Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Kembla meeting, with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races. Good luck, punters!
Track Condition: Good 4
Rail Position: True entire
Big test for this emerging star WAIRERE FALLS. He is going for three in a row and he has a powerful finishing burst which is suited to this track. Should sit behind speed then just explode down outside.
His stablemate BIGBOYROY is 2nd up and is proven in this grade. He might set the speed early and is a pretty tough race horse.
ATLANTIC KING is strong, has finishing power and is 3rd up. Might be headed to better things.
Tip: ATLANTIC KING
What a wide-open Highway. OBELOS gets his chance here. He loomed and looked certain to win one of these last start but just petered out last 100m and ran an encouraging 4th. Has drawn perfectly here. Will get smother behind the speed, cover that will preserve his energy. Big show.
ACTIVATION looks progressive. has brilliantly won his past two starts. Awkward draw here so probably drops in for cover. If he gets it he finishes like a train here.
EVA’S DEEL is ready to win a Highway. She got too far back last start when a strong finishing 6th. Might sit a pair closer this time and finish it off better.
Surely Timmy Clark urges NAVY CROSS to the front early here and controls the speed. No doubt SIGNIFICANCE will be on speed too but if he allows Navy Cross to lead without pressure Clark can kick off the bend and win this. He’s very fit and ready for a victory.
STOCKMAN is ready too and will make a late dash. Placed at past two this grade and is now fit as possible.
WHITE BOOTS will run on and Significance is brilliant on his day but his days are fairly spaced.
Tip: NAVY CROSS
Interesting race. Form for MISS INVINCIBLE has been woeful of late. But gets a good track here, is 2nd up, down in class and drawn perfectly. Have in your numbers as she should improve.
MANSA MUSA is first up here and boasts very, very impressive first-up stats. watch market. This grade suits.
HULK is ready to pounce. He is very fit and is getting better as a sprinter every run. Will sit back but this track plays to his strengths.
Good race. From top to bottom. Well, even race anyway.
The aptly named PANDEMIC looks very well placed. He is the best performed runner in this and is 2nd up after running a terrific 3rd. Gets a 2kg allowance also. Big danger.
STEPHAN gets back and runs on. He also needs luck in his races and a fast pace. Has a powerful kick on his day and is 4th up so is ready to run a blinder.
VIRGILIO has drawn to receive a greart run and is on home track. Which is a major advantage.
HELGA is all heart on her day and being first-up here with a 2kg weight advantage makes her a player. Bound to go forward and be in the fray all the way.
DUNBRODY POWER needs a fast pace which she gets here and a long straight which this track supplies. Surprise but impressive winner last start and can repeat.
MACROURA was a terrific 3rd when resuming and did win 2nd up last campaign. Does possess a touch of class. Big show.
I do think DAWN PASSAGE will utilize this deal draw. He can lead, he led the Gr 1 Stradbroke for a long way, but he does his best when allowed to find his legs. Both his runs this time up have been outstanding efforts. Last start he was 3rd and looked a big winning chance at the 200m in the $7.5million Golden eagle. is super fit now. Loves a fast track which he gets here and will take holding out.
PURPLE SECTOR is racing lights out since being gelded. Won brilliantly in Sydeny then went to Melb and overcame difficulties to score and showed a great deal of fight and determination. Loves this journey and is super fit. Will get the run of the race. Big player.
ARCHEDEMUS is the dark horse. He will spear across from this bad gate and he leads these. He knows this course very well and comes here extremely fit. Will certainly look the winner at some stage in the straight.
BOTTEGA is talented and very fit. Has the ability to run fast time with this very lightweight.
Good luck here. BERDIBECK came home like a train to win a tough race in Melbourne when resuming. Gets a 2kg claim here to help and did win just as brilliantly 2nd up last campaign. Big danger.
SPENCER probably rolls forward but should take the sit behind ULUSABA. Been away from winners’ circle for some time but finds a race he can show up in here. Is down in class.
At the weights ULUSABA might take catching if they let him roll along unchallenged.
RULE THE WORLD is flying in the stable and expect him to be backed.
GREEK HERO has won here and been longing for a good track. Gets it here and should flash home
CUBAN ROYALE won an easier race in grand style when resuming and has Hughie to guide.