Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Rosehill meeting with horse racing tips and analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Soft 6
Rail Position: Out 3m, entire circuit
COSMIC FORCE should win if he starts but most likely he runs in the gr 1 Galaxy later today where he is a great chance. His stablemates CALIFORNIA ZIMBOL, who has beaten Loving gaby in the past, and MIRRA VISION are both highly gifted and should be the plays here. Nothing between them with Mirra Vision drawing the best gate. Hits the line hard and unbeaten on slow tracks. DIRTY WORK has talent too and is fit now. Will run on.
Tip: MIRRA VISION
A couple of unknowns here. Is British visitor YOUNG RASCAL at his peak? If so he wins comfortably. Just hasn’t raced for several months. RED CARDINAL made really impressive ground late when resuming this level over 1900m last start. Ran 3rd and is fitter now. SUPERNOVA is extremely talented and he gets an opportunity to show it here. Great 4th when resuming last start and this trip should suit now that he’s fitter.
Tip: YOUNG RASCAL
LUVALUVA loves this trip and grade. Won 2 on the bounce looking awesome then sent to NZ for a Gr 1 and ran home hard to grab 6th. Freshened for this and looms large. GREYSFUL GLAMOUR led and won in fast time over 1400m first-up then was gasping for air turning for home last start this grade running last after leading. Vet checked revealed pulmonary issues which presumably are fixed now. can bounce back. PAINT THE TOWN TWO won the race she folded up in. And that was 3rd win from past 4 runs. Must be considered.
Some say AVILIUS was unlucky when ridden for luck and getting up along the inside to grab 5th in the high-pressured Gr 1 Australian Cup this trip last start. Drawn the fence here and should receive a tip-top run throughout. Will storm home. ADDEYBB is a genuine Gr 1 star in Europe and as such should take beating. Goes well first up. On debut in Australia. Has outstanding wet track form and did thrash wonder mare Magic Wand last year carrying more weight than her. Exciting galloper. VERRY ELLEEGANT may be back better than ever and if so, watch out. She is a star Gr 1 horse and loves the mud. Super 2nd in fast time last start. Watch market. Great race.
The race is a pearler. TE AKAU SHARK is the superstar at the moment and is chasing 3 x Gr 1 wins in a row. And if the tempo is on early which it should be with DREAMFORCE and probably HAPPY CLAPPER going forward, he should swamp them. ALIZEE is inconsistent but far too good to overlook. Can charge late too. SUPER SETH and BRANDENBURG are two of the very best 3YOs in a crop that is super deep with talent.
CASTELVECCHIO has a Gr 1 Cox Plate placing to his credit so on that score alone rates very highly. Is 3rd up here after a couple of useful runs. Bound to be dashing late. SHADOW HERO is the form horse. Is very strong, very consistent and won the Gr 1 over a mile against most of these last start. WARNING is warming to a big win. Is a Gr 1 winner of the VRC Derby so the trip should be right up his alley. CHENIER is lightly raced but highly gifted. Is 3rd up here after 2 outstanding runs in the top echelon in Victoria. Nearly fell last start. Dam is by Zabeel so getting the trip is no concern.
What a good race. Very competitive. HANSEATIC is a star and only loss to date was 2nd at Gr 1 level behind Tagaloa in the Blue Diamond. If ridden quieter might storm home. AWAY GAME was 4th in that race after racing deep all the way. Much better drawn here and will make her presence felt. Did easily win the Magic Millions Classic. MINHAAJ has won both her starts to date and won them both by big margins showing amazing speed late. Big show here. MAMARAGAN might be a superstar. We will know more after this. Won only start to date, at Gr 2 level and won it easily. Respect.
Is the ever-reliable PIERATA ready to beat this flying bunch with his big weight? Hmmm, not sure but gee he’s honest at Gr 1 level and did win a recent trial. IN HER TIME is all class and goes really well first up. Drawn to get a great run and is outstanding at this level when right. Godolphin’s SAVATIANO and DEPRIVE have exceptional finishing power. And both are prepped perfectly. There will be speed on so they should be suited. COSMIC FORCE is an outstanding 3YO. If he gains a start he’s a major player with this tiny weight. The rails draw is a huge plus for the strong MISS LEONIDAS.
Tough race with many chances. I’m going to box up the Godolphin pair of MANICURE and RESIN who both rattle home, with ANJANA and have them all in exotics behind KIAMICHI who I think goes bang and leads all the way.