T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott / J: Adam Hyeronimus (57kg)
It is probably fair to say this bloke will be ridden hard from the gates and try to lead. He has enough pace to do that and has strength late too. Horses have won from out here but the draw is bad because if he can’t find the front he sits wide. Is unbeaten in 2 starts: one in Victoria, the other in NSW when leading all way in MM 2YO at Wyong. Take on trust, but know that if he had drawn in, he was the one to beat.
T: Kelly Schweida / J: James Orman (57kg)
Has good local form leading into this but he is suspect at this trip. What helps him is the fact he has natural speed so will drive forward and be in the leading 3, on the fence to the bend. He is very fit and won twice already this time up.
T: Darren Weir / J: Mark Zahra (57kg)
What a pity he has drawn so wide. He will nearly have to ease at the start to find a spot with cover. If he does, watch for him late. He is very fit, has won his past two starts, both in Victoria but coming off the pace and flashing home late. Looks a star colt in the making but this gate is a huge concern.
T: Ciaron Maher & David Eustace / J: Michael Walker (57kg)
Another unbeaten colt and this bloke has at least drawn well. He can sit behind pace and is a hard finisher. Won the much-coveted Breeders Plate on debut and has the ability to come home in under 34sec. That is very important for this track and grade of race. Looks to settle in about 4th, probably in the one, one trail and should rush late.
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig / J: Regan Bayliss (57kg)
Gives the impression he will be suited this journey and is ideally drawn. Has shown class and toughness in all 5 starts to date. May be a length behind the very best of these but is in this via this outstanding gate draw. Will be covered up and if he finds daylight can hit the line.
T: Team Snowden / J: Hugh Bowman (57kg)
Star galloper from Sydney who is very strong late and is very, very fit. Has been set a gargantuan task here though. This is his 3rd weekend in a row racing and that’s a big ask for a baby. Also, he traveled all the way here from Sydney during the week. Then add to that this horror draw. Has the talent but may be too many strikes against him.
T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott / J: Tim Clark (57kg)
What do we make of this bloke? He looks to be top shelf. Is unbeaten in 2 starts to date, showing tremendous pace both times and great fight. His last start win at Rosehill over this trip was the best trial by any runner leading into this race. But he’s drawn wide and like his stablemate, Unite And Conquer, he looks like he needs the front. Interesting to see what they do with him, but have in your numbers because he might be a superstar in the making.
T: James Cummings / J: Kerrin McEvoy (55kg)
This is an exciting filly, mainly because she is highly regarded by Godolphin and because she gets better and better with every race. Last start she sat back in 4th on QLD debut, but roared past them all over 1100m last weekend and won easily. Prior to that chased home last 600m very fast when 2nd to Unite And Conquer in Wyong MM 2YO. Drawn well enough and must be considered.
T: Toby Edmonds / J: Jeff Lloyd (55kg)
Super fast local filly who gets out and flies and has form around a few of these. Led in that race Exhilarates won easily last start so should find her tough. But also, there are quite a few speedsters here and she will be deep all way. Not keen.
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig / J: Craig Williams (55kg)
This is an interesting filly. When she won on debut at Caulfield in the Listed Debutant, she looked the best 2YO in the land. Two subsequent runs in strong grade haven’t yielded that sort of boom, latest when flying home from back when 4th in the Wyong 1100m MM 2YO. Extra 100m will suit and is perfectly drawn. Does get back a bit though so may get caught up in the pack looking for room.
T: John Wigginton / J: Nigel Seymour (55kg)
Be very wary of this filly as she might be a superstar in the making. Is unbeaten in 2 starts and seems to have astonishing ability, certainly sufficient strength to be fast late. Won in town last start in a fashion that defied belief travelling wide all way. Is the Cinderella story of this race. Her mother sold for just $1000 as a yearling and never raced, while this filly herself was purchased for just $20,000. Has already won $103k and expect a bucket load more to be won this weekend.
T: Joe Cleary / J: Jess Taylor (55kg)
Looks to be right in this race. The way she has rounded up her opposition past 2 starts in Sydney, both in town, suggests she can really unwind when given her head. If perchance rain falls, load up on her. She has a decent enough draw to receive a good enough run and her finishing power this trip is very good. Was another cheapie at just $30,000 when a yearling. Respect her.
T: Liam Birchley / J: Mat McGillivray (55kg)
Narrowly won first 2 starts, both races way, way below this level. And 2 starts in town in better grade have been woeful. Looks well tested.
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig / J: James McDonald (55kg)
Well bred filly being a full-sister to Gr 1 winner Irish Lights who went on to be the mother of Gr 2 winner Omei Sword. And the way this filly railed through and hit the line in Sydney last start winning easily, suggests she might have a stack of talent too. Was a costly $600,000 yearling so connections need her to be good, but they might not need to worry too much as her finishing power is there. Looks to get a fair run and could be the knock out horse.
T: Peter & Will Hulbert / J: Taylor Marshall (55kg)
Wouldn’t it be a lovely story if this filly won. She is ridden by Taylor Marshall, who sadly, tragically lost his dad, the great former jockey John Marshall last week. Disappointingly though, this filly, while having a good deal of talent and a neat barrier draw, may struggle here as she was safely held last start behind Exhilarates. But miracles in racing do happen.
T: Toby Edmonds / J: Tommy Berry (55kg)
Yet another who needs to find the front early. She does have a lot of early speed and a win over Betaima, but the trip at this level and the pressure early will test her.
T: Kelly Schweida / J: Mark Du Plessis (55kg)
May develop into a good 3YO because she can hit the line. But will have to be near last to the bend given her draw and that’s just too much real estate for her to make up against this field.
T: Chris Waller / J: – (57kg)
This is a very good colt. If he gets a run he will be in this finish. But getting a start may prove hard. Is still a maiden but knows how to hit the wire and will exit from a great gate if he starts.
T: Team Snowden / J: Brett Prebble (57kg)
Sydney galloper who is still a maiden but another lightly-raced colt with outstanding talent. Can win this race but unlikely to get a start. Does have a powerful finishing burst.
T: Mick Moroney / J: – (57kg)
Has talent but likes to lead and that will not happen here. Drawn too badly. Probably doesn’t get a run either.
T: Chris Waller / J: – (57kg)
It’s interesting that all 5 reserves have more talent than half this field and this bloke is one of those. Can rattle home but doesn’t look like getting a start.