Rail Position: Out 6m, entire circuit
Track Condition: Good 4
How do you work this out? A full field of unraced gallopers bar one, who was next to last on debut. On pedigree, AUXIN (Exceed And Excel-Caline) looks hard to beat. His mum was a 2 times city winner and a half to Gr 2 winner Tarquin. As will CASSIUS who was dual accepted earlier this week. That’s always a sign and for 3rd maybe SKIDDAW. Good luck.
What a good, enthusiastic field of emerging stars. FIRST DIAMOND scored this grade 2 starts back but then disappointed last start in a tougher race. Forgive that run. This track should suit. BOLD ARIAL has had a fair bit of racing but she is improving and last start win was a good indicator for this. BONITO won a weaker race on debut then not disgraced when 6th similar grade to this last start. Getting better with racing.
Tip: FIRST DIAMOND
The top-weight here ALOFT may need the run as he’s first up from a long spell but has quality. Watch betting. ULMANN was in a race he should have won last start and only battled away for 3rd. Loves this track so give another chance. SO SI BON looked strong finally winning a race last start. Now in form may well go on with it. Gets 3kg weight relief. Chance again.
Tip: SO SI BON
BLINDER has been hit with the weight stick here but he’s very tough and getting better with racing. Won this grade last start looking very smart. O’TAUTO has a big weight for a horse who has only won the one race but off potential, he’s right in this. Caught everyone’s eye with a stunning finishing burst over 1200m here last start when resuming and 2nd home. KAPLUMPICH is very honest and tough. Runs well this level.
AGE OF FIRE will like this track and conditions. Two starts back when not fully wound up, he was beaten 4 lengths by rival here, the in-form BEAUTY WAY. He gave Beauty Way 6kg that day. Fitter now and he only gives him 3kg. Tables could well be turned but they look the pair to fight it out from TARQUIN who could bob up into 3rd with new trainer.
Tip: AGE OF FIRE
An open race but the 2kg allowance is going to really help the in-form FLYING KRUPT. She’s won 5 from 12 and her last 3 on the bounce including last start in this very grade. Sits back and runs home hard so Flemington suits. NAANTALI is 3rd up and both runs have been full of merit for this grade. Can be in the money. TWITCHY FRANK gets a 1.5kg weight relief and is in form too. Great win in a slightly easier race last start.
Tip: FLYING KRUPT
The flying Tasmanian I’M WESLEY looks perfectly placed here. He has held his own in mainland stakes races, but his 2 from 2 wins at stakes level in Tassie since resuming have been outstanding displays of speed. Suited this track. INVINCIBLE AL has been right on the precipice of success this grade at past 6 runs. Always hits the line hard and has no weight to carry this time. ORDER OF COMMAND is smart. Has strung 2 on the bounce in weaker grade but done it well. Watch market.
Tip: I’M WESLEY
Former top grade Sydney sprinter TAKEDOWN has a new trainer so expect improvement. Darren Weir trains him now and when he is on his game, he can be impossible to beat. Respect. CHAMOIS ROAD is flying in this grade of late. Did win last start and will be in the hunt here despite the massive weight. CALL ME HANDSOME is first up and can place.
PRAVRO gets the benefit of a 3kg weight allowance and will come down the grandstand side of the track. Both will help enormously. WIND FORCE looked strong placing similar race last start when 2nd up. Big show. If the inside is on fire then WATERFORD SOUND may be the knock out horse. is very fast in weaker grade. Keep safe.