Form analyst, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Flemington meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: TRUE, entire circuit
Track Condition: Soft 5
ORGANZA has a huge weight discrepancy with the others but she is the class and is in terrific form. Will get back and will love this track. Charges hard late. POP QUEEN is also in form and her win last start in a similar race was encouraging. Will be in this finish as will little PRIA ECLIPSE who has a heart as big as she is. Big show.
Another race where the toppie is the best horse, and in form but has a huge weight to lug around. PACODALI will be on speed all way and is just so tough must be respected again. SECOND BULLET has been hitting the line well enough of late to rate a strong show. Small field suits and rates highly. Meets Pacodali 5kg better for being beaten by 7 lengths last start. THE STATESMAN is 2nd up but ran a cracker when resuming over a mile and has light weight. Should be well supported as he excels this trip.
Ha, could we have three number 1 saddlecloths winning on the bounce? I certainly think so as this emerging star BUFFALO RIVER looks well placed. Won past 2 being on pace all the way and seems to be getting faster every run. ASGARD MASSIF chased him home in a similar race last start which followed a pair of wins. They look the quinella again. HEAVENLY EMPEROR has won past 2 also and although the top 2 here look well above average, he should be running on too.
Tip: BUFFALO RIVER
How are they going to stop this runaway train called CHOUXTING THE MOB? He just keeps winning and grinding his rivals into the dirt. Has scored at 5 of his past 6, the latest two over most of these. Weight has caught up with him but he’ll be tough. LAMBORGHINI is 4th up here and each of his 3 runs have been improved efforts. Grand Final day here and will rattle home. LAST WEEK has chased home Chouxting The Mob at his past 2 runs and is very fit. Gets a bit of a weight help here so may make it interesting.
Tip: CHOUXTING THE MOB
PANCHO is on the improve and gives the impression he’ll run this trip right out. Drew wide so dropped out and had to make a long sustained run when 5th in a similar race last start. RUBISAKI is quickly making a name for herself with her paralyzing finishing bursts. Made it 2 in a row last start over 1400m here and trip looks to suit. MOONLIGHT MAID looks handy. Ploughed through the mud to win running away in maiden grade last start over 1240m. Bred to love the trip and could be smart.
Another toppie with a huge chance is DOGMATIC in this. Drawn perfectly and is in super form this grade. Big show. EL VINCITORE hasn’t had many runs but is showing talent Finished alongside Dogmatic at his last start and meets him a kilo worse. REFLECT THE STARS has foot on the till. Runner-up past 2 runs this grade and should get the run of the race here.
Strong field. MALIBU STYLE is a quality sprinter who has slowly run himself into form. Runner up past 2 in similar races and has the draw, weight and jock in his favour here. Will test these. Won here over 1100m and is getting better with every run. Is fast and should make his presence felt again. INVINCIBLE AL is 4th up and goes well this track. Place show.
Tip: MALIBU STYLE
MR MARATHON MAN rocketed home to win similar grade over a mile on soft going last start at just 3rd Aussie start. Clearly has finishing power and looms large again. The last time HELLOVA STREET raced over a mile he won at stakes level. That was in Feb. Resumed last start and beaten 3 lengths, running out of gas final 100m over 1400m this grade. Fitter now. WAGING WAR is in sparkling form and recent starts this grade have been very good. Has top jock and rates highly.
Tip: MR MARATHON MAN
SURE KNEE was ridden perfectly last start coming from 6th before the turn when pace slackened, dashed clear and kept finding this trip and grade last start. Fit and strong. BENITOITE is a rising star. Has finishing power and has won 3 of only 4 runs including last start over 1400m when 9th for home. Sire won a Melbourne Cup so should appreciate this journey. Ever said goodbye to someone you loved? You nearly always KISS AND CRY. Happened to me yesterday so she must be included among the numbers.