Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Tuesday’s Warwick Farm meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 7 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True
What a tough race. Crushing hot day to contend with. Will climb to 40 + out this neck of the woods. DAY PERFORMER is trained here and already has a placing from start under her belt. Looks hard to beat.
IN FLANDERS is talented enough to win and certainly has the runs on the board placing at three of her past five starts at this level. Will be running on hard.
SPIRITUALITY has mixed form but resumes here and trial was nice.
Tip: DAY PERFORMER
The toppie here MORE PROPHETS is smart. Won or placed at past seven runs tells you about her honesty. Drawn perfectly. Big weight and big ask on a scorching hot day but she looks better than these.
MARGIE BEE is very fast early and should lead them a merry dance. Many horses do not chase hard on hot days so she has every chance to steal this one.
JOLIETTE is very fit now and has been making good ground late in these type of races. Placed two of past three. Can again.
Tip: MORE PROPHETS
HE’S A HOTSHOT and ESCAPED both like to roll forward early but both were major disappointments last start. Escaped can lead these and that should spark him up while He’s A Hotshot is on home track so he can improve also. Plus he’s drawn to get the run of the race. At their best, they fight this out.
CELER has the rails draw and just maps to get a cushy run. Is 2nd up after a nice playing this level when resuming. Big show.
Tip: HE’S A HOTSHOT
Eight runners in this and six are last start winners. BLACK BOLT, who was 3rd last start but did win the run prior, receives a welcome 2kg claim and he is very fit. That allowance, on suck a hot day, and his terrific draw, should see him right there all the way and looms as a major threat.
AHSO led all the way and won as he liked on debut. Much, much harder here but he no doubt tries to replicate that run. He does look to have a lot of talent.
YIYO rises in grade following a strong maiden win last time out when resuming. Should sit off what looks a very fast pace and come home hard.
Tip: BLACK BOLT
Good betting race. OUR BELLAGIO MISS is the ultimate professional. She is honest, always races well this grade and what I like a great deal is she is at home on her fav track. The 3kg claim makes her look almost irresistible.
Bush speedster AFFINITY BEYOND is super quick and probably jumps from this wide alley and tries to cross them. Has a great deal of speed and is very fit. Has claims.
EL COHETE is a bit hit and miss but when he fires up he has the talent to run over these. And does improve on this track.
Tip: BLACK BOLT
This does look a put in take out for WOLFE if left alone in front. He is very strong and 3rd up he appeals a great deal
GREY LION will get back and probably run on. He’s in great form and loves this trip and track where he is trained. Big show.
MORTON’S FORK always runs on well at this level and on his home track here he can make a real splash late.
EXCELTIC has been known to mix his form but comes here 3rd up, super fit, on home track and did win already this campaign. Sure to be there at the end.
STORMY ROCK is lightly raced but talented. Drew wide, went back and charged home for an impressive 2nd this grade this track last time out. Likely to sit a pair closer today and looms large.
CATAPULT will be on pace. Is racing well enough and can be effective. Can win this.
Tip: STORMY ROCK