Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, looks at Saturday’s Flemington meeting with horse racing tips and analysis for all 9 races on the card, including the Group 1 MacKinnon Stakes. Good luck, punters!

Track Condition: Good 4

Rail Position: Out 9m, entire circuit

A tough opening to a big day. Two standouts here and I suggest they will fight it out. MANDELA EFFECT seems back to his best and if so, he goes bang late. But the dourness that RESERVE STREET possesses is palpable and he will be making ground late. Throw in HUNAMOSA for 3rd because he’s very fit.


WETAKEMANHATTAN has drawn perfectly to receive the run of the race. Has won his past 2 in a row so is in form. SNITZPEG has been racing below best but back in a grade he can fire up in. So expect him to do so.  Watch market. MIDAS PRINCE is in career-best form and rates highly again.


HILO is a run on type who has been mixing his form. Two starts back he looked like he’d eat this field but was plain this level last start when 6th. Take on trust. KNICKPOINT is his lightly raced stablemate who has been rushed to this level after two runaway restricted class wins. Might be able to handle it though as he can accelerate. Also handles the mud. DONE BY ME is quite consistent and is very honest. Have in your numbers.


GREY LION is racing below his best but he has run best when Kathy O’Hara rides him and she is back on him now. TRUE SELF on form looks a cut above these. British star staying mare who just missed racing in the Cup. was beaten a head by Prince Of Arran at Aussie debut and we saw that horse fail by 2 inches to land the Melbourne Cup. This mare looks way too good. CARIF is your Melb Cup horse for next year. Is young and raw but immensely gifted and will storm home late.


Outstanding field. SANTA ANA LANE is a champion sprinter and this is his favourite track and trip. Is 3rd up here and his form is brilliant this campaign. Looks the one. NATURE STRIP is fast and appears the only real speed here. Led until last few metres in The Everest when 4th. Big danger. ALIZEE was ridden too close when fading 7th in The Everest. Allowed to sit back and charge this time, she may be a better proposition. LOVING GABY is very smart and very honest. She has no weight here and did win at Gr 1 level this trip last start.

Tip: 1. SANTA ANA LANE, 2. Nature Strip, 3. Alizee, 4. Loving Gaby

SPANISH REEF has found form and she races like this track should suit her perfectly. is honest too and likes to run home hard. DANZDANZDANCE is now fully fit and at a trip she excels at. Hasn’t been far away of late and is back to her own sex. Big show. GIRL TUESDAY is a solid campaigner this level, most of the time. Every now and then she just goes bang and wins easily. Have in your numbers. Terrific race.


There are tips all over the place but I just think those who run on are suited best this time. ADMIRAL’S JOKER who for some reason is racing the lights out and getting better every start, so should be rushing late as he tries for 4 in a row. STREETS OF AVALON is down in grade but has the big weight and drawn badly. Probably drives hard early to find a spot with the pace. Is very fit and very strong so has claims. WIDGEE TURF is strong late and is now ready to fire up.


I just would love to see old HARTNELL go out a winner. He retires at the end of this race and he to me, emotion aside, has a genuine chance. That’s if he finds a good spot back about 5th or 6th. His Caulfield Cup run when deep was very strong. KINGS WILL DREAM, FIFTY STARS and NIGHT’S WATCH are similar types and all will be charging late. Genuine hopes also. The mares MAGIC WAND and MELODY BELLE will be the major players though. They are superior racehorses and both are in fine form. If Magic Wand has recovered from her hard Melbourne Cup run, she can show up.

Tip: 1. MAGIC WAND, 2. Melody Belle, 3. Hartnell, 4. Night’s Watch

ESPERANCE is 2nd up after a great 2nd when fresh in better company. Is very honest and the weight relief is a huge help. MORRISSY is smart and is 2nd up after a great 2nd when resuming also. Big danger. SCREENAGER looks highly gifted but is rising so far in grade. Unbeaten in 2 starts coming home like a train both times.