Form student, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Rosehill meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
Track Condition: Soft 6
YOU MAKE ME SMILE should do just that for you here. He is in a purple patch of form. Charges to the lead, runs along at a fast clip and just keeps fighting. Looks hard to catch especially as he loves it wet. SAFADO is one of the favs to win the Provincial Champs Final worth $500K based on consistent good form. Is tough to hold out while STAR OF THE SEAS is an emerging star too and even though up in grade, will appreciate this lightweight and fast tempo.
Tip: YOU MAKE ME SMILE
On best form shown to date, MUSIC MAGNATE leads all the way and wins this. Has trialled well but form past 6 starts has been woeful. Watch market. FIERY HEIGHTS is brilliant while fresh and is first up here with Jay Mac to ride and drawn the fence. Big danger. EASY EDDIE is a quick and ever-improving sprinter. He is also in great form. Good race.
Tip: FIERY HEIGHTS
We get to see just how smart this Kiwi filly PROBABEEL is. Connections say she is very special and she has backed that up winning past 3 on the bounce. Kiwi juveniles rarely measure up to ours so this will be interesting. LANKAN STAR is top drawer and she was runner-up in the Gr 1 Blue Diamond. The horrible draw is against her here. The Godolphin trio: ATHIRI; AMERCEMENT and KIAMICHI are as good as each other and no surprise to see them fight this out. VILLAMI is reported to be exceptional and so market needs to be watched. Terrific contest.
This is a very even race. HIGHTAIL was only average in his recent trial but as a racehorse, on race day he has been extremely good. Resumes here but hits the line like a runaway train. BORN A WARRIOR was 3rd on debut but gee he gave the impression he was pretty talented. He can muster as he showed that day behind Time To Reign. Watch him closely. COSMIC FORCE has drawn poorly but is very honest and will be right in this. Hits the line well.
Tip: BORN A WARRIOR
Like most big races, the girls are the play here. ARISTIA has a bad draw so probably drops to the rear. Can make enormous ground quickly on her day. Is a Gr 1 winner already. ROCK is fast and could lead. He has a touch of brilliance about him too. Is up in grade but can make the step up. VERRY ELLEEGANT has behavioural problems but also has massive talent. If she settles in the run she could just go bang here.
Tip: VERRY ELLEEGANT
PATRICK ERIN looks well placed here on his home track. He can be midfield here and is fit following his two strong runs chasing Winx. Similarly, his stablemate BRIMHAM ROCKS is better placed here. Forget his two fitness assignments when thrashed both times by Winx. This is much easier. SAMADOUBT will lead and is racing in great heart. In the wet, may take catching.
Tip: BRIMHAM ROCKS
Hard race to work out. Last year’s runner-up OREGON’S DAY is back here for another go following a great first up stakes win last start. DIXIE BLOSSOMS is perfectly drawn and has always shown she is up to this. Her 2nd at stakes level when resuming last start was a career-best first-up run. Respect her. ECKSTEIN is a powerhouse finisher who is 3rd up, while EL DORADO DREAMING and I AM SERIOUS will get back but will run home like out of control locomotives. Great spectacle.
Very even field. Scratchings make this very open. FIFTY STARS and MORTON’S FORK have had some hard racing of late and both should be very fit for this. Big show as is DYSLEXIC who loomed to win last start when fresh but wilted final stages. The lightweight here makes her a big show.
Tip: MORTON’S FORK
Difficult race to assess so bet warily. DESERT PATH loomed but needed the run when resuming this grade last start. He was 2nd and is now cherry ripe. Is trained here. WHITE BOOTS is fast and will need to be to cross from this bad gate. But if he finds the front he can take catching. SUPERNOVA has the ideal draw and should be right in this. Has proven very honest this grade thus far.