Form student, RIC CHAPMAN, previews Saturday’s Flemington meeting, with horse racing tips & analysis for all nine races on the card. Good luck, punters!
Rail Position: True, entire circuit
Track Condition: Good 4
Quite a few bred to appreciate this distance. INDEPENDENT ROAD was impressive on debut. Was last on the bend and rocketed home to grab 2nd to smart rival here LEVEN LASS. Not much between them at the end. Both look likely to appreciate this race as there will be a lot of early pace. FABULANSKI is going up 400m in trip for this. That he might very well really love. Made ground at both his two shorter starts in similar grade missing a place both times. But is bred to love this.
The 2kg claim for Kayla Crowther will help the topweight here TRULY DISCREET. She effectively is 2kg above the limit and is dropping a long, long way in class following her unplaced run in stakes grade last start. But was only 5 lengths behind the winner. Looks beautifully placed. OCEAN DEEP won this grade impressively last start and is in great form. But goes up 5kg. Likes to be on pace and that helps here. MY BIDDY is racing well placing quite a few times of late this grade.
Tip: TRULY DISCREET
BANDIPUR is racing in career best form. Won past 2 this grade and drawn to get run of the race here as well. Won this grade here in fast time last start. Looks the main player again. MISS LEONIDAS is very consistent and may shuffle across to the grandstand side here. Will be in this for a very long way. INVINCIBLE AL ran 3rd to Bandipur first up and must be fitter now. Big show too.
This might be a nice race for OUTRAGEOUS. He can spring from the gates and cross this field. He actually is in well at the weights and if left alone he will take some catching as he’s very fit. But, THUNDERDOME is a front runner too so there might be a battle on early. BIG NIGHT OUT on the other hand has the perfect rails draw and should be in the box seat throughout. Is in form too. SEBERATE is racing very well this grade of late and 2 runs back beat Outrageous home. With the claim looks perfectly well in here.
It does look like the lower weighted horses are best placed here. BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER is up a little in grade but look at the recent form. Won past 3, latest by nearly 7 lengths, and looms large from this great draw. ENBIHAAR isn’t racing at best level but last start 4th was an improved effort so she may be ready to fire up again and does get a terrific boost with 3kg claim. EAGLE RIDGE is in and out and it’s his turn to be in this week.
Tip: BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER
With this weight and this gate, SURE KNEE will have to drop out and come with a big run late. Has the fitness and talent to do that. Dropping back from Gr 1 level for this. FIDELIA won this grade last start and that was 2nd win in a row. Winning form for females is the best form. With that mantra in mind, KISS AND CRY as well is a hope. Up in grade here but has won her past 2 starts. Chance here.
Tip: SURE KNEE
Strong field. This is a terrific race. DECLARES WAR is down in grade. Did win a BM70 here a few runs back and has been just behind placegetters in stakes grade of late. Big show. PREDECESSOR has been up a while so is very fit and has form this level. Drawn better than most and was game runner up this grade and trip here last start. WHAM has a bad gate but does generally drop back. Rattled home over a mile this grade last start when 2nd. Trip should suit.
Tip: DECLARES WAR
The topweight here MAGIC CONSOL is a prolific winner who resumes here. Helped by the weight allowance and has good first up form too. Big price expected and that might be value. FASTNET TEMPEST has found form. Settled just off pace yet came with a rush to win this grade last start at this track. Was well backed so no fluke and rates highly again. MR MARATHON MAN will love this track. The trip may be a tad short. Overseas galloper who has run well winning at stakes level. Will get back but should run home hard.
Tip: MR MARATHON MAN
BOOM TIME is a Gr 1 winner and is 3rd up here at a trip that should suit a great deal. Bound to be right in this finish. MANTASTIC is in great form and is very fit. Won 2 of past 4 in this grade and drawn to be in the box seat. HOME BY MIDNIGHT made impressive ground for 6th to Mantastic on Aussie debut. Has won over 2400m and is Gr 1 placed. Chance.