Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, takes a look at Friday night’s Moonee Valley meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all eight races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: Out 3m, entire circuit
Track Condition: Good 4
MOSSBELLE comes off an all the way runaway win at Sale in BM64, and a 2nd here last start this grade beaten a nose. Looks set to take catching again. MRS O’MALLEY rises in grade following a gutsy win when resuming last start. Awkward draw but has talent. WALTONIA was scratched during the week from a winnable race for this. Has won past 2 runs. Good race.
Hard race this because, of the raced brigade, they all have a bit of talent and all seem to be frontrunners. We could have 6 across the track here after 300m. LUCIFER’S REWARD is unraced but is bred to be speedy. OH SO REWARDING looks rather talented too. Resumes here but may be able to sit behind the speed and charge home.
Tip: OH SO REWARDING
There is value in being patient and VAINSTREAM all but displayed that similar race and grade here last start when sitting off brisk pace and charging late, failing to catch leader by a nose. Looks well in here. TELL ME carries no weight with the 3kg claim. Resumes here but has a lot of ability. McGARRETT is racing well and can lob for 3rd.
Tip: TELL ME
SMART AS YOU THINK drops to this level and is a genuine stakes horse in her own sex races. Is 2nd up here and the 1.5kg claim helps a great deal. Should go close. HERECOMESMYBABY is the model of consistency at this level and this inside gate is a huge plus. Will be driving hard at the wire. PRIA ECLIPSE is also fit and racing well and gets a helpful claim. Looks a good show also.
Tip: SMART AS YOU THINK
This course can suit frontrunners and SARKOZY led all way to easily win a BM 64 last start at Wangaratta. Can do same here. SHOPLIFTER off this inside draw and coupled with excellent recent form comes into play here also. The interesting runner is DIVANATION. She resumes here and has only had 2 starts, but did win this trip on debut. Seems talented, oh, importantly…is the daughter of Makybe Diva.
Nice gathering of 2nd tier sprinters. BATTLE HERO is super quick and is now 3rd up so this track and grade should suit. Could lead all the way. KEMONO looked in need of the run when resuming and 4th in a similar race last start. Saying that he hit the line well. THERMAL CURRENT is just so honest and is always in the hunt these types of races. Last start 2nd was an excellent effort. Watch the market.
STARS OF CARRUM has poor form when looked at on paper. But if you peeled back the runs you would see that he is the best horse here and will improve massively. Actually looks the winner. COSSETOT is very smart and getting better with racing. Past 4 starts have been right up to this level and looms very large. DECLARES WAR is smart and not far away similar race last start when 5th. Fitter and more settled now.
Tip: STARS OF CARRUM
DOOGAN’S RISE is down in grade and gets a weight relief too. Those things can help him improve on recent poor efforts. KARDASHING is honest since the spell and well up to this level. Also aided by a weight allowance. SLICK BACK has placed 3 from 3 this level since resuming. Super fit now. Good luck.