Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, looks at Saturday’s Moonee Valley meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
What a tough way to start the day. FLINDERS RIVER has form on the board running down his rival here STENMARK on debut. Both horses showed above-average talent that day. As did TAGALOA on his debut when 3rd in Melbourne appearing to be unlucky. The rest are very well-bred unraced types. NARVAEZ might be handy.
Tip: FLINDERS RIVER
the 2kg weight allowance here will help MASERARTIE BAY. Has already won twice both times sitting back and running on late. Trip looks to suit. BALAABEL brings nice South Australian form to this including a solid win last start. That generally means a big showing is expected here. WESTBROOK PARK has talent and is improving every run. Did score mdn grade last start.
Tip: MASERARTIE BAY
BELLA VELLA mixes her form but she is talented enough to win this on her day and she has scored at two of her past four starts in a similar level. FILL THE FLUTE needs things to go her way but she is very quick and did win last start. If left alone in front she shows up. EQUAL LOVE was thrashed in better grade last start. Previous form would win this comfortably. Good race.
Tip: EQUAL LOVE
Grand old stager JUNGLE EDGE resumes from a spell enforced by a bleeding attack. At his best he would spread-eagle this field. Should jump and run. THERMAL CURRENT has been hitting the line with gusto of late. Past two starts have been excellent and suited here. MYSTYKO great 2nd last start at 2nd start this time up beating Thermal Current home. Big show.
Tip: JUNGLE EDGE
BOLTOUTOFTHEBLUE hasn’t won for a while which surprises because he is very consistent around BM 70 level which means, given this is a BM 64, he looms large. TALENTI might be special. Gets back and runs home hard. Won like a good horse here this trip last start in weaker grade. Have in your numbers. MANHATTAN ARCH is consistent and was placed this level last start. Sure to be improved.
COSMIC RHAPSODY is roaring through the grades. An awkward draw here but is pretty smart winning past three in a row. THREE BEANS is coming along nicely. Shows promise and is honest. Placed at past three this grade this campaign. SOMALS might be a star. Is unbeaten in two runs and came home like a train to snatch victory in a similar field when resuming last start.
SURE KNEE is copping it in the weights for being very consistent. Gets back and runs on. Just knows how to finish a brace off. Won this level last start. VANUATU will appreciate the drop in class here. Not far away past two and has the great draw. SNOGGING is 4th up and looks nicely placed. Gets 3kg weight relief too and the inside draw.
Tip: SURE KNEE
SAVAHEAT is rising quickly through the grades and suited this trip. Stormed home to win slightly easier race two starts back. Big show. DANON ROMAN will be up on the pace all the way and looms large. Did win first up and is 3rd up now. Not far away in Gr 3 last start. RUPTURE is in great form and did win three on the bounce before plodding 6th last start in a tougher race.
Tip: DANON ROMAN
Last campaign CALL IT A DAY was racing in consistent fashion and his 2nd when fresh last start says he might be back to that form. MORRISSY needed the run when solid closing 5th this grade last start. Is 3rd up now and weighted to win. CHICAGO CUB has claims on his consistent form this campaign. Chance too.