Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Rosehill meeting with horse racing tips and analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
It’s pretty hard to ignore the form on the board for the Victorian filly MUNTASEERA. She was back a mile off the pace on debut over 1000m in the Gr 3 Ottowa Stakes, yet rocketed late to grab 2nd. It was more than eye-catching. Gets an extra 100m to play with here. BRITAIN won a trial recently and is well bred. Bound to be handy. Same can be said for the Godolphin runner CHILLIWACK. Can place.
Tough but strong Highway. Could speed hold up here? I think so. Which means the lightly raced BULLET SPEED comes into play. He led all way to win maiden then tried to repeat the dose at Doomben in a Cl 1 last start when close 4th. Is a lot fitter now. Former Godolphin galloper PAUPER has won past two bush starts and won them well, coming from off pace both times. Big danger. CONSPIRATOR has only had two starts but has won and placed. Should be thereabouts as he has talent.
Tip: BULLET SPEED
CONGREGATE looks ready for this. He is transitioning through the grades most effectively winning two of past three and was 3rd last start at BM66 level at Scone. Sits off the speed and runs home hard. FRANCISCO PIZARO is ready as well. Is 3rd up here and has caught the eye both times since spell. Can place while PRINCESS CORDELIA is in sparkling form and has the perfect rails draw.
Two very handy ones in this. HE’S A HOTSHOT resumed from a spell with a strong 3rd in a fast bush race last start. Prior to that had won three of four and is on the upward curve. So too is the unbeaten Godolphin galloper SUAVE. He might be pretty smart. They’ve taken a lot of time with him but his last start Wyong win was very dominant. Big dangers. ALISON OF TUFFY is honest and can place also.
Terrible draw for INVICTUS SALUTE but she does have a lot of early speed so should be able to cross and either find the rails or be one off. Is 3rd up here after placing this grade last start, so looks the one to beat. If she does charge across she probably brings MANSA MUSA with her as he is very fast early too. He led all way under a big weight to win a BM 70 last start. KAWAIKINI gets back and will love the early pace battle. Should charge late.
Tip: INVICTUS SALUTE
GREY LION is the class horse here but he has been soundly beaten in better races this spring. At his best, he sits off pace and charges late and wins. Should be fit but just a little doubt about his desire this time up. No speed here other than TAIKOMOCHI. He will set a solid tempo and if left alone he could kick on the bend and make a real race of this. MORTON’S FOLK has not won for many months but is racing in nearly the best form again. Is certain to be in the finish.
What a good race. RENEWAL is such an honest campaigner. He has made his way through the grades and has achieved that travelling all over the land. Tough draw here but if he finds cover he will get a wriggle on late. Is very fit. MOSS TRIP is talented, especially on a soft track and gets that here. Will dash late. BOBBING is from the bush but he will love the fact he has no weight on his back. He too gets back and runs on. Is 3rd up in this so is really ready.
BON AMIS is coming back in trip but does go hard so that shouldn’t matter. Ran a huge race in The Hunter last start chasing the smart Savatiano all the way home. This is a strong field but his honesty will keep him right in this. GLENALL stormed home to win a similar race from an impossible position last start. Perfectly drawn and looks back to his best. BADAJOZ is always a threat at this level. Is 4th up now too.
MISS REDOBLE is in great form and will no doubt drive toward the front early. Just run down last start by PINUP MISS who grabbed her late this grade last start. Miss Redoble meets her 4kg better for narrowly being beaten. OUR WINNIE is in peak form too placing first up from spell this grade. Is 3rd up now.