Form student, RIC CHAPMAN, details the hopes of every runner in the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas at Caulfield on Saturday, with his horse racing tips for the first four. Read on to see how he maps and assesses the race. Good luck, punters!
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig / J: Michael Walker (56.5kg)
Outstanding galloper in New Zealand winning 2 x Gr 1 races. But since coming here he hasn’t set the world on fire. Down the track behind Dalasan then lost rider in the Gr 3 Guineas Prelude. If you go off NZ form, he is a real threat.
T: Leon MacDonald & Andrew Gluyas / J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg)
Is very smart as his 4 wins and 2 x 2nd placings attest. Ran good time to win the Gr 2 Danehill over 1200m then came hard late to just miss behind Alligator Road in the Guineas Prelude. You’d suspect this journey will suit but where does he get to in the run from this horror draw? If he gets cover he’s a big player.
T: David Vandyke / J: Ryan Maloney (56.5kg)
What a good story this bloke is. He is unbeaten in 5 starts to date and has just improved by huge margins every start. Fell in to win a Sunshine Coast mdn in December, and look at last start – a powerful burst from off the pace to comfortably claim the 1400m Gr 3 Guineas Prelude. This trip should not prove a problem and he looks to find cover about 5th here. Big show.
T: Chris Waller /J: James McDonald (56.5kg)
Outstanding galloper and should appreciate the drop in class here. Yes, that’s right, it’s a Gr 1 but his past 2 efforts have been useful against the real superstars of his age group. Now, saying all that, he has drawn terribly and finding a spot early is going to be a real headache. If he does, however, he can scoot past the leaders and win this comfortably.
T: Anthony Freedman / J: Mark Zahra (56.5kg)
Here’s a tough, honest galloper who won over this course at Gr 3 level last campaign. Two unplaced runs this time up appear worse than they actually are. Sat wide in the Guineas Prelude yet made solid ground late when 5th to Alligator Road. Is the one bred to appreciate this journey and from this great draw looms large.
T: Trent Busuttin & Nat Young / J: Brett Prebble (56.5kg)
T: James Cummings / J: Brad Rawiller (56.5kg)
The big question here is: the recent Sydney form, is it better than Victorian? The recent times say it certainly is strong and this bloke epitomizes that. Met with trouble in the Gr 3 Gloaming over 1800m, yet hit line hard for 2nd spot. Drawn to be midfield with cover and may be the knock out horse late.
T: Danny O’Brien/ J: Damien Oliver (56.5kg)
This is an honest and handy horse who made ground to win this track and trip last start in restricted grade. Time was average but he is getting better with racing and did come home hard.
T: – / J: – (50.5kg)
T: David Jolly / J: Linda Meech (56.5kg)
Is very smart but I think history will reveal he is a genuine, bonafide top-class sprinter. So this trip will test him at this level. Is fast and will be on pace for a long way.
T: Leon & Troy Corstens / J: James Winks (56.5kg)
Has talent but has only scored a solo win from 11 starts to date and failed at stakes level. Perfectly drawn so gets a terrific run which gives him a knock-out place show.
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig / J: Damian Lane (56.5kg)
Wow, wouldn’t the boys at Coolmore like to see this bloke salute? He is a colt, wonderfully bred, and he has talent. And I think he has a great shot. Has the perfect alley so he pushes up into about 5th on the paint and just sits there waiting for a gap as they straighten. He is very fit and has finishing power. Big show for mine.
T: Colin Little / J: Craig Williams (56.5kg)
Is improving with every start. Easily won his mdn at Pakenham and last start sat back in 4th to the turn and ground home impressively for a good, closing 2nd in the Gr 2 Stutt behind The Holy One. Drawn awkwardly here but will battle away.
T: Stuart Kendrick / J: Kerrin McEvoy (56.5kg)
Is an interesting galloper. Is down from Queensland and he has power late. He flashed home from near last in the Gr 1 Atkins in the winter and was 5th. Only had the one start this time up and was average. Might find this too much, too soon but will develop into a smart horse.
T: Ken Keys/ J: Dwayne Dunn (56.5kg)
This is an emerging talent but it all may be coming too soon. Has power late and carried 60kg to win a restricted class 3YO race last start in useful time. Bad draw and the class rise is immense but will be running on.
T: Nick Ryan / J: Ben Melham (56.5kg)
Be careful with this bloke. He is going to develop into a star. Has solid finishing power and although beaten 10 lengths in the Guineas Prelude, he is better than that and will be suited here. Place show at huge odds.
T: Team Hayes & Dabernig/ J: Luke Nolen (56.5kg)
Badly drawn and is badly outclassed. Should finish near last.
T: Anthony Freedman / J: Kerrin McEvoy (56.5kg)
Is lightly raced but is highly gifted. Gains a start now so he will be in this finish. Sat near speed all way when battling 3rd in the Guineas Prelude at just 3rd race start. Has strong claims.
T: Pat Carey / J: Rhys McLeod (56.5kg)
Maiden galloper who has failed in 5 starts. Did make impressive ground in the Stutt Stakes when 5th but this is another step up.