Rail Position: Out 3m, entire circuit
Track Condition: Soft 5
Disappointing sized field for a Saturday race card and even more disappointing is the quality. Provincial maidens have been stronger. SEBRAKATE is on his way to the Gold Coast for the Magic Millions so would need to win this handsomely. And he is unbeaten in 2 x South Australian starts where he won narrowly but does have a big weight here. KIAMICHI showed speed to lead but was only average down the running when 2nd in a recent trial. Godolphin horses can improve on race day so have in numbers. Must applaud bush trainer Ross Stitt for realizing the prizemoney in town on a Saturday is excellent and well worth the trip. He brings his filly OH SO HOT here and she has a chance with no weight to carry. Will get back but is suited to this journey.
Tip: OH SO HOT
ROYAL CELEBRATION just seems to race like one of those professional types – always on and always ready to run your money a good race. Was in this same grade last start and proved too strong late. Is fit, strong, honest, all the things we love. But does have big weight. COTERIE has bounced back to racing in terrific style, winning both races since resuming. They have been at the provincials and easier than this but won them well. Big show on home track. DUCALE is a nice filly who was outclassed past few in Victoria at stakes level. Gets in very well here and has drawn nicely. Expect major improvement. All should be in the fray.
Former Godolphin horse POTENT FORCE resumes here for new trainer Mack Griffith with a big weight. Only won the one race but did win a fast trial recently. Chance. TRISTAN DE ANGEL has talent and gets to the wire hard. In strong stable too and should get run of the race here. THE DEBATER is outgraded but he has won 2 of past 3 races in the bush, the latest with big weight in good time. Has no weight on his back here so rates very highly.
Tip: THE DEBATER
SEXY EYES came from a mile back down centre of track and just went whoosh to win easier race last start. That was 3rd run this campaign and so is now peaking. It was so authoritative she looks to repeat here at home track. I LIKE IT EASY may take catching. No doubt rolls to the front here and at 3rd start this time up, should be very strong late. If left alone in lead she’s the play. But probably wont be as AURORA ROSE who resumes here also likes to roll forward.
Tip: SEXY EYES
GAMBLER’S BLUES gets a needed 2kg claim here as he is resuming. But he’s on his home patch, is the best horse in the race and has drawn the fence so will get run of race. Goes quite well fresh too. Big show. CHAUSSURE at first run in a very long while, ran the lights out finishing a close up 4th last start similar race. Awkward draw but if improved from that run, looms large. GITAN is reliable and honest and is a last start winner. Gets into the race from the outset normally and that’s a good thing here. Interesting race.
Tip: GAMBLER’S BLUES
Should be a cracker. This is a really hard race to work out as there are many variables and just as many hopes. The consistent SKY BOY will probably be forgotten a bit in betting because he has a big weight but he is the winner of past two races beating many of his main rivals here. And has drawn well so expect him to be in the fray. MEROVEE looms as a threat on his home track here following a gutsy 4th similar grade last start. Up to a trip that suits here. MARK TWO will be big odds but she has talent and it may pay to overlook her abject failure this grade last start when 2nd up. Expect a better run here.
This looks a lovely race for the top weight GAULOIS despite the fact he is resuming. He is in well at the weights comparatively speaking given his ability. Went to spell following a win this company and has trialed well. TIP TOP is in slashing form and we do love horses that are in winning form. Has claimed his past 2 races and his bold style will be hard to run down again here. CORUSCATE is both a stablemate to Gaulois, and like Tip top, is in supreme form. Career best actually winning 3 of past 4 and seems very progressive, so rates highly.
Very even field. CHAUFFEUR was a star juvenile but as an older horse he hasn’t done anything. Does his best work fresh though and is resuming here. Watch market. Visiting Queensland sprinter I’VE GOTTA NEL looks the logical early speed. Is brand new to this track and grade, so he should scoot through from this draw and lead them all a merry dance. Does have good form when racing like that up to BM 77 level. Respect. BON AMIS is very smart but big weight and first up are going to be hard to overcome in this very speedy field. Place as he does hit the line hard.
Tip: I’VE GOTTA NEL
Gee they are going to go quickly in this. So as a result may be best to find something that can sit off the speed. BROOK MAGIC has performed very well at higher BM grades and is 2nd up here following a good 4th in similar BM 78 race start behind Single Bullet. Sat off speed that day which she will have to do here. REGIMEN will do same and will hit the wire well too. Godolphin horses are racing wonderfully of late and she was strong 4th when resuming this grade last start. SEASONS was very strong when last in work winning 2 easier races. Resumes here, trial good, bad draw though. Watch market.