Rail Position: Out 1.5m 1000m – 400m, true remainder
Track Condition: Good 4
Team Hawkes has a wonderful record in this race and they have set the toppie here ROCK for this. The bad draw will be a bother but recent trial win was impressive. MUNICH has placed 3 times and despite resuming from a spell here, must be considered. Good draw and has finishing power. TERMINOLOGY is talented. Has raced 7 times, and yes a non-winner, but has been up against smart ones including last start when strong 2nd in the Listed Gosford Guineas. Big danger.
Such a good, competitive race. STANLEY PARK is up in grade but has won 5 recent races. Is fast and will appreciate this nice draw. Can find the front and is very fit. TRUST ME will be nice odds following his 6th last start, but he was luckless that day. An ordinary draw here but is 3rd up and is very fast on his day. If he finds cover in first 4 he looms large. MISS TOORAK FLYER is in form and was unlucky when 2nd better grade last start. Very bad draw here but class should help.
Tip: TRUST ME
HAVASAY can’t win off recent form but when there is $1million up for grabs and you’ve drawn gate 1, things can change. Has run a stunning 1.08 for 1200m. Runs on hard when right. Watch market. Hard to predict who leads but OURS TO KEEP is in fine form and likes to dash early. Won similar race last start. His stablemate, SKATE TO PARIS, is up in grade but is also racing very honestly. Gets in on the limit and drawn well enough.
Another horror draw but TALLY is the class and deserves the big 61kg too. Has 5kg more than even his closest rival but his form is substantially better when on song and has won 2 of past 3. TUMULTUOUS is racing well in QLD. Has the draw to get run-of-the-race and will be able to push off and finish hard with no weight. GOODFELLA is classy but has found the top grade tough past couple. Distance is a worry here but is weighted to run very boldly.
Oh, there will pace at both ends of this. KAEPERNICK is deadly first up and he resumes here, in the sunshine, on a track that suits. Has drawn perfectly and Jay Mac has the mount. Should be flying home late. HOUTZEN resumed from a spell recently and looked a million dollars winning with big weight. Should lead and will be very hard to catch. Loves this track. SPENDING TO WIN is honest and at the weights is up to this race. Will run on too.
INVINCIBELLA is suited here. She is tough, she runs on very strongly, she has a great draw, the best jock on board, and is racing well enough. Is also the highest rated galloper in the event. IRITHEA has been racing in super fashion for a while now. That honesty will go a long way here also. PROBLEM SOLVER is very smart. Won the MM Maiden a few years back and is capable of going bang when she has a mind to do it. Is racing well too.
Tip: PROBLEM SOLVER
BOOMSARA is fast early and will need to be from this gate. Led all way to beat most of these easily last start. Repeats that, same result. Looks the best horse. BONDI likes to get back and will run home hard. Is super fit and while he’s a non-winner, he does make good ground late and this trip suits. OUTBACK BARBIE is a star and always dashes late. Will be suited by the track and the pace and is very fit. Drawn to get run of the race too.
So many natural speedsters here. UNITE And CONQUER is very fast and unbeaten but the outside draw is a worry as he may not get across all of them. His stablemate, CZARSON, is also a front runner and is unbeaten and has drawn inside him. They may cancel each other out. The unbeaten DUBIOUS has drawn well and is doing everything asked of him. And he is smart. The $20k bush filly BETTER REFLECTION is also unbeaten but unlike the guys, doesn’t need to lead. She can sit behind the speed and is very, very strong late. Watch her. EXHILIRATES and MOVIE ROLE have finishing talent too. Great race.
MOST IMPORTANT is the best horse but has most weight and drawn poorly. Will need to drop back and make a charge late. Is capable of doing all that. HUSSON EAGLE is racing very well leading into this and has a history of racing well this meeting. Won this race in 2016 and in 2017 was finishing hard for close up 6th. Respect that. CADOGAN has won past 3 in restricted grade but does it by getting back and unleashing powerful burst. Can run time.