY HEAD
This is a race many, many people are looking forward to seeing. It marks the return of a real legitimate The Everest prospect in MASKED CRUSADER. It may sound weird that because this is only a BM 88, but he has real, Group 1 level talent. Resumes here and looks the one to beat. Is very gifted.
VARDA will keep him honest though. She herself is an emerging star winning her past three in very impressive fashion. That makes her fit, in supreme form, and is a winner. Gets back and runs on. Will be a great test for him first up.
SINGLE BULLET is pretty honest and he tried his heart out in a similar race with a big weight last start. This time around he meets a pair of really talented sprinters who may just be too good for him as he lumps this impost. Can place though.
Tip: MASKED CRUSADER
Interesting race. WILLOWHEART was on pace when resuming in a stronger race and was game to the end when 5th. Easier here and is fitter. Big show.
QUATUM will fascinate a few. He rises massively in grade following his big maiden win on debut. Was backed like he was a really good horse and won accordingly. But the class rise….it is a concern, still if there is big money for him, get on.
BARTLEY has talent but resumes here. Saying that he looked a stakes horse a few months back. He is fit enough and Jay Mac rides. Should run on too.
Good race. RAHEEN HOUSE is probably the best performed but he resumes here on a very heavy track. And has to hump a huge weight. Saying that, he can run while fresh and there should be good speed here so he can settle off the pace with cover. Louise Day takes 3kg off and is riding superbly.
TAIKOMOCHI looks to have a lock on this nowTORYJOY has been scratched. They are both natural speed horses over this journey and will lock horns. One would have broken the other, and maybe they hurt each other. But, now Taikomochi can lead unchallenged, he looks beautifully placed and will prove very hard to run down.
LONGBOTTOM will get back and she will appreciate the fast pace. Is very fit. Rattled home for 3rd this grade last start and should appreciate everything here including the wet track.
Oh, what a tough race. So many chances before the scratchings decimated the race. I think ANOTHER SIN, who is a really tough bush sprinter, along with Godolphin’s smart ATHIRI and the Canberra mare KISS MY SWISS can be the main players here now.
Off the good draw here boom horse NORTH PACIFIC may just go bang. He was awesome winning first-up last start and is headed toward the Golden Rose. So you’d expect him to be very hard off this inside draw to beat today.
SMART IMAGE is unbeaten in two starts to date and just seems a really tough, honest type who can make own luck and has a will to win. Up in class here but has the perfect draw to receive a terrific run and can sprint late. Has strong claims.
YARDSTICK probably drives to the lead and by this stage of the day that may be the place to be. Have in your numbers.
Tip: NORTH PACIFIC
Good,, strong race. SHARED AMBITION resumes here after a strong campaign in better grade. Big weight but he has terrific stats for first-up assignments so expect him to be rushing home late.
MAN OF PEACE looks the one to catch. He is in great form. He is a knob in the wet and he looks the only genuine pace. Will lead these a very merry dance all the way.
PANCHO is right down in the weights and will be forgotten. He has a lot of talent and does go well fresh. resumes here and may pay to have in your numbers.
Tip: MAN OF PEACE
THE FIRE TRAP has improved a great deal over the past four months. Looked great winning when resuming last start. He ended his last prep with a game win and this first-up effort was even better. Might be ready to really step up now. Big show.
GOT UNDERS doesn’t win out of turn, in fact rarely wins but he is honest and always runs on hard. Looks nicely placed in this company. Can be in the money.
CHARRETERA is also a non-winner these days but he has numerous placings, many of late, at this level. Should run boldly.