Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all eight races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: +5m 1000m To WP, +3m Remainder
All Mark Newnham trained 2YOs seem to run well. CODEBREAKER is from that stable and after good trials, races here on debut. Watch market. Hard to overlook the run of DAMAGED on debut. Ran a terrific 2nd in this grade so you know he can handle it. And has been sensationally backed overnight. LONG WEEKEND is on debut but looked strong in a recent trial.
Tough race to assess. CANADIAN SPICE looks well in here. Placed on debut, then spelled and resumed with a solid 4th in city mdn similar to this. Fitter now. HEROES is on debut here but looked fast in trial. Watch market. MISS CANADA is top shelf and this looks hers. Probably leads throughout and wins as she likes.
Tip: MISS CANADA
This is ACTIVATION’s 2nd race start following a solid finishing 3rd at Kembla. Should strip a lot fitter. Watch market. BATTLEGROUND has the good draw and has the form to trouble these. Has placed 2nd in both his starts to date and looks perfectly placed. TWICE AS SPECIAL is trained here and is showing talent. Battled on strongly for 4th this very grade last start.
Interesting race here if both MONSIEUR SISU and CASTEL SAINT D’ANGELO run as both like to be on pace and setting solid fractions. Blinkers come off Castel Saint D’Angelo, while Monsieur Sisu is trained here. Both should be in this for a long way and their guaranteed speed will set it up for CORNCRAKE to muster good rhythm late. He won this trip at BM70 level last start.
Tip: MONSIEUR SISU
Fascinating race. Not sure how good DONANDKIM is here first-up but he certainly was showing emerging talent last time in winning 3 on the bounce. Watch betting moves. CHAT has the ideal draw to drop in just behind the pace and has the form to suggest he’ll be in this finish. CAMP RIFLE was there to the bend but just didn’t finish when fading 9th in a stronger BM70 race last start. Was 2nd up that afternoon. Fitter now and worth another chance.
Tip: CAMP RIFLE
Being trained here is a big advantage and RANCHO NOTORIOUS off this good draw too, should appreciate all that. Was racing very well in better company towards the end of last campaign. Fresh here but respect. SEGALAS is smart and is 3rd up. Stormed home in BM76 last start when impressive 2nd. Must be in your numbers because the pace will be super hot early. MILTARY MAGIC is unbeaten in 3 much easier races but has been winning in style and has no weight here. Big show.
Hard race. Lots of chances. Old ISORICH must be included because he actually is in quite well at the weights and seems to be back near his best. Won a similar race 2 starts back and at big odds backed it up with a solid 3rd in BM74 last start. JETSKI is a winner. He’s tough and hits the line really hard. Has won 3 of past 5 starts and gets a 3kg allowance. Big show. FEATHER has drawn deep but is racing soundly and did hit line hard to win a similar race last start. Is very fit.
Hard race. It must be time for TRAVANCORE to return to form. Is 3rd up here after a pair of useful runs. Was a star and model of consistency this grade when last in work. KAAPFEVER is trained here and that gives him 2 lengths right there. Has the rails draw and is a last start BM76 winner. Must be respected. CISCO BAY is always solid at this level and was 5th at BM76 level last run.