RIC CHAPMAN previews Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Heavy 9
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
These China Horse Club colours seem to always bob up and ADVERSITY wears them here. Solid 3rd on debut at Newcastle and looks ready to run a blinder. JERLE is a Godolphin juvenile. He has yet to win from 4 starts but hits the line like he might be very talented. If he puts it all together here he might win easily. CULTURAL AMNESIA has trialled well. Debut run here. Good race.
Big race from last Saturday transferred here. ENCOUNTABULL looks talented. Maybe even very talented. He was green but came with a rush to grab 2nd in a similar race last start. Blinkers go on for first time here so matches up really well. LARIMER STREET is up from Melbourne and has the rails draw. Did place in town on debut and should run boldly. FIXATED is up from Melbourne and there is a wrap on him. placed at only start. Is emerging. The odds on fav CELLSABEEL wins if she runs but it looks like she will be scratched.
Terrific race. ACCESSION is a star and we saw that when he ran on powerfully to grab 2nd at this meeting last year in the $2 million Inglis Millenium. Very smart on his day and was recently gelded. If TRUE DETECTIVE starts he looks a terrific threat. Stormed home last start when resuming and because there will be pace here he looks a major player. RARI has the good draw and a lot of determination. Seems to be improving with racing and is on home track. XILONG was very smart when last in work. Resumes here on a heavy track.
WU GOK is smart. Is 2nd up here and is approaching a trip he should excel at. Will be each way odds but has claims. GAULOIS is a very reliable type in this company. Flashed home to grab 3rd when 2nd up last start. Big show. SMARTEDGE ran a terrific race up on the Gold Coast recently to grab 4th in this grade. Weighted well here. Big threat.
VOILA is very fit now. She gets back and runs home hard. Gets a 3kg allowance in this and that brings her right into contention as this isn’t strong. BEDTIME STORIES has good bush form but is being aimed at the Country Champs so may get back and run home hard into a place. KENTUCKY WILDCAT has the rails draw. Is coming off a really nice 4th this grade when resuming last start. Looks progressive. Is emerging.
AGASSI is enigmatic. He ran horribly toward the end of last campaign but then looked really strong when 2nd this grade last start while resuming. Big weight but is talented when on song. DIO D’ORO returned to best form with a really strong, workmanlike win this grade last start. Drawn to be right in this again. BLAST is a stablemate of Agassi. Ran home hard for 3rd this grade last start and can place again.
Terrific race. MADDI ROCKS looked awesome winning first up last start at Canterbury in a tougher race. Has the rails draw here but does cop a hefty weight increase. Still might be too good. PROMOTIONS won a mdn last start when resuming but is was a good mdn and she won it quite impressively. Harder here but has talent. GLAMOUR FOX will be big odds but has enough talent to run a place in this. Mixes form but is up to this.
Tip: MADDI ROCKS
Here is the always difficult staying race to work out. RAQEEQ won this grade last start being very tough late but they just never win 2 in a row in these races so place show. SEEINGISBELIEVING has drawn awkwardly but is now very fit and was doing best work when 5th in a stronger race over 1800m last start. Big show. The wet track probably gives the big priced HOKKAIDO MISS a chance. She likely leads and may take catching.
The 3kg coming off the back of the very fit SEDITION will be a major help. He has been up a long while but last start 4th in a BM72 last start was a solid run. INTRINSIC was 2nd when resuming and hit the wire well. Fitter now and is well up to this grade. KNICKPOINT resumes here. has been massively backed overnight. Has won 2 of 3 runs.